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'Hopium' Addicts Just Got a Reality Check

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Sat, Dec 24, 2022 01:35 PM

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In today's Masters Series, adapted from the December 19 issue of the Chaikin PowerFeed daily e-lette

In today's Masters Series, adapted from the December 19 issue of the Chaikin PowerFeed daily e-letter, Marc discusses the impact of the Fed's recent shift in its inflation-fighting strategy... explains how the central bank's rate-hike policy could still lead to a recession... and details why it's crucial to have access to the best information available in order to survive this bear market... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [Stansberry Master Series] Editor's note: Don't let hope and optimism cloud your judgment... The Federal Reserve recently approved a 50-basis-point hike, marking the first decline in its interest-rate policy this year. But the central bank looks poised to continue boosting rates as long as inflation remains elevated... That's why Marc Chaikin – founder of our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics – says investors must remain focused on the long term while navigating this chaotic market... In today's Masters Series, adapted from the December 19 issue of the Chaikin PowerFeed daily e-letter, Marc discusses the impact of the Fed's recent shift in its inflation-fighting strategy... explains how the central bank's rate-hike policy could still lead to a recession... and details why it's crucial to have access to the best information available in order to survive this bear market... --------------------------------------------------------------- 'Hopium' Addicts Just Got a Reality Check By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics "Fed watching" is far from my favorite game in finance... After all, the Federal Reserve is boring. Have you tried listening to a Fed official speak? They're ambiguity specialists. You'll never catch them taking a perfectly clear stance. Even worse, the institution holds outsized power over the financial world... In bull markets, it's easy to mostly ignore the central bank. But in tough stretches, the Fed decides it's time to act. And as we've learned, those actions ripple through the economy. We're feeling that right now... As I recently told my readers, the Fed holds the markets in the palm of its hand. Chair Jerome Powell just confirmed that idea after the Fed's latest meeting... The Fed raised the benchmark interest rate by another half percentage point. That sounds small. But it's pretty sizable when it comes to the Fed's policy adjustments. Plus, it made the move despite the year-over-year change in inflation coming in at roughly 7% the day before. That was lower than analysts' expectations. So you might think that result would lead to a more "dovish" reaction. But not for Powell – at least not yet... If you didn't see Powell's speech, even for "Fed speak," his message was as clear as it gets. The Fed will keep raising rates as long as inflation remains elevated. Sure, Powell said the Fed will consider transitioning to a more traditional quarter-percentage-point cadence moving forward. But the reality we're facing is unavoidable. From my vantage point, it appears that the Fed intends to push us into a recession. And that means the "hopium" addicts looking for a quick fix just got a reality check... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Link: [Just One Week to Move Your Money]( Wall Street legend Marc Chaikin has found nine of the 10 best-performing stocks every year for the last seven years. And for the first time ever, he's revealing exactly where to move your money before 2023. [Click here for Marc Chaikin's 2023 road map](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Regular Chaikin PowerFeed readers know the concept of hopium well by now. And I recently explained in detail how even if the Fed changes course, stocks still face more pain ahead. History shows it won't be enough to simply stop raising rates... Every bear market for many decades has ended only when the Fed actively lowered rates. Even if the Fed does slow its aggressive rate hikes – or stops them altogether – the data paints a clear picture. A new bull market likely won't begin until after the Fed shifts gears. But the thing is... nobody can know exactly when that will happen. I've spent more than 50 years proving that the right data can help us see major moves in the market in advance. However, that's only possible if you're using the right system. My system is called the Power Gauge. It measures more than 5,000 stocks and exchange-traded funds using 20 different factors in four major categories – Financials, Earnings, Technicals, and Experts. And ultimately, it helps me see the future potential of any stock, sector, or industry by just clicking a button. The Power Gauge is how we avoided the Big Tech and biotech minefields in 2022. And my readers know the system also pointed us to the energy sector early in its uptrend. Almost nothing is truly "impossible" when it comes to timing the stock market – as long as you use the right system. But winning a game of Fed watching is one of those things... It's a fool's game that has burned millions of investors already this year. And all signs point to it burning millions more in just the first few months of 2023. Folks, it takes more than just hopium to navigate a market like the current one. That's exactly why I've spent my career developing data-driven systems. Don't rely on hoping the direction of the wind will change. Instead, follow the data to find opportunities that will likely soar no matter what's happening in the broad market. That's what I'll be doing. And I'll be doing it with the Power Gauge at my side. Good investing, Marc Chaikin --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: Relying on hope to guide your portfolio could cost you everything in the early days of 2023. You need to find the best assets to hold, and Marc has found nine of the 10 best-performing stocks every year for the past seven years. And now, he's coming forward to show you what to do with your money before going into next year... Marc recently hosted an online presentation to share the names of what he believes will be the best- and worst-performing stocks of 2023. [Get the full details here](... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Link: ['This Is What I Told the Pentagon Last Week']( While everyone's worried about inflation, cryptocurrencies, and a looming recession, professor and forensic accountant Joel Litman just delivered an even more surprising warning when he met with top military brass at the Pentagon a few days ago. [Here's what Joel thinks you should really worry about today](. --------------------------------------------------------------- You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to Stansberry Digest. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from Stansberry Digest [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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