One currency outside the U.S. is hated today. But according to history, outperformance is likely in the months ahead... [Stansberry Research Logo]
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[DailyWealth] This Beaten-Down Currency Is Poised to Move Higher By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- One of the biggest market drivers in recent years isn't what you'd expect... Most would point to inflation or the Federal Reserve's actions. But in reality, a lot of the ups and downs happened due to huge swings in the U.S. dollar. The dollar soared nearly 30% from mid-2021 to late 2022. And it has dropped 9% since then. That kind of volatility isn't typical of the world's reserve currency. What's more, the dollar's wild ride helps explain some of the major swings we've seen in stocks, bonds, and commodities. It also explains big moves in other currencies... including a massive sentiment reversal in the Canadian dollar. The currency hasn't been this hated since 2017. And according to history, outperformance is likely in the months ahead. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [WARNING: Today's Federal Reserve Meeting]( Investors are looking to today's final Fed meeting of the year with high hopes for interest-rate relief. But two Wall Street veterans just stepped forward with a dire warning: The Fed's next move could make or break your wealth in the coming weeks. [Here's the No. 1 step they recommend you take before today's closing bell to prepare](.
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--------------------------------------------------------------- Canada's currency crashed as the U.S. dollar soared in 2021 and 2022. The Canadian dollar dropped 13% during that stretch. And it hasn't recovered. That's surprising because the U.S. dollar has also fallen since... And in most cases, a falling greenback means other currencies should rise. That hasn't worked out for the Canadian dollar this time. The currency hit even lower levels last month than it did in late 2022. And that poor performance has spooked traders. We can see that by looking at the Commitment of Traders ("COT") report for the Canadian dollar. The COT shows us what futures traders are doing with their money. It's a useful contrarian tool when it hits extreme levels. You see, when these folks are all bearish, it means a rally is likely. And the COT recently showed that futures traders haven't been this bearish on the Canadian dollar in six years. Take a look... The lower the chart reading, the more bets that futures traders have placed against the Canadian dollar. This level is one of the lowest we've seen since 2007. These folks all expect the decline to continue. But history shows that's not likely. Similar setups have happened three other times. And the Canadian dollar outperformed in a big way in the months that followed. Take a look... most currencies, the Canadian dollar goes nowhere over long periods of time. Since 2007, it has fallen roughly half a percent over a typical six-month period. You can do much better buying after sentiment bottoms, though... Similar instances led to 2.5% gains in three months and 3.8% gains in six months. Those aren't huge numbers on their own. But compared with the losses, they're strong moves in a typically slow-moving currency. The Canadian dollar can go on major rallies, too. They tend to happen after sentiment hits wildly bearish levels... like it has today. Most investors don't spend time thinking about currencies. But consider paying attention to the Canadian dollar today... It could be gearing up for a move higher in the months ahead. Good investing, Brett Eversole Further Reading The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have led the market higher this year. But now, one signal tells us about 80% of stocks are breaking out to the upside. And history shows this broad shift could lead to outperformance ahead... [Read more here](. September and October were tough months for many investors. The correction was painful. But stocks have surged higher since then. And similar downturns have proven to be great buying opportunities â not just for a few months, but for the coming year... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online â or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent â before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.