Subwayâs famous promotion made the sandwich franchise billions â but the deal wasnât as sweet for individual shop owners.
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[The Hustle, Sunday, February 28, 2021](
Sunday, February 28, 2021
The Hustle is proud to deliver original longform journalism to your inbox every Sunday. This work would not be possible without the support of our sponsor, [Graze Mowing](. Please support them so we can continue to bring you the most interesting stories you'll find anywhere. The rise and demise of Subwayâs $5 footlong promotion Subwayâs famous promotion made the sandwich franchise billions â but the deal wasnât as sweet for individual shop owners. BY [Zachary Crockett]( In 2008, Subway introduced a tantalizing deal: For just $5, one could purchase any âfootlongâ (12-inch) sandwich. The promotion was a smash hit with cash-strapped customers during the recession â and its [jingle]( (âfive-, five-, five-dollar footlongâ¦â) became the companyâs calling card. Within a year, foot traffic skyrocketed across the franchiseâs thousands of locations. Revenue from $5 footlongs alone topped $3.8B. It was, according to many industry analysts, one of the most successful promotions in the history of American cuisine. But the deal wasnât so hot for Subwayâs franchisees. Eager to grow at all costs, Subway refused to let the promotion die. As inflation drove up the cost of doing business, the $5 footlong became financially unsustainable for many of the independent entrepreneurs who owned the companyâs eateries. This is the story of a promotion gone very right, and then very wrong. But itâs also a parable about the oft-conflicting goals of small business owners and large corporations. The father of the $5 footlong Twenty years earlier, in 1988, an enterprising fellow named Stuart Frankel bought his first Subway franchise in Miami. A tell-it-like-it-is New Yorker, Frankel had migrated to Florida with his wife in the â70s. After stints running a drug store and a video outlet, he decided to try his hand at slinging sandwiches. [Stuart Frankel] Stuart Frankel in the early 2000s (Screenshot via Fox Business) At the time, Subway was a relative newcomer to the scene. Launched in 1965 by 17-year-old Fred DeLuca, Subway settled on a franchising model in 1974, leasing out the right to use its branding to individual shop owners across the US. By 1988, the business had[expanded to]( 2.2k shops and $360m in annual sales. And like many franchisees, Frankel saw an opportunity to claim a stake in the fast-growing chain. Over the next decade, he built several Subway shops in South Florida, including two near a bustling hospital. Business was good, but he felt he needed some kind of differentiator â a gimmick to take things up a notch. One day in 2003, inspiration struck. âI sat down with my manager and said weâre going to try something different,â he told The Hustle in a recent interview. âEvery Saturday and Sunday, weâre going to sell all our footlongs for $5 each instead of $6.â He slapped up a few crude signs in the window, not expecting much. Within the first 2 weeks, Frankel saw his sales jump from $14k to $23k per week â more than 4x what the average Subway shop brought in. Frankel gradually grew his local empire to 10 Subway shops and implemented his $5 promo at other locations with similar success. Other Subway owners adopted it and saw sales swell by 35% to 50%+. All the while, Frankel kept scrupulous records of the positive impact the deal had on metrics like foot traffic and revenue, which he passed along to corporate. Nobody listened. [Subway storefront] The Subway where Frankel invented the $5 footlong promotion, at Jackson Memorial Hospital in Miami (Google Maps) But in 2008, the top brass at Subway started to pay attention. After witnessing one shopâs sales double in one day after integrating the $5 footlong promo, a Subway development agent named Steve Sager informed Subwayâs execs that it might be worth testing on a national level. Frankel was invited to join the Subway Franchisee Advertising Fund Trust (SFAFT) â a board of franchisees who decide what to do with the chainâs ad dollars â and the $5 footlong was brought up for vote. In the meeting, the idea courted serious backlash. âThe company was skeptical the $5 footlong could make money,â said Frankel. âTo be frank, they thought I was a fucking idiot.â Eventually, the board reluctantly agreed to a pilot test. On March 23, 2008, just a few months before the US economy [spiraled into a recession](, the $5 footlong made its national debut. $5 footlong mania The promotion came along at the right time for Subway. Over the previous decade, Subwayâs marketing team had put all its chips on [Jared Fogle]( â a college kid who claimed to have lost 225 pounds by subsisting on a diet of subs. Fogel and his oversized pants had been an inescapable presence in commercials and ads. But the food business was undergoing a seismic shift toward value. âCheap food was all people were eating during the recession,â Jonathan Maze, the editor-in-chief of Restaurant Business, told us. âYou had a large percentage of the population trading down to lower-end restaurants.â McDonaldâs had recently seen massive success with its [Dollar Menu](, and Subway wanted to switch its national advertising focus to affordability. [Jared Fogle] Left: Jared Fogle poses with a pair of his old pants in 2005 (Photo by David Lodge/FilmMagic); Right: Ads for the $5 footlong promo After initially testing weekends only, Subway rolled out the $5 footlong promo as an everyday price point at locations across the country. âIt pushed Subway to the stratosphere,â Maze said. In the 2008-09 fiscal year alone, the $5 footlong promo generated $3.8B in sales â more than the entire annual revenue of franchises like Arbyâs and Dominoâs Pizza. For most of Subwayâs franchisees, the promo was mutually beneficial. Promotions are typically loss leaders â that is, the promotional item itself is sold at a loss in the hopes that ancillary sales will make up for it. But two things made the $5 footlong financially viable at the time: - Cheaper labor, food costs, and rent in 2008 meant that franchisees could still make a profit on the reduced price.
- A huge spike in customer volume during this time offset the thinner margins on the sandwiches. As other restaurants and chains suffered, Subway franchisees saw a [25% average uptick]( in sales. âAll of a sudden, customers whoâd pay $3 for a 6-inch were paying $5 for a footlong,â said Frankel. âTraffic went up, sales went up, profits went up.â [annual revenue] Zachary Crockett / The Hustle While the $5 footlong promotion was only intended to be temporary, Subway execs began to question whether they should ever phase it out. As months of boosted metrics continued, Tony Pace, the companyâs ex-marketing head, was insistent on running it âas long as it made economic sense.â "If you had a brand that represented nearly $4B in sales,â he told [BusinessWeek]( in 2009, âwould you plan an exit strategy for it?" The promotion stayed put for several years in various forms. But in the background of the $5 footlongâs runaway success, bigger problems were brewing at the sandwich giant. A footlong of discontent For years, Subway had doubled down on expanding its footprint, encouraging new franchisees â largely [recent immigrants]( enticed by the chainâs relatively low franchise startup cost â to open some 5k new stores. Touting an âanywhere and everywhereâ approach, Subway soon overtook McDonaldâs as America's largest restaurant chain. Subway restaurants popped up at gas stations, truck stops, and even [churches](. And Subwayâs [development agents]( â the folks tasked with this expansion â often opened up new stores too close to each other, cannibalizing franchiseeâs profits. âIf you've ever noticed 2 Subways seemingly next door to each other, the reason is because Subway is happy to get 2x the exposure until one goes out of business,â said Kenny Rose, the CEO of the franchise investing firm [FranShares](. To understand why this is the case, itâs important to take a quick step back here and explain Subwayâs business model. [cost to open] Zachary Crockett / The Hustle For franchisees, Subway is appealing in that it boasts the lowest relative entry cost of any major franchise: The average total investment to launch one only runs [$140k to $342k](, compared to $1.3m to $2.2m for a McDonaldâs. In return, Subway makes money from taking an industry-leading 12.5% cut of its franchiseesâ weekly gross sales. Expanding the number of stores at all costs drove up overall gross sales in the short term, but it proved to be detrimental to independent operators. Coupled with the rising costs of rent, labor, and food, the increased local competition made the $5 footlong untenable for many franchisees. Around 2012, Subway quietly phased out the promotion, and footlong subs returned to a $6 price point. But the saga didnât end there For nearly 5 years, Subway abandoned the $5 footlong campaign. And in the interim, a series of unrelated issues hampered business: - In 2013, an Australian teenager launched an international uproar when he measured a footlong sandwich at just 11 inches; a [class-action false advertising lawsuit]( ensued, resulting in an eventual $525k settlement and weeks of bad press.
- In 2015, Jared Fogle â the companyâs long-time spokesman, was sentenced to 15.5 years in federal prison for possession of child pornography.
- In 2016, the company posted a net decline in locations for the first time in its 40+-year franchising history. Subwayâs overzealous expansion strategy â and increased competition from Jimmy Johnâs and Jersey Mikeâs â led to massive store closures, falling profits, and a 25% decline in foot traffic. So, the company resurrected its famous promotion. In 2017, the $5 footlong made an unexpected comeback in the form of a $4.99 deal. This decision was met with [uproar]( from franchise owners, who claimed the promo made it impossible to make a profit. The unit economics proved their case: Even the cheapest option, the turkey sub, barely broke even. [cost to produce] Zachary Crockett / The Hustle In the face of opposition, Subway discontinued the offer in 2018. But less than 2 years later, it was back on tap again. In January of 2020, Subway hired former Burger King CEO John Chidsey, whoâd previously led efforts on a $1 double cheeseburger promotion at Burger King. During a time when many franchisees saw a 40-80% decrease in sales due to COVID-19, the promo was reinvented again â this time, as a $10 deal for 2 footlongs. Though Subway didnât force its franchisees to participate, many felt pressured to do so, since the chainâs [contract]( stipulates that an agreement can be terminated for nearly any reason. âThere was â and still is â a lot of retaliation for not stepping in line,â one long-time Subway owner, who asked to remain anonymous, told The Hustle. âYouâre allowed to do what you want, but there are consequences if they think youâre hurting the brand.â Nonetheless, some franchisees revolted, filing a [complaint]( with the FTC that they were being âbullied into honoring a promotion that is unprofitable.â [Footlong sub] A footlong sub at a Subway franchise in Miami, Florida (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) Just 2 weeks into the planned 11-week promotion, the $5 footlong was laid to rest for a third time. For Subway, it was the cap to a terrible year: In 2020, the ailing franchise closed an [estimated]( 10% of its 22k units, drawing [questions]( about the long-term future of its operations. Since 2012, Subway owners have seen their average annual sales dip from $482k to $417k per store â a significant decline in what is already a slim-margin business. Will the $5 footlong return again? Subway didnât respond to The Hustleâs requests to comment on this story. But Maze, of Restaurant Business, seems to be bullish on the prospect. âThat thing is never going to die,â he said. âItâs going to come back in some different form, at some point in time.â Frankel has a different take. âThereâs no way in hell they bring it back,â he said. âItâs done.â The father of the $5 footlong, now 70, says the only recognition he ever got from the sandwich chain for his $3.8B innovation was a plaque from corporate thanking him for his service. Heâs since sold all but one of his Subway shops â and heâs long since abandoned the idea that made him famous in franchisee circles. âI havenât accepted a $5 footlong coupon in 6 years,â he said. âWe have a sign in the window telling people we donât do it anymore.â Share & discuss this story on: [FACEBOOK](facebook.com/1440219672904565/posts/2802498576676661/) [OUR WEBSITE](
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