What hurricane forecasters are watching right now

+ studying the NRA's mistakes US Edition - Today's top story: Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 – here's what forecasters are watching right now [View in browser]( US Edition | 22 May 2021 [The Conversation]( Academic rigor, journalistic flair The Atlantic hurricane season is off to an early start. Subtropical Storm Ana, the first named storm of 2021, formed early Saturday near Bermuda, 10 days ahead of the season's official opening on June 1. The National Hurricane Center released its Atlantic forecast this past week and anticipates another overactive season with as many as 20 named storms and six to 10 hurricanes. How do forecasters know what to expect? We asked [Kris]([Karnauskas](, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Colorado Boulder, to take readers [inside the mind of a hurricane forecaster](. His article walks through the warning signs forecasters watch for, and why coastal communities from Texas to New England shouldn’t let their guard down. This week we also liked articles about why [Rep. Liz Cheney]( is standing her ground, how come [there’s still no HIV vaccine]( and the downside of [making efficiency too high a priority](. Stacy Morford Environment and Climate Editor Hurricanes Katia, Irma and Jose on Sept. 8, 2017. NOAA [Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 – here’s what forecasters are watching right now]( Kristopher Karnauskas, University of Colorado Boulder To get a sense of how bad the 2021 hurricane season will be, keep an eye on the African monsoon, ocean temperatures and a possible late-blooming La Niña. Rep. Liz Cheney, Republican of Wyoming, speaks to the press at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on May 12, 2021. Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images [Representative Cheney calls for order]( John M. Murphy, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Rep. Liz Cheney may have been exiled from her party's leadership, but she's after a bigger thing: the restoration of politically conservative values in the GOP and its voters. The power grid in Texas provides a stark lesson in the balance between efficiency and resilience. AP Photo/David J. Phillip [Engineers and economists prize efficiency, but nature favors resilience – lessons from Texas, COVID-19 and the 737 Max]( Moshe Y. Vardi, Rice University Disasters highlight the cost of society's love of efficiency. Nature, in contrast, favors resilience. Being more like nature offers benefits for society, especially in the face of the climate crisis. - [HIV/AIDS vaccine: Why don’t we have one after 37 years, when we have several for COVID-19 after a few months?]( Ronald C. Desrosiers, University of Miami Scientists developed vaccines for COVID-19 in a matter of months. Why after 37 years do we still not have one for HIV/AIDS? On HIV Vaccine Awareness Day, it's an important question to ask. - [Why I use the NRA as a case study for how nonprofits shouldn’t operate]( Elizabeth Schmidt, University of Massachusetts Amherst The gun group violates four key legal and management principles, a scholar of nonprofits explains. - [Prom send-offs celebrate Black girls and their communities]( Aja D. Reynolds, Wayne State University For Black girls in Chicago, the act of simply going to prom is often a full-scale production that features family, food and music. - [Supermoon! Red blood lunar eclipse! It’s all happening at once, but what does that mean?]( - [How theater can help communities heal from the losses and trauma of the pandemic]( - [Should my child get the COVID-19 vaccine? 7 questions answered by a pediatric infectious disease expert]( - [Pregnancy during COVID-19 lockdown: How the pandemic has affected new mothers]( - [Beer, doughnuts and a $1 million lottery – how vaccine incentives and other behavioral tools can help the US reach herd immunity]( - [As trust between Israeli Jews and Arabs reaches new lows, Netanyahu rises again]( - [The sex scene isn’t disappearing – it’s simply shifting from clichéd fantasy to messy reality]( - [The 2021 World Food Prize recognizes that fish are key for reducing hunger and malnutrition]( You’re receiving this newsletter from [The Conversation](. Not interested anymore? [Unsubscribe](. 303 Wyman Street, Suite 300 Waltham, MA 02451