Be Careful

Trends stay intact until they don't so obviously this trend will stop at a certain point, however, two previous times this year the market has rallied hard on hopes/expectations/dreams of a Fed pivot only to be brought back to reality. Two previous times, when this correlation diverged, it eventually converged. This is not a recommendation to do anything. Just if you are a bull and you are betting on a full Fed pivot, be careful because if a pivot does not happen, the blue and the red lines are going to converge yet again, with odds pointing to the blue line (S&P 500) coming down to hit the red line (the market's fed funds rate expectation). Stay small and win more trades, Steven STONY BROOK SECURITIES LLC IS A PUBLISHER AND DOES NOT OFFER TRADING ADVICE OR RECOMMENDATIONS. ALL INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND NOT AN OFFER OR A RECOMMENDATION TO TRADE FUTURES CONTRACTS, STOCKS, OPTIONS OR FOREX. GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS REQUIRE DISCLOSURE OF THE FACT THAT WHILE THE TRADING IDEAS AND TRADING METHODS SHOWN ON THIS WEBSITE MAY HAVE WORKED IN THE PAST; BUT PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. WHILE THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR PROFITS THERE IS ALSO A HUGE RISK OF LOSS. A LOSS INCURRED IN CONNECTION WITH TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS, STOCKS, OPTIONS OR FOREX CAN BE SIGNIFICANT. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION SINCE ALL SPECULATIVE TRADING IS INHERENTLY RISKY AND SHOULD ONLY BE UNDERTAKEN BY INDIVIDUALS WITH ADEQUATE RISK CAPITAL. AN INVESTOR COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THE INITIAL INVESTMENT. [FULL INVESTMENT RISK DISCLOSURE]( Copyright © 2022 Stonybrooksecurities LLC, All rights reserved. Want to change how you receive these emails? You can [update your preferences]( or [unsubscribe from this list](. Questions? Contact support@stonybrooksecurities.com