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Your Leg Up as an Individual Investor

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Tue, Dec 26, 2023 12:35 PM

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"Second-level thinking" isn't easy. But it's one way you can set yourself apart from the pack... Dr.

"Second-level thinking" isn't easy. But it's one way you can set yourself apart from the pack... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: We're back to round out the year with more timeless essays from our Stansberry Research editors... And today, we're joined by none other than Brett Eversole. In this essay, which we last published in December 2022, Brett considers some wise words from two investing legends – including the late Charlie Munger – on how to make successful contrarian trades... --------------------------------------------------------------- Your Leg Up as an Individual Investor By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- "It's not supposed to be easy. Anyone who finds it easy is stupid." Charlie Munger told that to Howard Marks over lunch in 2011... Munger, as you probably know, was Warren Buffett's right-hand man for decades as vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway. And Marks is no slouch himself... He's one of the founders of Oaktree Capital Management, an investment company with nearly $200 billion in assets. Both men had built up decades of investment knowledge. Yet Marks felt the lunch was a great learning experience. Munger's words might have seemed harsh. But they cut right to the heart of investing. Today, I'll share what he means... and how it gives you – the individual investor – a leg up in the markets. --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: ['I've Been a Trader and Analyst for 40 Years. I'm Now Staking My Entire Reputation on THIS!']( Dr. David "Doc" Eifrig has successfully navigated every crisis you can imagine in his 40 years as a financial pro: The 1987 "Black Monday" crash... the dot-com bust... the 2008 financial crisis... and the COVID-19 panic. But he says the coming crisis in 2024 will top them all. And he's sharing the most important new work of his life. [For a short time only, get the full story here along with a bonus from Doc](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Billionaires Are Now FLOODING Into Gold]( Ray Dalio, John Paulson, and many others all recommend you own gold right now. But did you know there's another huge investor (worth more than all the world's billionaires COMBINED) buying gold by the ton? That's why the best move to make right now could be this little-known gold investment (which you can get started with for just $5). [Click here for the No. 1 gold recommendation](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Once you think about it, you can see how important Munger's observation was... Millions of people want to make money in the markets. With all that competition, earning outsized returns can't possibly be easy. If you think it is easy, as a lot of people do, then you really don't understand investing. Marks felt this was so important, he used Munger's point to write the first chapter of his book The Most Important Thing. He titled the chapter "Second-Level Thinking." Here's how he described the idea... Remember your goal in investing isn't to earn average returns; you want to do better than average. Thus your thinking has to be better than that of others – both more powerful and at a higher level... For your performance to diverge from the norm, your expectations – and thus your portfolio – have to diverge from the norm, and you have to be more right than the consensus. Different and better: that's a pretty good description of second-level thinking. Here's Marks again, explaining first- and second-level thinking in practice... First-level thinking says, "The outlook calls for low growth and rising inflation. Let's dump our stocks." Second-level thinking says, "The outlook stinks, but everyone else is selling in panic. Buy!" This is the framework of contrarian investing... something that we focus on here in DailyWealth. The truth is that you have the potential to make the biggest gains when you buy what other investors hate... assets they've left for dead. That's when you get the best opportunities to buy, with the biggest potential to outperform. But, as Marks said, your idea has to be different – and better. Making contrarian bets just for the sake of it is a terrible idea. The most important part is being right that the market is wrong. Again, "second-level thinking" isn't easy. The hidden advantage, though, is that this is one way you can set yourself apart from the pack as an individual investor... You've got no one to answer to but yourself. And that means you have the freedom to make contrarian bets – the hard bets – without worry of scrutiny. That's not the case for guys who operate on Marks' or Munger's level. They have investors they must answer to... Plus, everyone in the world is watching what they'll do next. That alone makes it harder for the big-league investors to make (and hold onto) truly contrarian positions. Most folks will tell you individual investors are fighting an uphill battle. After all, when you're competing with guys like these – who have billions of dollars to throw around – finding an edge can seem impossible. This is one area where you have the advantage. Being a contrarian isn't easy... But it's one path to outsized returns. Good investing, Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: As part of our holiday series this year, we're taking a break from our weekly Highs and Lows segment. We'll return with those highlights next week! Further Reading "Buying something just because it's down does not necessarily pay off," Dr. David Eifrig writes. Most folks know this – that's why going against the crowd can be so daunting. But three rules of thumb can help you make smart contrarian bets (and avoid the value traps)... [Read more here](. One quirk of human psychology could be getting in the way of your investment results. It's called "loss aversion." For example, if everyone else is selling, most of us are ready to cut and run with the herd. The good news is, you can get around this hurdle with a few simple steps... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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