April 15, 2019 A publication from [Stansberry Research]
[DailyWealth]
Interest Rates Are Giving
Us a Major Buy Signal
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
---------------------------------------------------------------
Idiots! They've got it all wrong...
A few weeks ago, the "pros" on Wall Street started freaking out – about interest rates.
Specifically, they freaked out about "yield curve inversion."
Yield curve inversion is when long-term interest rates fall below short-term interest rates. As longtime DailyWealth readers know, it's often an early warning sign that a recession is on the way.
That finally happened in March... And the world is now using it as today's fear du jour.
An inverted yield curve does matter. It is a big deal. But the funny thing is, the "pros" on Wall Street have it all backwards.
The yield curve inversion that happened late last month isn't a reason to fear. It DOES NOT mean we should head for the sidelines.
It means we should step up to the plate and take advantage of this opportunity... before it's too late.
Let me explain...
---------------------------------------------------------------
Recommended Links:
[On April 17, Porter Will Make His Biggest Announcement in 20 Years](
For the first time ever, Stansberry's founder will tell you about the most anticipated decision of his career. It may or may not surprise you. But either way, it could have a massive impact on your wealth. [Learn more here](.
---------------------------------------------------------------
[Emergency Cannabis Briefing](
Top cannabis expert finally reveals how his research firm captured quick gains of 873%, 1,113%, and 2,330% in pot stocks. He's convinced the biggest gains are still ahead and to prove it, he's giving away his next potential 1,000% pot stock for free... [Click here to see why](.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Long-term interest rates should be higher than short-term rates. That's the natural order of things. And it makes sense.
If you're locking your money up for 10 years, you should demand a higher interest rate than if you're locking it up for only a year or two. The reduced flexibility (and heightened risk) of long-term bonds should come with higher yields.
That's how things work in normal times. But not when you mess with the natural order...
You see, long-term rates are controlled by the market, while the Federal Reserve controls short-term rates. If the Fed artificially pushes short-term rates higher, it slows down the economy. And it's usually a sign that a peak is coming.
Last month, the three-month Treasury yield rose above the 10-year Treasury yield for the first new signal since 2006. This is why the media has been shouting about the inverted yield curve.
The question we need to ask is this... What happens next?
This is where a lot of folks get it wrong. They see the ominous sign and forget to dig deeper. Because as it turns out, history says this event gives us a serious moneymaking opportunity before the eventual market peak...
The last time this yield curve saw a new inversion was in January 2006. That kicked off a wave of recession fears and stock market concerns. These fears eventually proved true – but not before folks who acted had a chance to make serious gains. Take a look...
Stocks weren't anywhere near a top in early 2006. They went on to soar 26% over the next 21 months before hitting their peak in October 2007.
This scenario plays out throughout history. Over the last seven cycles, the first yield curve inversion occurred an average of 19 months before the next recession began. And stocks jumped 19%, on average, through the next market peak.
The top in 2000 is a particularly useful example for us today. Back then, the yield curve first inverted in September 1998. That was two years before stocks eventually peaked. And the market returned 55% over that time...
This doesn't even show the massive 210% gain in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index over the same period. Tech stocks soared during the final stages of the last great bull market.
The story that comes out of these numbers is incredible. It doesn't tell us to be worried. It doesn't tell us to panic and move our portfolios to higher ground.
Instead, the yield curve inversion tells us to step up and take action. It tells us to be bold and buy.
History says it will probably be a year or more until stocks eventually peak. And we'll likely see big gains between now and then.
That's why today, I urge you to follow the same advice I've given throughout this incredible bull market... Stay long.
Good investing,
Steve
Further Reading
Steve and his team track a different yield curve: the spread between 10-year and two-year yields. Importantly, this yield curve has not inverted yet... Review how it works as an "early warning" indicator – along with another gauge you should watch today – [right here](.
"Ten years is a long time for a stock market boom. No question," Steve says. But as he explains, bull markets don't come with an expiration date... Learn what this decadelong boom means for your profits today [right here](.
INSIDE TODAY'S
DailyWealth Premium
How to profit from an indicator that's never lost money since 1932...
It's another sign we could see double-digit gains in U.S. stocks in the coming months. And we have a simple one-click way to take full advantage of it...
[Click here to get immediate access](.
Market Notes
HIGHS AND LOWS
NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Microsoft (MSFT)... technology giant
Universal Display (OLED)... screen technology
Okta (OKTA)... [software]( (PYPL)... [electronic payments]( Payments (GPN)... electronic payments
Shopify (SHOP)... [e-commerce]( Lauder (EL)... cosmetics retailer
Tractor Supply (TSCO)... [rural lifestyle retailer]( Automotive (ORLY)... auto-parts retailer
CBRE Group (CBRE)... commercial real estate
Graco (GGG)... [manufacturing]( Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)... life-sciences giant
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)... medical technology
Atrion (ATRI)... [medical devices]( (GRMN)... GPS technology
Crown Castle (CCI)... [wireless infrastructure]( Networks (UBNT)... wireless networks
Cable One (CABO)... Internet and cable TV
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Express (EXPR)... clothing retailer
Guess (GES)... clothing retailer
GameStop (GME)... [video-game retailer]( Foods (DF)... dairy products
---------------------------------------------------------------
[Tell us what you think of this content](
[We value our subscribers’ feedback. To help us improve your experience, we’d like to ask you a couple brief questions.](
[Click here to rate this e-mail](
You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](.
Published by Stansberry Research.
You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberrycustomerservice.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice.
© 2019 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [www.stansberryresearch.com](.
Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors.
Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation.
This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.