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Why the VR Bears Are Wrong About Apple's Vision Pro

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Mon, Jun 12, 2023 11:38 AM

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Many investors see the Vision Pro headset as a blunder. But when we zoom out, there's a much likelie

Many investors see the Vision Pro headset as a blunder. But when we zoom out, there's a much likelier reason for the dip in Apple's shares... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Why the VR Bears Are Wrong About Apple's Vision Pro By Sean Michael Cummings, analyst, True Wealth --------------------------------------------------------------- Virtual reality ("VR") is becoming a high-stakes game. And Apple (AAPL) just went all-in... On June 5, the consumer-electronics giant announced its first major new product in nearly a decade – the Apple Vision Pro. This device uses what's known as "mixed reality" technology, a combination of virtual and augmented reality. The Vision Pro is a ski-goggle-sized headset. It lets you overlay computer graphics over the real world... promising a new, "spatial" computing experience. For $3,499, folks will be able to experience their apps in 3D space. It's a big gamble on the future of VR. The announcement caused some volatility in AAPL's share price... And many VR bears are saying it's the "beginning of the end" for the giant. But they're likely getting ahead of themselves. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [This Disease Is Spreading Across the Nation]( This disease currently impacts 125 million Americans. But a breakthrough from ONE drug company could soon have the power to change everything... and treat an additional 3 billion people globally. A top medical financial analyst predicts massive gains for those who act now – BEFORE a major announcement from the FDA comes, which could be as soon as June 26. [Click here before this hits major headlines](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Prepare Now for the Greatest Wall Street Event of 2023]( After a year of losses, a short period of 300% to 500% potential gains is fast approaching. The last time this happened, 41 stocks doubled or more in just nine months. Now, the Pentagon consultant who correctly called the 2020 bull run is officially sounding the alarm. [Click here while there's still time](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Many investors see the Vision Pro headset as a blunder. And they're pointing to Apple's stock chart as the proof. In the lead-up to the Vision Pro announcement, AAPL's share price hit an all-time high. Then, after the news came out, it plunged almost 2% over three trading days. Some publications are suggesting that Apple has peaked... - The day after the announcement, Yahoo Finance published an article titled, "Apple's big unveil met with a whimper." - Wired magazine followed that on June 8 with an article titled, "Apple's Vision Pro Isn't the Future." - On June 6, Videogamer.com opined, "The Apple Vision Pro misses the point of VR, and will flop as a result." But don't let the sensational headlines fool you. It's a mistake to bet against Apple based on last Monday's price move alone. True, if you break it down, the timing of the drawdown on announcement day looks significant. AAPL took a big dip almost exactly when the Vision Pro was revealed. Take a look... It looks like the market rejected Apple's new offering in real time. But if we expand our view, two important points suggest something else is at work... First, historically, this isn't a huge one-day move for the stock. AAPL only fell about 0.8% on announcement day. The company's share price has fallen that much or more on about 32% of trading days since 1990. So the odds of last Monday's move are about one-in-three – well in line with the historic range. Second, when we zoom out, there's a much likelier reason for the dip in Apple's shares... And it plays out just about every time the company debuts new tech. Take a look at the one-day returns on the dates of Apple's other big product reveals... With the exception of the iPhone, Apple's share price tends to stay flat or fall when it makes its biggest announcements. The average drawdown is about negative 0.6%, right in line with last Monday's dip. The repeated price falls after these launches comes down to a popular investing strategy: "Buy the rumor, sell the news." Investors will use new product hype as a buying signal for a company. This lets them profit as anticipation pushes up share prices. Then, when the product is finally revealed, these investors quickly exit their positions. This helps them avoid the downside if the news ends up misfiring. This strategy is likely what caused the fall after Apple's Vision Pro announcement. It has little to do with the actual product – and everything to do with the news cycle. We can't know yet if the Vision Pro will succeed. But don't assume the market has written off the new device already. Last week's volatility is right in line with history... We haven't seen the end of Apple. Good investing, Sean Michael Cummings Further Reading One trend in technology is sticking around whether we like it or not... the ever-present tip screen at the end of the checkout line. Right now, the market is betting against the company that's accelerating "tipping culture." But that's likely a mistake... [Read more here](. Investors are going crazy for new tech-like artificial intelligence... and leaving the "boring" sectors behind. That means we have a contrarian opportunity to buy some of the economy's most reliable businesses while no one is paying attention... [Learn more here](. Market Notes HIGHS AND LOWS NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Alphabet (GOOGL)... tech "World Dominator" Oracle (ORCL)... database and cloud services Netflix (NFLX)... video streaming Spotify Technology (SPOT)... audio streaming Uber Technologies (UBER)... ride-hailing giant Sony (SONY)... gadgets and entertainment DraftKings (DKNG)... sports-betting leader Honda Motor (HMC)... automaker Ingersoll Rand (IR)... manufacturing MasTec (MTZ)... infrastructure and engineering Otis Worldwide (OTIS)... elevators and escalators D.R. Horton (DHI)... homebuilder PulteGroup (PHM)... homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL)... homebuilder NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Target (TGT)... big-box retailer Dollar General (DG)... discount retailer Estée Lauder (EL)... cosmetics Advance Auto Parts (AAP)... auto parts --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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