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Stocks Turn Positive, With More Gains to Come

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Thu, Jun 8, 2023 11:36 AM

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The S&P 500 Index broke a rare streak in recent weeks. And stocks could jump 15% over the next year

The S&P 500 Index broke a rare streak in recent weeks. And stocks could jump 15% over the next year as a result... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Stocks Turn Positive, With More Gains to Come By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- Investing can be as complicated – or as simple – as you make it... If you want to, you can comb through books about the investing greats. You can learn what makes them tick and how they did what they did. Then, it's time to roll up your sleeves and get to work. You might do deep-dive research into dozens of companies. You could spend hours picking apart their businesses and scrutinizing their financial statements. And you'd be doing all that work... while hoping to get an edge over thousands of professional investors who are doing the same thing. That's the hard way. Sure, it can lead to incredible results. But you can also do darn well by keeping things simple... and sticking with the trend. All those pros doing the deep research are setting prices. But when prices get moving, they tend to keep moving. We can follow that trend to earn easy profits. Acting at the right time can help us put the odds in our favor, without taking on huge risks. Now is one of those times. The S&P 500 Index broke a rare streak in recent weeks... And stocks could jump 15% over the next year as a result. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [NEW: The FDA Could Approve the Most Important Drug of Our Lifetimes on June 26]( As soon as June 26, an FDA announcement could enable ONE company to dominate an emerging health market set to grow 842% while treating more than 70 diseases. This is the kind of rare moneymaking situation we've seen turn a $10,000 stake into $75,800 in just four years. [Full story exposed here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Prepare Now for the Greatest Wall Street Event of 2023]( After a year of losses, a short period of 300% to 500% potential gains is fast approaching. The last time this happened, 41 stocks doubled or more in just nine months. Now, the Pentagon consultant who correctly called the 2020 bull run is officially sounding the alarm. [Click here while there's still time](. --------------------------------------------------------------- You can measure the trend in plenty of different ways. One way is to use a tool called the simple moving average. For example, the 10-month moving average just takes the average of closing prices over the past 10 months. When a stock trades above that line, it's in an uptrend. Another easy way to measure the trend is to see if stocks were up or down over the past 12 months. If they're up, then the trend is positive. The S&P 500 had a positive 12-month return at the end of April. That alone isn't special... Rather, it's the fact that this was the first positive return in a year. Stocks consistently showed a negative trailing 12-month return from the end of April 2022 through March 2023. But that turned positive in April and May of this year. You can see it in the chart below... It's darn rare to see a year or more of losses based on this measure. Similar streaks have only happened eight other times since 1950. Here's what matters, though... Once this kind of streak ends, the trend is up. And stocks have a history of fantastic returns after a trend reversal. The table below shows the details... Just owning stocks is one of the simplest and most profitable long-term investments you can make. The S&P 500 has increased 7.8% per year since 1950. But you can do even better if you buy when the trend turns higher... Similar setups have led to 5.5% gains in three months, 10.1% gains in six months, and an impressive result of 15.1% gains over a year. That's nearly double the typical gain in stocks a year later. What's more, stocks were higher in every case over the following year. It's tough to find an indicator with a perfect track record. But this one has it. The three most recent times that this indicator triggered were especially powerful. Those cases were in 2009, 2003, and 1982. And they ended up being the three best buying opportunities of the past 50 years. We're seeing a similar setup today. Stocks have been losing money since 2022. But the losing streak recently ended. That's just one more reason we want to stay bullish and own stocks right now. Good investing, Brett Eversole Further Reading "When the bull market emerges, it'll be a powerful one," Brett says. Money-market funds have seen big inflows over the past year. But soon, folks on the sidelines will forget their fears. And that means a flood of cash is ready to pour back into stocks... [Learn more here](. This year started off with a bang. Stocks saw their best January return since 2019. It might sound too simple to be true, but the trend matters in investing – and according to history, the rally we've seen since the start of the year makes perfect sense... [Read more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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