Sponsored By April 22 2022 Good morning traders, Welcome back to The Daily Setup. Markets were down yesterday thanks to comments by J Powell. Hereâs whatâs on the docket today: - Jerome Powell alludes to multiple 50 point rate hikes
- Coinbase makes another acquisition
- Elon has secured funds to buy Twitter Check out our newest section Meeting with the Bobs, have a cup of joe, and enjoy your weekend. Nick How'd the markets look? Market Outlook Xerox Runs Dry Biggest Mover [Activision Blizzard, Inc. ]( Looks like Xerox (XRX) needs to refill their ink cartridges because theyâre not printing money like they used to. Shares in the company dropped -15.71% on Thursday after they published an [abysmal Q1]( earnings report. Xerox leadership blamed their folly on the typical excuses: inflation and the supply chain (where have we heard that before?) Theyâre staying optimistic though, keeping their guidance for the rest of 2022 the same, but weâll have to wait til their Q2 earnings report to see if that was a good decision or not. - The good news was that they brought in [$1.67B]( of revenue. The less good news is that it constitutes a -2.5% decline YoY. Silver linings though, right?
- CEO John Visentin says theyâll be turning it around to deliver +1% revenue growth by year-end and that free cash flow (FCF) would reach [$400M](. That would be nice if it wasnât a 29% decline in FCF YoY. This is definitely not a great look for Xerox and it seems like their optimism for the rest of 2022 is riding on some bets that the US economy doesnât have any more bumps in the road. They were certainly affected by the pivot to remote working so hopefully the return-to-office trend will even things out for them. With all this in mind, the company is still paying a 5.1% dividend yield so if the stock sinks lower I might see it as an enticing buy. Tesla Beats Street Street Stories [Cycling Downhill] J-Pow is here to whip inflation and chew bubblegum, and heâs running low on Hubba Bubba. The Fed Chair signaled that the May meeting will most likely see a [half point interest rate raise]( and that similar moves would follow in short order. Powell also alluded to shrinkage (weâve all been there fellas), as in decreasing the size of the Fedâs balance sheet in order to bring rampant inflation under control. The goal is to bring the economy to a soft landing, and heâs going to need some luck since most instances of government intervention wind up like [Toonces the driving cat](. - Despite rapidly rising prices across the board, Powell remained steadfast in his view that the U.S. economy is strong but warned of a labor supply and demand imbalance that could contribute to the inflationary environment. Leave it to a bureaucrat to focus on the negative when people earn more money.
- In terms of Fedspeak, we can [officially retire âtransitoryâ]( and there is a new buzzword, âexpeditiouslyâ which is the pace of rate hikes to come.
- J-Pow didnât rule out the possibility that inflation peaked in March, which tells me that he hasnât shopped for groceries or filled a gas tank lately. The Fed is saying all the right things if they are truly zeroed in on bringing inflation to heel, but when the markets inevitably throw a temper tantrum in response to rising rates, weâll see how steely their resolve is. Getting defensive might be the right play now, so Iâm looking at companies that I spend money with week in and week out, namely Kroger ([KR](), Target ([TGT](), and Onlyfans. Sponsored By: If youâre like us, your portfolio has been more red this year than an Ohioan vacationing in Florida without sunscreen. Growth stocks, value stocks, heck, even crypto are all down. The problem is a correlation, as no matter what you choose, it still seems to rise (and fall) in tandem. [But⦠what if you could invest in something that was actually uncorrelated? A true step toward diversifying your portfolio.]( Thatâs where we come in. [Weâre Alts.co, a newsletter that keeps you up to date on alternative investments. Comics, Sports Cards, Sneakers, and Startups, if you can name it, then odds are that we write about it.]( and Wyatt provide original research and insights across these alternative investments to help you find new assets that fit your portfolio. Join 27,000 others and see what you've been missing. [Subscribe to Alts for FREE!]( *See Disclaimer Below Coinbase Conquers Turkey Token Talk [Token Talk] Itâs time for your weekly âCoinbase-buys-another-international-exchangeâ article. This time COIN has set its sights on BtcTurk, Turkeyâs largest exchange. The Turkish market is particularly appealing due to the countryâs high adoption of crypto in the face of their declining currency, and COIN rivals (looking at you Binance) are establishing their [own presence](. Expect similar announcements like these as Coinbase continues its plans for [world domination](. - The deal is rumored to be worth [$3.2B]( and reportedly at least one firm has already signed a term sheet. There is potential for part of the deal to be a share swap.
- Last month, Coinbase announced its plans to acquire 2TM, the owner of Brazilâs largest exchange, in a deal valued at [$2.1B](. That hasnât closed yet but it would be another feather in COINâs cap. It is worth mentioning that the news caused COIN stock to drop -6.67% on Thursday. I bring it up because itâs clear that theyâre making a huge bet that theyâll be the ultimate crypto broker to persevere after the current global rush weâre seeing. These investments could pay off but they are a risk, especially since crypto is already so volatile. This could be really great news if I believe in their strategy and could be a great buy in hindsight, but only time will tell if COIN is the ultimate winner of the token wars. Twitter - Love me Tender Deals and Rumors [Deals and Rumors] Another day, another twist in the Elon Musk Twitter courtship. The man who eliminated the car dealership from the auto purchasing process is again looking to [cut out the middleman]( by exploring a possible tender offer to buy Twitter ([TWTR](). The Dogefather announced that he has secured $46.5B in funding, coming on the heels of last weekâs offer to purchase the company for $43B. Pearl clutching big J blue check journalist types could be seen collectively fainting across the nation at the news. - Muskâs latest filing outlines debt funding of $25.5B from Morgan Stanley and other firms, and equity financing of $21B with participants including Bank of America, MUFG, Barclays, SG, Mizuho, and BNP Paribas.
- Twitter shares were up slightly on Thursday, closing at $47.08, which is still below the original offer price of $54.20.
- The possibility of a tender offer was first floated on Monday when Musk tweeted lyrics to the Elvis song â[Love Me Tender](â. M&A deals are now conducted via memes and social media and Iâve never felt so old in my life. Right now a snifter of brandy, some comfy slippers, and a Matlock marathon sound pretty good. This whole thing is absolutely absurd, but itâs clear that Elon isnât screwing around and is dead serious about acquiring the worldâs favorite digital cesspool. Heâs got the biggest banks in the world backing him, so a rival bidder swooping in at the last minute with a higher offer seems unlikely. Thereâs still 15% upside from Thursdayâs closing price to Muskâs offer price, so given the uncertainty in the rest of the markets, sailing on the S.S. Arbitrage may be worth my taking a look. Link Roundup Other News Other News Link Roundup + Netflix? Never Heard of âEm- HBO gains 77M Subscribers as Netflix Declines ([link]() + Somewhere Quibi is laughing - CNN+ to Shut Down ([link]() + Good Job! - Unemployment reports at its lowest rate in 52 years ([link]() + Flying High - United Airlines Expects its first Profit since 2019 ([link]() + Mortgage to the Moon! - Mortgage Rates Keep Rising ([link]() Meme of the day I feel attacked, [via @Quartr_App]( [other news] Meeting with the Bobs [other news] Welcome to [Meeting with the Bobs](. Reply directly to this email to respond, and feel free to be creative as possible. Yesterdayâs question was: Would you invest in a spot bitcoin ETF? One person just responded aggressively âOf course I wouldâ, as if I doubted they couldnât. Odds are they still live in their parentâs basement. Todayâs question: Are you confident that Elon will buy Twitter? Click on either of the links below to vote: - [Yes](
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