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How to Spot a 'Secret Recovery'

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Mon, Nov 9, 2020 12:34 PM

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The consensus view is that this industry is dead. But in reality, a "secret recovery" is underway an

The consensus view is that this industry is dead. But in reality, a "secret recovery" is underway and makes for a trend worth paying attention to today... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] How to Spot a 'Secret Recovery' By Vic Lederman, analyst, True Wealth --------------------------------------------------------------- I'm guessing you haven't thought much about the airlines recently... They were the hot topic as the COVID-19 crisis got going. Legendary investor Warren Buffett dumped all his airline stocks – and regular folks followed. But now, the plight of airlines is old news. There has been no shortage of other events for people to follow. The presidential election has pushed airline headlines aside. And the COVID-19 health crisis is ongoing. That makes it easy to assume that the state of the industry is the same: terrible. To an extent, that's true. But now, something is happening that you need to be aware of. It's easy to overlook – but it's also incredibly important. That's because it gets to the core of how markets work. The reality is that there's a "secret recovery" happening in airlines. And understanding this pattern is crucial for investors. Let me explain... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [Rare 'Triple Threat' Stock That Could Return 565% Gains]( An FDA emergency use authorization could be issued on a brand-new biotechnology from one little-known American biotech company any day now. This tech – which has nothing to do with masks, cleaning products, or vaccines – could help America return to something close to "normal" amidst the pandemic much sooner than experts predict. And it may be your last chance to see some of the biggest gains of 2020 and 2021... before a press release could alert investors all over the world. [Don't wait – get all the details right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [A Massive Wave of Bankruptcies Is Coming]( A major shock is coming to the U.S. financial system. The election results won't matter (but a long court battle or a wave of riots could make things MUCH worse). Months of stock gains could go up in smoke. But there's an easy way to make sure your money and prospective gains are legally protected. The last time something similar happened you could have seen 772% gains. [A real reader explains how he does it, in plain English, right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- We're now eight months into COVID-19 in the U.S... Yet airlines still exist. So far, the major carriers have avoided bankruptcy. And we're starting to see an uptick in key air traffic metrics. Don't feel bad if you missed this. Most people have. And as investors, believe it or not, that's what we want... You see, there's a recipe that goes into great investment opportunities. That recipe is finding investments that are "cheap, hated, and in an uptrend." My colleague and mentor Steve discovered this early in his career, and it's still true today. This is where we are in the airline industry. Investors have focused on the bad news. They only see the event that damaged the industry. In big shake-ups, the bad news can feel overwhelming. And eventually, investors throw up their hands and walk away. At that point, the market is more than hated... it's abandoned. But that's when you find the potential for the biggest turnarounds. You can see this happening in the airline industry through the U.S. Global Jets Fund (JETS). It's an exchange-traded fund that holds America's top airlines. JETS tumbled 62% from its peak in February to its bottom in May. That's not surprising given the circumstances. But since then, the beginnings of a "secret recovery" have taken hold. Southwest Airlines (LUV) is the darling of the airline industry because of its debt structure. Its stock is up more than 65% since bottoming in May. In fact, it has recently crossed above its 200-day moving average. This simple measure means that the company is in a definable uptrend. JETS is on the rise, too. It's nearing its 100-day moving average. But you don't have to rely on chart reading to see which way the wind is blowing. The Bureau of Transportation Statistics has numbers that show signs of a recovery are underway. Take a look... U.S. domestic flights fell off a cliff as COVID-19 took hold. The chart shows that. But it also shows that the number of flights is roaring back. The government provides another stat that backs this up. It's called "revenue passenger miles." This is how the industry measures miles traveled by paying passengers. The Revenue Passenger Miles chart looks the same as the one above. That's what we want to see. It tells us that there are people flying on those planes. All of this together makes for a pretty darn compelling "secret recovery." And it's situations like this that can lead to the greatest returns. Now to be clear, I'm not telling you to rush out and buy airline stocks. There are still tremendous risks in this sector. Bankruptcies are still possible... And rising cases of COVID-19 loom large in the U.S. right now. Still, it's good to know that the data on the sector tells a much different story than the general consensus. The consensus view is that the airlines are dead... But in reality, a "secret recovery" is underway. That makes this a trend we should pay attention to today. Good investing, Vic Lederman Further Reading "If you want to consistently make big gains in stocks, you must know what the herd is doing with its money," Chris Igou writes. It's a great way to make sure you can spot a turning point and position yourself for a major uptrend... Read more here: [Take Advantage of This Reversal and Send Your Portfolio Soaring](. "It's hard to trust a new bull market," Brett Eversole says. After the pandemic crushed nearly every sector of the market earlier this year, you might be tempted to sit in cash. But that is exactly the wrong move today... Get the full story here: [An Important Market Laggard Breaks Out](. INSIDE TODAY'S DailyWealth Premium It's time to buy a hated sector that's breaking out right now... Investors have completely given up on a similarly beaten-down sector. And now we're starting to see an uptrend kick off... [Click here to get immediate access](. Market Notes HIGHS AND LOWS NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Alphabet (GOOGL)... ["World Dominator"]( JD.com (JD)... ["China's Amazon"]( Sea Limited (SE)... Singaporean tech giant BlackLine (BL)... cloud-based accounting software Qualcomm (QCOM)... [semiconductors]( Analog Devices (ADI)... [semiconductor equipment]( Sony (SNE)... [entertainment and gadgets]( Dolby Laboratories (DLB)... [audio technology]( ResMed (RMD)... [medical devices]( Match (MTCH)... [online matchmaker]( Colgate-Palmolive (CL)... [consumer-products giant]( Ingersoll Rand (IR)... manufacturing Illinois Tool Works (ITW)... [industrial equipment]( Southern Copper (SCCO)... [copper]( Rollins (ROL)... [pest control]( Flutter Entertainment (PDYPY)... "vice" stocks NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Not many... [It's a bull market, you know!]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2020 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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