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This Beaten-Down Commodity Is About to Soar

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Tue, Sep 21, 2021 11:36 AM

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Contrarian investing works because once everyone believes in an outcome, there's no one left to keep

Contrarian investing works because once everyone believes in an outcome, there's no one left to keep pushing prices in that direction. Today, we see that happening in a certain commodity. And it's only gotten worse in recent months... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] This Beaten-Down Commodity Is About to Soar By Chris Igou, analyst, True Wealth --------------------------------------------------------------- When the entire crowd is making the same bet, it's smart to do the opposite. That's the simplest description of contrarian investing. It works because once everyone believes in an outcome, there's no one left to keep pushing prices in that direction. Today, we see that happening in a certain commodity. The bearishness started earlier this year. And it's only gotten worse in recent months. Now the setup is the craziest we've seen in nearly two decades. And it means this beaten-down commodity is on the verge of a major move higher. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [ANNOUNCING: Stansberry Partners' Bull vs. Bear Summit]( In March 2020, our financial lives were turned upside down in 48 hours. Now, with COVID-19 Delta variant cases surging, stocks swinging, and inflation on the rise, two of Stansberry's senior partners are stepping forward to ensure it won't happen to you again. On September 28, we'll reveal the truth about the greatest threat to your wealth today – including the name of the No. 1 most dangerous stock in the world. [Click here to learn more](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [How I Saved My Retirement and Stopped Worrying About Money, Forever]( I never worry about my retirement income, no matter what happens with COVID-19, politics, or the markets. My money's practically guaranteed by law. And now, a once-in-a-generation opportunity to see 700%-plus potential in my favorite strategy just opened again – [I cut the "B.S." and explain everything right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Bearish bets on palladium hit crazy levels in May 2020... Folks were the most bearish they had been on the metal in over a decade. As I explained in [DailyWealth]( record bearish bets often mark a turning point in a trend... and a rally in the metal was likely. Palladium took off after that initial signal... for a 56% gain in a year. And now, the metal is set up to do it again. Investors are betting against palladium at crazy levels once more. We can see it through the Commitment of Traders ("COT") report for the metal. The COT report is a weekly survey that shows us what futures traders are doing with their money. This tool doesn't give us much insight during normal times. But when futures traders are betting at extremes, it's a great contrarian indicator. That's because collectively, these traders are terrible market timers. If they're all betting in one direction, the opposite is likely to occur. Today, bearish bets on palladium are the highest they've been since 2002. Take a look... You can see bearish bets on palladium hit a nearly two-decade low late last month. Futures traders have given up on the metal in record numbers. We've seen similar setups throughout the years, most recently in 2020. And each time led to fantastic upside. Check it out... Again, the COT report showed wildly bearish bets on palladium four times in the past decade. But rather than falling further, the metal took off in each case... Palladium climbed 33% following extreme bearishness in 2012. That was followed by two similar cases, each of which led to 60%-plus rallies in the metal... not to mention the 56% move after last year's opportunity. In short, sentiment toward palladium is as bearish as it gets. And if history is any indicator, a rebound in the metal is likely. You'll want to wait for palladium prices to rebound before buying. They're still trending lower right now. But once that happens, be ready for a big surge higher. Good investing, Chris Igou Further Reading The COT report is one of our favorite tools for contrarian investing. It shows when traders are getting too bearish or too bullish... signaling a reversal is likely. Recently, it pointed to one commodity that could be poised for a decline... [Learn more here](. "If you catch these breakouts in real time, they can lead to big outperformance," Chris writes. A recent signal in the markets shows big upside potential in one group of stocks. It's an area of the market you might be ignoring... [Read more here](. INSIDE TODAY'S DailyWealth Premium A 'boring' stock that could lead to long-term steady returns... Folks are getting fired up about certain parts of the market... but following their lead isn't always the best idea. Instead, you might find that consistent returns are more likely in "boring" trades... [Click here to get immediate access](. Market Notes A GLOBAL PROVIDER OF LICENSED MEDIA SEES TRIPLE-DIGIT GAINS Today, we're looking at a company that's grabbing up subscribers... Regular readers know we've written about the power of recurring sales. One great way to harness that power is through [subscription models]( where customers "rent" continued access to services. This leads to more consistent revenues. And one media company is pivoting to this model... Shutterstock (SSTK) is a $4 billion provider of stock photography, videos, and music. It helps businesses around the world license the media that they need for their own communications. The company is aiming to bring in more users as regular subscribers – an approach that drove sales higher last year... From 2019 to 2020, Shutterstock's subscribers grew by 45% to 281,000 and subscriber revenue grew by 12% to $265.3 million. And with 321,000 subscribers as of the latest quarter, this growth has continued. As you can see, SSTK shares have taken off as well. The stock is up 220% in the past 18 months, recently hitting a fresh all-time high. As long as companies around the world pay for access to licensed media, Shutterstock's success should continue... --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers’ feedback. To help us improve your experience, we’d like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2021 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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