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The Options Market Just Flashed a Bullish Signal for Stocks

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Fri, Sep 15, 2023 11:35 AM

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Amateur investors are diving headfirst into 24-hour options. That's usually a reason to be cautious.

Amateur investors are diving headfirst into 24-hour options. That's usually a reason to be cautious. But it does suggest something interesting about today's bull market... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] The Options Market Just Flashed a Bullish Signal for Stocks By Matt McCall, editor, Matt McCall's MegaTrend Investor --------------------------------------------------------------- If you thought that wild market speculation was a thing of the past... think again. I don't often talk about options. They're a bit more complicated than stocks – which are typically the center of our focus. But it's important to keep tabs on the activity in the options market because it can impact what goes on with stocks. And right now, options trading is booming. Amateur investors are diving headfirst into 24-hour options. It's a sign of excitement. And while that's usually a reason to be cautious, it does suggest something interesting about today's bull market... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: ['DUMP YOUR CASH NOW']( The clock is ticking on what may be the biggest financial event in 20 years, as one of the oldest technical indicators just started flashing. It's the same signal we saw coming out of the dot-com crash of the early 2000s... the great financial crisis... and even the COVID-19 crash. But if you want to take advantage, you must position yourself immediately. [Click here to see why](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [The No. 1 AI Stock of 2023 (Not Nvidia)]( It's not Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, or Amazon. But thanks to a recent major deal, an under-the-radar stock could become the No. 1 winner of the 2023 artificial-intelligence boom. "This company just teamed up with one of the biggest power players in the AI industry, yet you can still buy it for just one-twelfth the price of Nvidia. The time to buy is NOW," says Marc Chaikin. [Click here for the name and ticker](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Generally speaking, traders use options to boost their returns over buying a stock outright. Each option contract represents 100 shares of stock. Options offer leverage, which means their value can soar when you get a trade right... or tank if you get one wrong. A lot of folks appear willing to take that bet right now... As you can see below, the average daily trading volume for options has exploded in recent years. In 2018, roughly 20 million options were traded per day. Today, that figure has soared to more than 40 million contracts... That's surprising on its own. Options can be tricky to use successfully unless you have a lot of experience. But what's even more surprising is that most of the options that investors are after these days have incredibly short life spans. You see, options contracts have a predetermined expiration date. When you purchase one, you're making an agreement to buy or sell shares of stock at a predetermined price by a certain date. Contracts with expiration dates further in the future are a bit easier to trade. They're not quite as volatile because the stock has time to move around before you're forced to act. But as you can see in the chart below, nearly 50% of the contracts in the recent spike have an expiration date within five days... A few years ago, these short-term options trades made up about a third of activity. So this is a big increase. Clearly, folks are willing to gamble on near-term stock movements. But as I mentioned, it can be risky... You have to get just about everything right to earn a profit from a trade that close to expiration. If you manage to bet correctly, you can make massive gains in the market. But most of these short-term bets will go to zero. This isn't investing. It's more like gambling – like going to the casino and putting a bet on your favorite number at the roulette table. The recent increase in options trading is likely the result of it becoming much more accessible over the past few years. You used to have to either make a phone call or log in to your brokerage account to place an option trade – after you received approval to do so, of course. Today, many brokers offer options privileges quickly. And you can trade them using a simple smartphone app. So the barriers to entry have been lowered. Because of that, I wouldn't count on this trend turning around right away. This kind of excitement might seem ominous. But it could be a good thing for the broad stock market... Speculation is a key component of a bull market rally. People tend to be more conservative during tough times, whether in the economy or the stock market. And that's obviously not the case here. Traders have plenty of appetite for risk today. This could be a hidden sign that the bull market has a lot more room to run. Here's to the future, Matt McCall --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: Money has poured into a few specific stocks this year. The "Magnificent Seven" and the AI mania have led the rally. But if you feel like you missed the big gains – or if you're not sure whether it's safe to leave the sidelines – make sure you check out our recent presentation... Matt and Brett Eversole teamed up to cover why this year's stock boom is way bigger than just a bear market rally... why history is in our favor... and how to position yourself now. [You can watch it right here](. Further Reading Investors love to speculate on IPOs. New and exciting companies attract a lot of attention. But they don't always live up to the hype – and that means they're also a common way for folks to get burned... [Read more here](. Investors are feeling more optimistic. But after last year's declines, not everyone is hungry for risk. A lot of money is still flowing out of stocks – and pouring into safe havens like bonds. This means bullish sentiment has plenty of room to grow... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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