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Don't Bail on Stocks After One Rough Month

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Tue, Sep 19, 2023 11:35 AM

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It's not often that you get to witness the follies of investor psychology play out in real time. But

It's not often that you get to witness the follies of investor psychology play out in real time. But it's happening right now... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Don't Bail on Stocks After One Rough Month By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- It's not often that you get to witness the follies of investor psychology play out in real time. But it's happening right now... If you're looking for problems, you'll always find them – and most investors do just that. They're generally worrywarts. And they worry even more as stocks rise... because they're afraid the good times are about to end. Bull markets endure, though. They tend to push higher despite those fears. It's the old saying in action – that stocks climb a Wall of Worry. We're seeing this behavior right now, based solely on the market's recent returns. Stocks racked up massive gains through July, followed by weakness in August. Last month's losses might seem like a bad omen. But history shows this is a rare – and promising – setup. And it could lead to 17% gains over the next year. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: # [Top Five AI Stocks to Buy in 2023]( Investors are getting very rich in AI stocks right now. And according to 50-year Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin, there are FIVE AI companies Wall Street is buying hand over fist that need to be on your radar immediately. [Click here for names and tickers](. --------------------------------------------------------------- # [Watch the 2023 Stansberry Conference From Home!]( Get all the Vegas action, industry presentations, and stock favorites from our most popular event of the year – no travel required. [Claim your livestream pass right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Stocks roared higher through the first seven months of 2023. The S&P 500 Index was up 19.5% through the end of July. We haven't seen a better start to the year since 1997. To investors, it was all smooth sailing. Then, August happened... Stocks dropped 2% last month. That's not a massive drop. But it was the first losing month since February. And that twinge of pain created a new Wall of Worry. Now, many investors are questioning if this bull market can last. We've seen this kind of setup before, though... I'm talking specifically about big gains through July, followed by losses in August. Take a look at how this move played out recently... This kind of market action isn't common. We've only seen nine other cases of stocks rallying 19.5% or more from January through July since 1928. And just like this time, stocks usually fell in August after that kind of rally – pulling back in six of those nine instances. Investors are scared that those losses indicate more pain to come. The Wall of Worry is telling them that the good times went too far and more declines are likely. But based on history, that couldn't be further from the truth... You see, after similar setups, stocks ended up higher a year later 100% of the time. And the typical return was darn impressive. Take a look... Investing in stocks for the long run is a great investment strategy. After all, the S&P 500 has returned 6% per year over nearly a century of data. But if you buy at the right time, you can crush that return... Buying after moves like this led to a typical gain of 5.2% in three months, a 12% gain in six months, and a 16.7% gain over the next year. That's nearly triple what stocks typically return in the following year. And again, this setup has a perfect track record. Investors who are focused on finding problems won't want to see this. They'll view the weak month for stocks as the start of something much worse. We know better, though... Stocks are climbing the Wall of Worry for now... But history shows that could lead to double-digit gains over the next year. And that's one more good reason to stay long right now. Good investing, Brett Eversole Further Reading We've seen bullish investor surveys... and a booming market through July. Even so, stock fund flows have been largely negative this year. But these conditions are telling us something important: When sentiment finally turns around, the next surge higher could be massive... [Learn more here](. Folks have been stashing more of their cash in money market accounts. That's a great idea when you're looking for safety. But in a recovery after a bear market – like we're seeing today – the opportunity cost of sitting on the sidelines could be steeper than you think... [Read more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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