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You've Been Warned About Investing in IPOs

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Sat, Sep 9, 2023 11:37 AM

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Whenever a hot new company debuts on the public market, it draws a lot of attention. But be careful

Whenever a hot new company debuts on the public market, it draws a lot of attention. But be careful buying into this kind of hype... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: Even when a trend is poised for huge long-term gains, you can still lose money on the wrong stocks. In today's Weekend Edition, we're taking a break from our usual fare to cover the dangers of buying into overhyped market debuts. Our colleague Matt McCall shares a recent example of a company that led investors astray... and how you can avoid making this common mistake. --------------------------------------------------------------- You've Been Warned About Investing in IPOs By Matt McCall, editor, Matt McCall's MegaTrend Investor --------------------------------------------------------------- Investors went a little crazy... Whenever a hot new company debuts on the public market, it draws a lot of attention. These stocks can sometimes double or even triple in their first day of trading as folks scramble to scoop up shares. But be careful buying into this kind of hype. It doesn't typically last long. And that can lead to quick losses for those early buyers. We saw a perfect example of this last month... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Link: [September 12 Will Change Everything]( If you missed the AI rally earlier this year, you can't overlook this new prediction about what will happen NEXT to U.S. stocks. Two top experts say it could be a turning point for millions of Americans. But if you know what's coming, you could potentially make 10 times your money or more, 10 different times, without touching options or cryptos. [Click here for the details](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Vietnamese electric-vehicle ("EV") maker VinFast Auto (VFS) debuted on the Nasdaq via a merger with special purpose acquisition company Black Spade Acquisition. Shares opened at $22 on August 15 and immediately spiked – closing the day at $37.06. That's a nearly 70% jump. The rally pushed VinFast's market capitalization to $85 billion – which is bigger than both BMW (BMWYY) and Volkswagen (VWAGY). I'd say it was a successful launch. But here's the wrinkle... In May, VinFast told investors that it plans to sell 50,000 EVs this year. But through July – before its August initial public offering ("IPO") – it had only sold 16,000 of them. It also sold just 137 of its VF 8 model in the U.S. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) sold about 466,000 EVs in its last quarter alone. While VinFast is building a factory in North Carolina that will produce up to 150,000 vehicles annually, it won't be up and running until at least 2025. So it's way behind in its sales goals – and has only sold a fraction of what other EV manufacturers have accomplished. It won't have the capacity to ramp up its production for a few years. And at its market debut, it was valued at $85 billion. I find that... interesting. I know a lot of folks are excited about VinFast's prospects. I'm more bullish on the future of EVs than most. But I'm also a smart investor, and I never ignore the facts in front of me. Not only is VinFast's massive valuation incredibly hard to justify... but there's simply no way it should be worth more than two of the top carmakers in the world. This reminds me of when popular EV maker Rivian Automotive (RIVN) hit the market back in November 2021. There was a lot of hype around the automaker, partly because it had a long line of customers waiting to get their hands on its cars. That was enough for folks to race in and buy its shares. The stock more than doubled in its first few trading days. Then, reality set in... At its peak, Rivian shares traded at $172.01 – pushing its market cap up to $153 billion. But that didn't last long. The stock turned lower quickly and has mostly fallen since. As you can see below, it's down about 70% from its IPO – and much more than that from its peak... Today, Rivian has a market cap of a little more than $20 billion. And investors who bought in around its IPO and held their positions are sitting on big losses. This is exactly why you want to be careful with new and popular IPOs. They can be exciting, sure – especially when they take off right away. But the hype almost always dies down, and then you're left holding a company that isn't worth what you thought it was. As for VinFast, shares have already come down a lot from their recent peak. But I suspect more downside could be ahead... and shareholders will end up in a similar position as early buyers of Rivian. You've been warned. Here's to the future, Matt McCall --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: On Tuesday, September 12, Matt is teaming up with Brett Eversole to talk about the future of this bull market. Their new prediction is focused on just 10 stocks... But these aren't the big tech stocks everyone else is obsessed with today. So, if you're transfixed by the huge gains this year in stocks like Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia... make sure you tune in. What happens next could be much more profitable – if you're willing to dig deeper than the hype. [RSVP for the free online discussion here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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