Massive $3.6 Million Bet on Market Crash

Secret bet on market collapse! Here’s what you need to know. ͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­͏   ­ Forwarded this email? [Subscribe here]() for more [Massive $3.6 Million Bet on Market Crash]( Secret bet on market collapse! Here’s what you need to know. [Josh Belanger](joshbelanger) Jul 9 joshbelanger   [READ IN APP](   Most of Wall Street is lounging in the Hamptons after July 4th.... But today, a massive trade hit the tape that’s grabbing everyone’s attention. Early this morning, a deep-pocketed trader made a huge bet on volatility. This trade involved buying the 25 call in September and selling the 45 call, creating a spread. They paid 36 cents per spread 100,000 times, totaling $3.6 million. Why is this significant? The VIX Index, our fear gauge, is sitting at record lows of 12. That means no one’s expecting a big market crash. So why place such a big bet? It’s either a hedge against a portfolio or a cheap way to bet on rising volatility. For this trader to profit, the VIX needs to go over 25. They hit max profit at 45. The last time the VIX hit 40 was October 2020, and that was after it had been trading at 25. Here’s what’s interesting: when the market is calm, and everyone’s complacent, that's when volatility spikes. Think about it – when there’s heavy concentration in a few stocks, things can get shaky fast. There’s also a potential window of weakness when VIX Futures expire on August 14th, stretching into the first week of September. This is when we might see some real action. This is what I call Hot Money. Every day, I spot big, unusual options trades like that VIX bet. While interesting, I try to find the most intriguing ones. For instance, earlier today I spotted a massive bearish trade in regional banking stocks. With the commercial real estate market worsening, someone placed a big bet looking for a windfall. Put buying in the regional banks has been quiet since my massive call on New York Community Bank put buyers at the start of the year. So now that they're coming back, especially with daily headlines about how bad commercial real estate continues to get, this massive bearish trade has my attention. I’m going to share the details with my Hot Money Trader subscribers tomorrow and explain how to best trade it. If this sounds like something you’re interested in, reply to this email with "Hot Money," and I’ll send you the order form so you can get in on the action too! Good Trading! Josh Belanger You're currently a free subscriber to [Josh Belanger](. For the full experience, [upgrade your subscription.]( [Upgrade to paid](   [Like]( [Comment]( [Restack](   © 2024 Josh Belanger 548 Market Street PMB 72296, San Francisco, CA 94104 [Unsubscribe]() [Get the app]( writing]()