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What to Buy as U.S. Inflation Falls

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Thu, Dec 15, 2022 12:36 PM

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Inflation is cooling down. That's great news for U.S. investors. But it's even better news if you're

Inflation is cooling down. That's great news for U.S. investors. But it's even better news if you're thinking about putting money to work outside the U.S... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: Our offices will be closed this Friday, so we'll be back after a short break. Please look for your next issue of DailyWealth on Monday, after the Weekend Edition. --------------------------------------------------------------- What to Buy as U.S. Inflation Falls By Chris Igou, editor, DailyWealth Trader --------------------------------------------------------------- Even the head of the world's most powerful economic institution had to admit it... "I think we now understand better how little we understand about inflation," Jerome Powell said earlier this year. Powell is the Federal Reserve chair. He's the one in charge of reining in U.S. inflation. But by his own admission, it's a beast that even he doesn't fully understand. Still, he acted in a big way this year to stop it... Powell unleashed a rate-hike campaign like nothing we've seen in decades. He took the federal-funds rate from 0.25% in March to 4% in November... one of the fastest hikes on record. The stock market didn't know if this strategy would work. Investors only knew that the world was changing. They ran for the exits... And stocks plummeted 22% from the end of March through mid-October. But now, we're seeing clear signs that the worst is behind us. The rate of inflation fell more than expected in November to 7.1%... well below the 9.1% peak we saw this summer. That's great news for U.S. investors... But as I'll share today, it's even better news if you're thinking about putting money to work outside the U.S. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [TODAY: Urgent Fed Warning at 10 a.m. Eastern Time]( Today, Wall Street legend Marc Chaikin is stepping forward to reveal the ONLY indicator with a 100% success rate of predicting where the Federal Reserve will send the stock market next – going back to 1955. And he'll tell you exactly what to do with your money before January 1 to prepare. [Click here by 10 a.m. Eastern Time for details (includes two free recommendations)](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Why 2023 Could Kick Off a 'Cash Frenzy' in Stocks]( Many mainstream analysts are predicting that stocks will recover soon. But one 20-year market veteran says we'll instead witness a "cash frenzy" unlike anything we've experienced in 21 years before stocks recover. And he's urging Americans NOT to buy a single stock until they see it. [Details here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Powell's actions have been painful. But it looks like his plan to prevent runaway inflation has succeeded. That worst-case scenario has likely come off the table. And with it, markets have gained more certainty. The S&P 500 Index is now up more than 13% after bottoming in October. That's great to see. But Powell's success isn't just good news for the U.S... It also sends a message to the rest of the world – places where the inflation boogeyman isn't as obviously defeated – on how the next few months could play out. The world now knows that higher rates will work. Other countries will likely use the same playbook to get their own inflation under control. And global sentiment can turn around. In the meantime, with inflation sorted out in the U.S., Powell can slow down with the aggressive rate hikes... And that means the incredible surge we've seen in the U.S. dollar could be over. That's key for foreign stocks today. The dollar soared because the Fed raised rates so aggressively. And it has been a major headwind for foreign stocks. That's a big reason why those markets have been falling deeper and longer than the U.S. For example, the "BRIC" markets (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) and South Korea peaked in early to mid-2021... And both fell 40%-plus. Meanwhile, Italian stocks fell 35% from their 2021 peak. In each case, the fall was much larger than the 25% drawdown we've seen in the U.S. from its January peak to its recent low. And after such extreme declines, a strong rebound was likely... once conditions started to turn around. That rally is underway now. The dollar is already down in recent months. And sure enough, all of these markets bottomed in September and October... right as the U.S. Dollar Index ("DXY") started to fall. Take a look... These markets stopped crashing as soon as the dollar fell from its peak. And its recent drawdown has helped drive them higher. If the dollar is entering a new downtrend, this is just the start of a bigger bull run in foreign stocks. Most investors wouldn't expect stocks outside the U.S. to be the smarter bet as U.S. inflation falls. But given their larger declines, their short-term upside is higher. It's all thanks to a declining U.S. dollar. And assuming that continues, foreign stocks are a smart place to buy right now. Good investing, Chris Igou Further Reading "With inflation continuing to slide, it's time for fearful investors to pay attention," C. Scott Garliss says. The Fed's plan is working. And if it puts rate hikes on pause, stocks could begin to soar... Read more here: [A Two-Year Stock Boom Is About to Begin](. "If you're a long-term investor, the money you put to work in the months to come will likely go toward some of the best buys of your life," Chris writes. History shows that dark times can set up incredible booms. We've seen it in markets all over the world... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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