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This Left-for-Dead Commodity Could Be Ready for a Comeback

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Mon, Feb 6, 2023 12:35 PM

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Folks who are bailing on this asset may be getting ahead of themselves – because the next big r

Folks who are bailing on this asset may be getting ahead of themselves – because the next big reversal could be just around the corner... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] This Left-for-Dead Commodity Could Be Ready for a Comeback By Sean Michael Cummings, analyst, True Wealth --------------------------------------------------------------- One of last year's biggest financial stories is still playing out... but the world stopped watching. It began with Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Europe plunged into a wartime economy as Russia imposed an embargo on natural gas... And prices skyrocketed. The commodity shot up 108% from the start of the conflict in February to last August, when prices peaked. But today, the trend has more than turned over. []Natural gas now costs 48% less than it did the day the invasion began. What's more, investors hate the idea of owning natural gas today. But folks who are bailing on natural gas may be getting ahead of themselves... because the next big reversal could be just around the corner. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [Here's What You Missed Last Week]( The man who nailed the Melt Up explains why a rare moment is coming for stocks this year and how it could open the biggest moneymaking opportunity of the next 20 years. You could have doubled your money more than a dozen times with his picks, so be sure to watch his exclusive interview while it's still online. [Click here for his FREE recommendation for 2023](. --------------------------------------------------------------- ['This Is What I Just Told the Pentagon']( While everyone's worried about inflation, cryptocurrencies, and a looming recession, professor and forensic accountant Joel Litman just delivered an even more surprising warning when he met with top military brass at the Pentagon recently. [Here's what Joel says will happen to the market over the next 90 days](. --------------------------------------------------------------- The world runs on natural gas... And climate control is a huge source of the demand. Buildings often use natural gas furnaces for heat. That's why a Russian embargo on natural gas was so frightening. No natural gas meant no heat in Europe – so a bad winter could easily turn deadly. Thankfully, the worst-case scenario didn't come to pass. The seasonal forecast was mild. Natural gas prices found a top in 2022... and then collapsed. Today, the price of natural gas is down nearly 75% since its August peak. And it recently completed one of the steepest six-week drawdowns in history. Take a look... Investors are fleeing natural gas. And now, the move to the downside may be overdone. One tool we can use to see this is the relative strength index ("RSI"). You can see this indicator on the bottom half of the chart above. Simply put, this indicator flags when an asset makes a tough-to-sustain move in either direction. When an asset's price jumps up too fast, the RSI will rise above 70. This tells us the asset is "overbought" and likely to fall. If the price declines too fast, the RSI will drop below 30. This means an asset is "oversold"... And a rally often follows. As you can see, natural gas futures recently hit at an RSI of a little more than 27 – well into oversold territory. That means investors should be paying attention... History shows that when an oversold RSI reading rises back above 30, natural gas tends to go on a yearlong tear. Take a look... Over time, natural gas returns are pretty flat – up just 2% in a typical year. But after coming out of oversold territory, the commodity takes off... It returns an average of 4% in three months, 6% in six months, and 10% in a year after a turnaround starts. We're not there yet. This commodity isn't quite out of oversold territory. But the bait is set for a double-digit rally. No one is watching natural gas today... And that's the perfect setup for big outperformance. Good investing, Sean Michael Cummings Further Reading "When an asset is hated and the price is going up, it usually leads to big gains," Dr. David Eifrig writes. That's what has happened with gold recently. And the rally is likely to continue... [Learn more here](. "A multiyear high like this means that futures traders are all betting that the euro will rally," Brett Eversole explains. The problem is, these traders are terrible market timers. That means this booming currency could be setting up for a fall... [Read more here](. Market Notes HIGHS AND LOWS NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Progressive (PGR)... insurance Oracle (ORCL)... database and cloud services Microchip Technology (MCHP)... semiconductors STMicroelectronics (STM)... semiconductors Stryker (SYK)... medical devices Ulta Beauty (ULTA)... makeup and skin care Ferrari (RACE)... luxury cars Las Vegas Sands (LVS)... casinos and resorts D.R. Horton (DHI)... homebuilder Lennar (LEN)... homebuilder W.W. Grainger (GWW)... industrial supplies MasTec (MTZ)... infrastructure and engineering General Electric (GE)... manufacturing Trane Technologies (TT)... HVAC manufacturer Cummins (CMI)... diesel engines BorgWarner (BWA)... auto parts Ryder System (R)... logistics Expeditors International (EXPD)... logistics NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Centene (CNC)... health insurance Sirius XM (SIRI)... satellite radio --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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