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Economic "Reset" Hidden in Unrest?

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streetauthority.com

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Thu, Sep 24, 2020 11:34 AM

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Is This The Beginning Of A Bear Market? | Startling new research reveals a surprising connection bet

Is This The Beginning Of A Bear Market? [View Online](=)|[Unsubscribe]( [Street Authority Daily] -[]Recommended Link [Economic "Reset" Hidden in Unrest?]( Startling new research reveals a surprising connection between the current nationwide unrest and a secret economic force (worth more than $118 trillion). No one from Wall Street to the White House has the power to stop it. But one small group of investors are setting themselves up to turn this "reset" into an incredible opportunity… potentially turning every $1,000 into $4,060. [Discover how you can join them now - before it's too late. >>]( September 24, 2020 Is This The Beginning Of A Bear Market? By Amber Hestla [Amber Hestla] In case you weren't worried… now would be a good time to start. However, I'm pretty sure everyone is already worried about something right now. Coronavirus is a general worry. Sending kids to school could be a worry for some. Other parents are worried about schools closing and kids starting remote learning again. Many are worried about employment. And there is much more to worry about. -[]Recommended Link [$268,000 or more in just five years?]( Over the last five years, Jim Fink has been quietly handing an elite group of investors the opportunity to double their money (or more), every single Tuesday. Without owning a single share of stock. Imagine being able to turn a tiny $2,000 stake into $4,000 - 134 times. Jim rarely opens up about this system… but he has just pulled back the curtain on it in [a groundbreaking new presentation that you need to see…]( This week, the stock market made its way onto the "worry" list. 2 Takeaways From These Charts Let's start with a look at market breadth. The chart below shows the New York Stock Exchange Advance Decline (A-D) Line. This indicator is found by taking the difference between the number of advancing stocks (stocks that closed up) for the day and the number of declining stocks (stocks that closed down). Every day, the value is added or subtracted from the previous value. Breadth is bullish when the trend in the line is up and bearish when the trend is down. The NYSE A-D Line appears to have topped. This is important because it shows what the majority of stocks are doing. If breadth is down, the majority of stocks are likely to fall. At the bottom of the chart is my Income Trader Volatility (ITV) indicator. ITV is a versatile momentum indicator that rises when momentum is bearish. The current setup on the chart appears similar to the pattern seen at the top in February. Takeaway No. 1: Breadth is starting to take a bearish turn after reaching a new top. ITV confirms this. Next is a chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: ETF) where daily ITV is already on a "sell" signal. The potential top in price can also be seen on the next chart. Takeaway No. 2: The broader market also looks like it's about to take a dive. The Fed Factor So, both breadth and price have turned bearish. On top of all that, last week the Federal Reserve released economic projections that indicate bearishness in the economy. Below is the Fed's updated economic projections. In general, the outlook is more upbeat than it was in June. Source: [Federal Reserve]( The Fed expects unemployment to improve quicker than they did three months ago, falling to 7.6% by the end of the year instead of 9.3% as expected in June. GDP is also expected to improve quicker. But to me, the most interesting part of the projections is the inflation numbers. Since the June projections were released, the Fed announced its new policy to target average inflation of 2%. This means they will tolerate higher inflation for a time. Yet the projections show inflation is expected to be just 2.0% in 2023. If the Fed were confident in their ability to fine-tune inflation, it's reasonable to expect inflation would rise rapidly now that their official policy is to tolerate inflation. However, the Fed is almost admitting an inability to meet that goal. This indicates the economy is unlikely to recover consistently. That's consistent with the high-frequency data we are seeing like [stubbornly high claims for unemployment]( and a [slowdown in retail sales](. The last chart this week shows that the transition from bull market to bear market could be underway. This chart shows SPY in two timeframes, daily (left) and weekly (right). Stochastics, a popular momentum indicator, is at the bottom of both charts. On the daily chart, the pattern is similar to what we saw before the selloff in March. The initial wave of selling pushed stochastics to an oversold extreme. There was a big signal in the indicator, which was quickly reversed. That is where the indicator stands now. On the weekly chart, we see a "sell" signal while the indicator is at an overbought extreme. These signals have preceded significant declines in the past. This popular indicator confirms the signals from ITV. Action To Take I don't like adding to the list of things you should worry about. But we can handle the things that we prepare for. Burying your head in the sand never works. The stock market is in a weak state right now and at risk of a significant decline. But don't worry too much... it's still possible to find winning trades in any market environment. P.S. America faces what my colleague Dr. Stephen Leeb calls a "reset" of our economy. It will revolutionize the way we work, save and invest. Advanced technologies are coming to the fore that will usher in a world that you'll barely recognize. Millions of Americans could soon be left behind by this historic shift -- but you don't have to be one of them. [For details, click here for our special report.]( -[]Recommended Link ["Pfizer Of Pot" Could Put Your Retirement On Easy Street]( With 56 approved U.S. patents, one overlooked biotech has quietly cornered the medical marijuana market. Investors who take action before the company's name is plastered over the evening news could turn a $5,000 stake into $154,435. But you'll need to move quickly... Wall Street vultures are circling. [Click here for details.]( To ensure that you receive these emails, [please add us to your address book.]( Disclosure: StreetAuthority doesn't own shares of any securities mentioned in this article. Members of our staff are restricted from buying or selling any securities for three days after being featured in our advisories or on our website. StreetAuthority is a publisher of financial news and opinions. StreetAuthority is not a securities broker/dealer or an investment advisor and we do not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers or investment advisors. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases and publicly available information which may contain errors. All information contained in our newsletters and/or on our website(s) should be independently verified with the companies or sources mentioned. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and should always conduct your own research and due diligence and consider obtaining professional advice before making any investment decision. This message was sent by an automated message delivery platform. Please do not reply to this email address. Any messages sent to this address will be automatically deleted. We sincerely hope that you benefit from your subscription to this complimentary newsletter, and we're willing to do whatever it takes to keep you as a satisfied subscriber. You may contact our customer service department by [visiting this link](. To update your subscription or unsubscribe, please [click here](. Copyright (c) 2020 StreetAuthority, 7600A Leesburg Pike, Suite 300 Falls Church, VA 22043. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited. [Terms]( | [Privacy]( | [Unsubscribe](

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