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Young People Are 'Hacking' Real Estate... Now, Stocks May Follow

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Mon, Dec 4, 2023 12:35 PM

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American housing isn't going anywhere. And the stock market seems to be waking up to that fact now..

American housing isn't going anywhere. And the stock market seems to be waking up to that fact now... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Young People Are 'Hacking' Real Estate... Now, Stocks May Follow By Sean Michael Cummings, analyst, True Wealth --------------------------------------------------------------- Millennials are buying homes by hook or by crook... An unaffordable U.S. housing market is forcing young people onto the sidelines. First-time homebuyers are being priced out, and the market has slowed as a result. But it's a mistake to think housing is due for a crash. Just look at the rise of millennial "house hacking"... House hacking is when you buy a home, move in, and then rent out some or all of it for additional income. It can help defray the costs of a monthly home payment. And according to recent data from Zillow, the practice is surging among younger generations. A staggering 55% of millennial homebuyers said that the ability to house hack was a priority when they bought. Only 36% of Gen X respondents and 4% of Boomers and the Silent Generation gave the same answer. Young people have accepted that prices aren't falling anytime soon. They're getting creative – and pragmatic – to get the properties they want. In short, the demand for homes today is as high as ever... so much so, that it still trumps a prohibitive mortgage rate. American housing isn't going anywhere. And today, the stock market seems to be waking up to that fact, too. Real estate stocks recently passed a critical support level – which suggests the sector has room to run... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [Sell All Your Stocks Before 2024?]( For the first time since the Great Depression, this insidious economic indicator is flashing RED. A massive move in stocks could soon follow. It's time to brace yourself for one of the most bewildering and devastating years in financial history. [Here's exactly what to do with your money to prepare now](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Billionaires Are Now FLOODING Into Gold]( Ray Dalio, John Paulson, and many others all recommend you own gold right now. But did you know there's another huge investor (worth more than all the world's billionaires COMBINED) buying gold by the ton? That's why the best move to make right now could be this little-known gold investment (which you can get started with for just $5). [Click here for the No. 1 gold recommendation](. --------------------------------------------------------------- It has been a volatile year for the real estate sector... I'm talking about the companies that conceive, design, manage, and operate America's buildings. These businesses are central to the American economy. And their stocks have been swinging wildly. We can see this using the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE). This exchange-traded fund ("ETF") tracks a broad selection of real estate companies. So its moves reflect the sector as a whole. From the price action alone, we can see investors have been piling in and out of XLRE since January. Take a look... Investors have driven the price of real estate stocks up and down all year. In total, the sector has returned about 3% year to date. But a more durable uptrend is underway for these companies, based on one technical signal. You see, XLRE just broke above its 200-day moving average (200-DMA)... The 200-DMA is plotted out in red on the chart above. This indicator is exactly what it sounds like. It shows us the rolling average of the past 200 days of prices... which is a great way to show an asset's long-term trend. But it can also serve another function – as a line of "support"... That's because investors often step in and buy assets when they cross their moving averages. So prices often find a floor when they surpass the 200-DMA. I wanted to test what this move meant for XLRE. To do that, I found every other time the fund crossed above its 200-DMA to see what the signal meant for future returns. It's pretty rare for XLRE to make these kinds of breakouts. The fund has only completed this move 44 times since it launched in 2015. But when it does, it tends to be a good sign for real estate stocks going forward. Take a look... History shows us that XLRE's 3% return this year is right in line with the average. But that return jumps significantly if you buy XLRE when it crosses above its 200-DMA... Real estate stocks tended to pull back about 2% following this cross over the next three months. But they returned 3% on average in a six-month period... and 11% after a year. What's more, this signal led to positive one-year returns 61% of the time. So the odds are good that the sector will continue to rise. Despite a volatile year, housing demand is as high as ever. Even the folks who are priced out of the market are finding creative ways to hack their way in. Now, the stock market is starting to reprice real estate companies based on this demand. Simply put, XLRE's recent jump could be the start of a longer rally. Good investing, Sean Michael Cummings Further Reading "Home prices only have one direction to go from here... up," Brett Eversole writes. Many folks thought housing prices would collapse in 2022. Some still expect a serious decline. But one twist in the supply-and-demand story shows why U.S. housing is defying the naysayers... [Read more here](. Mortgage rates have soared. It's extremely difficult for homebuyers to find and afford homes today. But that doesn't spell doom and gloom for the sector – because prices aren't behaving the way you might expect... [Learn more here](. Market Notes HIGHS AND LOWS NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Visa (V)... payment-processing giant Gartner (IT)... research and consulting Amazon (AMZN)... online-retail king Intel (INTC)... chipmaker IBM (IBM)... computers Adobe (ADBE)... cloud services Palo Alto Networks (PANW)... cybersecurity Salesforce (CRM)... customer-management software Intuit (INTU)... tax-prep software Uber Technologies (UBER)... ride hailing Spotify Technology (SPOT)... audio streaming UnitedHealth (UNH)... health care giant Boston Scientific (BSX)... medical devices Lululemon Athletica (LULU)... yoga pants General Electric (GE)... manufacturing Stellantis (STLA)... automaker Cheniere Energy (LNG)... natural gas Phillips 66 (PSX)... oil and gas Cameco (CCJ)... uranium NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Alibaba (BABA)... Chinese e-commerce platform Agilon Health (AGL)... management-services organization Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)... retail pharmacy Hormel Foods (HRL)... food products Franco-Nevada (FNV)... gold royalties --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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