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Stocks Have 28% Upside as Investors Continue to Pull Money Out

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Tue, Dec 20, 2022 12:35 PM

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Mom-and-pop investors are pulling massive amounts of savings out of the stock market. But that doesn

Mom-and-pop investors are pulling massive amounts of savings out of the stock market. But that doesn't mean stocks are doomed... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Stocks Have 28% Upside as Investors Continue to Pull Money Out By C. Scott Garliss, editor, Stansberry NewsWire --------------------------------------------------------------- Investors are still fleeing the market in droves... That's in spite of the rally since stocks bottomed in October. In fact, the selling has only intensified in the past few weeks. Recent numbers show that mom-and-pop investors are pulling massive amounts of savings out of equity mutual funds. A number of reasons come to mind... the first being the higher cost of everything. But that doesn't mean stocks are doomed. The opposite is true. We've seen three similar setups over the past three decades... And stocks were up 28% on average a year later. Let's look at the numbers... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: ['The EXACT Day Stocks Will Finally Bottom']( Goldman Sachs doesn't know... Bank of America doesn't know... Morningstar doesn't know... but Marc Chaikin believes he does. He called the bottom in 2020, just 24 hours before the fastest bull market in history. Now, Marc has spotted the NEXT market bottom – and he's sounding the alarm. Plus, he's sharing the names of what he says will be the best – and worst – performing stocks of 2023. [Click here for the full details](. --------------------------------------------------------------- ['A Gold Wave Is Coming']( Some of the richest men in the world are jumping in right now... because evidence suggests we could see MUCH HIGHER gold prices before the end of this year. But if you're not taking advantage of a little-known way to invest for less than $10, you're missing out. [Click here to learn more](. --------------------------------------------------------------- According to mutual-fund data provider Refinitiv, equity mutual funds have seen money headed out the door for 26 consecutive weeks. That means investors have been exiting stocks since the middle of June... after the S&P 500 Index dropped more than 22%. And over that time frame, the funds withdrawn have totaled $254 billion. Even crazier, folks have kept pulling money out of equity markets for 39 out of the last 40 weeks... bringing the total amount withdrawn to $333 billion. Take a look at the following chart to see what I mean... According to Refinitiv, withdrawals have only been this severe three other times since the data began... The first time was in October 2008, around the financial crisis... The second was in December 2018, when stocks crashed due to a brewing trade war with China and a round of Federal Reserve rate hikes... And the third was in October 2020, ahead of the last presidential election. The pace of withdrawals has accelerated late in the year, too. Roughly $16.5 billion in assets have fled equity investments every week for the last month. That's $65 billion just in the last four weeks. To put this another way, 20% of the outflows over the last 40 weeks have happened since mid-November. So, given this huge shift out of stocks, we wanted to go back and look at history. We went back to the three extremes we highlighted above – October 2008, December 2018, and October 2020 – to see how the S&P 500 fared in the following three, six, 12, and 24 months. What we found was astounding... As you can see, investing in equities when the herd is running for the exits tends to produce big gains. The 12-month average gain of 27.5% is much better than the lifetime average return of 9.1%. Even in the worst-case outcome, you're still faring better than average a year later. Look – there's a lot of uncertainty in the investment world today. And there's no guarantee that stocks won't fall further. But successful investing is about putting the odds in your favor. Based on what these metrics are telling us, the odds are in our favor now. All of this extra cash is going to start burning a hole in investors' pockets. When they start looking for returns, they're inevitably going to put that money back into stocks. And that's why 2023 could see a major boom... one you won't want to miss. Good investing, C. Scott Garliss Further Reading "Inflation will slow down sooner than most believe... And that means the Fed's rate hikes will end sooner than most believe," Scott says. History shows that this is another setup for big gains in stocks... Read more here: [A Two-Year Stock Boom Is About to Begin](. Investors are buying huge amounts of portfolio protection today. But with so much pessimism stacking up in the markets, the bears are likely to be proven wrong... Learn more here: [One Reason the Stock Rally Can Continue](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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