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Why $100 Oil Is Here to Stay

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Wed, Sep 7, 2022 11:36 AM

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Producers aren't pumping enough oil out of the ground to keep up with today's demand. That means hig

Producers aren't pumping enough oil out of the ground to keep up with today's demand. That means high prices are here to stay... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Why $100 Oil Is Here to Stay By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- The unthinkable happened in the depths of the pandemic... The price of oil was already down by roughly two-thirds. Then, it went negative. Storage facilities were full. But drillers kept pulling oil out of the ground. With demand in freefall, having oil on hand was suddenly a liability. So for a brief moment in time, in theory, you could have gotten paid ($38 a barrel!) to take oil off someone's hands. Within a day, though, oil was back to $10 a barrel. It soared to $40 a barrel within another two months... The rally continued last year. And the war in Ukraine pushed prices to levels not seen since 2008. Since that unthinkable day of negative prices, the boom has been nothing short of incredible. And there's good reason to think it's far from over. That's not what most folks think, though. As I shared recently, the knee-jerk reaction is to believe this rally can't continue. But again, that's not the smart bet to make today. I'm not going to predict $200 oil. But we could very well see oil prices stay above $100 a barrel for a while – and even go higher. Here's why... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [If 2022 Has Been a Bad Year for You, READ THIS]( Steve Sjuggerud just came forward with his No. 1 recommendation for those who have seen losses in their portfolios in 2022. It's an opportunity with TRIPLE-DIGIT market potential, and the story you're being fed by the news cycle today means that you're likely going to miss out on the best moment to get in... [Get the critical details here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Huge Recession Loophole (See These Charts)]( Amid today's market turmoil, THIS is one of the biggest and most bullish opportunities today: a red-hot sector with almost unlimited pricing power and a history of outperforming in recessions. It's also the sector where Dr. David Eifrig spent half of his professional life and, as a result, is extremely qualified to spot world-class opportunities today. [Take a look at the evidence here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Oil companies have a bad habit of chasing prices. They go out and find as much oil as they can, and drill it as fast as they can, when prices are high. That always leads to oversupply and an eventual bust. And it has led to a saying you might know as a consumer... The cure for high prices is high prices. This isn't happening today, though. Producers aren't pumping enough oil out of the ground to keep up with today's demand. We can see this through the U.S. oil rig count. It measures how many rigs are actively pulling oil out of the ground. The lower the number of rigs, the less supply will come to market. The higher the rig count, the faster supply can catch up. Today, we're at about 600 rigs. And that's still a long way off from recent highs. Check it out... As you can see, hundreds of rigs shut down during the great oil bust of 2020... Oil prices were way below the "breakeven" price at which oil companies can start to turn a profit. So instead of running at a loss, it made more sense to close up shop. That year, the active rig count fell below 200 for the first time in at least a decade. We've improved from that extreme low today. But the number of active rigs remains below average... And it's still well below 2018 highs. Meanwhile, demand for oil is through the roof. Estimates show it's near 100 million barrels per day. That's around 10% higher than where it was less than a decade ago. And industry analysts expect that number to keep climbing in the coming decade. That means rig counts need to come up... a lot. They're still only at a third of their highs in late 2014 and early 2015. And before that, the total oil rig count was above 1,300 for years. The rig count peaked at around 1,600... And the price of oil was also around $100 per barrel for most of that time. In short, we likely won't get enough supply online to outpace demand anytime soon. And that means prices could stay where they are – or go even higher – for years yet. That's the simple fundamental story for oil and gas prices. It means high prices are here to stay. So, unfortunately... we should all get used to $100 oil. Good investing, Brett Eversole P.S. I don't like this any more than anyone else. High energy prices cost everyone money. But as investors, we can get on top of this situation... and actually use it to come out ahead. You see, this setup could mean massive gains for a certain group of companies. And that opportunity is why I put together a presentation explaining exactly what's going on. [To find out how you can profit, click here](. Further Reading "Energy booms can last longer – and soar higher – than anyone imagines," Brett writes. "And that means you don't want to give up on energy stocks." History shows the smart bet is that the energy boom will continue... [Learn more here](. On Wall Street, everyone thinks green energy is taking over. But in reality, the green-energy revolution guarantees we'll see a long-term boom for oil and gas. And as investors, we can profit from that gap in expectations... [Read the full story here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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