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Why This Gold Rally Isn't Stopping Anytime Soon

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Sun, May 26, 2024 12:36 PM

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In today's Masters Series, adapted from the April 9 and April 25 issues of the free DailyWealth e-le

In today's Masters Series, adapted from the April 9 and April 25 issues of the free DailyWealth e-letter, Brett discusses why many investors are reluctant to explore the gold market... explains why gold is overbought right now... and details how this bullish run is poised to last much longer... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [Stansberry Master Series] Editor's note: You must consider owning gold... Longtime investors know all about gold's role as a "chaos hedge"... It's a way to protect your wealth during times of uncertainty in the economy and stock market – like we're experiencing right now. That's why True Wealth editor Brett Eversole believes it's critical for you to have some gold exposure in your portfolio in order to protect your wealth moving forward. In today's Masters Series, adapted from the April 9 and April 25 issues of the free DailyWealth e-letter, Brett discusses why many investors are reluctant to explore the gold market... explains why gold is overbought right now... and details how this bullish run is poised to last much longer... --------------------------------------------------------------- Why This Gold Rally Isn't Stopping Anytime Soon By Brett Eversole, editor, True Wealth [There's nothing better than a hated bull market](... This type of market doesn't come around often. The entire premise goes against how markets tend to operate. When prices rise, investors usually get more excited. Folks see the allure of fast profits and throw caution to the wind. This quirk of market psychology is as crucial to understand as fundamentals, economic trends, or interest-rate changes. It also means that if you find a rising market that investors want nothing to do with, the boom is sure to continue. That's the situation we have in gold right now. After years of going sideways, gold is finally staging a massive breakout... The metal finally broke above $2,000 per ounce – a key level for gold – late last year. And it has been off to the races ever since. Gold has soared since early March. The metal hit new all-time highs last week. And the rally recently reached a rare setup... The metal just hit major "overbought" levels. Normally, that would be a bad sign. But as I'll explain today, it points to double-digit upside over the next year... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: # ['I've Waited MY ENTIRE LIFE for a Gold Setup Like This']( According to one of the world's most well-respected precious metals experts, you could easily wait another 50 years before something else this big comes along. Gold is smashing through one all-time high after another... and this could be your final chance to take advantage of "Gold's Final Move." [Get the details here now](. --------------------------------------------------------------- # [You Won't Believe America's Next Big Bet]( Congress, President Biden, and billionaires like Bill Gates and Peter Thiel are pouring money into one surprising technology – with early estimates expecting it to grow 12,000% starting now. Incredibly, most Americans don't know about it, but that's about to change. [Click here to see how it could become the No. 1 investment of the next decade](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Overbought setups tend to be a major warning. They signal that an asset has soared too high, too fast. It's like a stretched rubber band that's bound to snap back soon. When the reversal comes, it'll be quick and painful. This is the setup in the gold market right now. The metal has absolutely soared. And based on the relative strength index ("RSI"), it has reached overbought levels. The RSI looks at the recent price action and determines if a rally or crash is too extreme. A reading below 30 signals "oversold" levels, which usually means a rally is incoming. Similarly, a reading above 70 signals overbought levels. A decline usually happens from there. This time around, gold has blown through typical overbought levels. The RSI recently hit 84.5. That's the highest RSI reading we've seen for the metal since 2020. Take a look... According to this measure, gold has soared too far, too fast... So we'd typically expect lower prices in the months to come. But history shows this pattern hasn't held true for gold. To see it, I looked at each unique instance when gold's RSI soared above 80. That's darn rare. It has happened just 28 other times in nearly half a century. And after those cases, gold tends to keep rising. Check it out... Gold has been a winner for investors for roughly 50 years. It has risen 5.6% a year over that time. But you can do much better if you buy after setups like today's... Similar situations led to 4.5% gains in six months and 11.5% gains over the following year. That's fantastic outperformance – more than double the typical buy-and-hold return. And gold was up 68% of the time a year later, too. That's exciting in its own right... But the lack of investor interest is just as noteworthy. You see, the current gold boom is nothing like the ones we saw in the past two decades. Those were the typical booms you'd expect. Prices soared. The big gains thrilled investors... So they kept flooding in. The opposite is happening today... We can see this by looking at shares outstanding of the two largest gold exchange-traded funds ("ETFs"). I'm talking about SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and the iShares Gold Trust (IAU). The two funds are massive, with nearly $100 billion in combined assets. ETFs create and liquidate shares based on investor demand. That means these funds issue more shares if investors want gold... And they remove shares when investors aren't interested. Given gold's recent rally and the new all-time highs, we'd expect share counts to be rising. But we're seeing the opposite situation play out. Take a look... The chart shows the combined share count of GLD and IAU. Shares outstanding for both funds have been falling for years. They're down a combined 30% since peaking in 2020. You might look at this and think that investors will never get on board with this gold boom. But that idea fights investor psychology... The truth is, investors care about one thing: making money. And gold is becoming a moneymaking asset. The current gold boom has moved into overbought territory. History shows this new wave of buying should catapult the current bull market to even greater heights. In short, we're still in the early stages of a major bull market for gold. And we'll see the biggest gains as sentiment continues to reverse. Now is the time to get in position before the crowd wakes up and starts buying. And that means now is the time to get exposure to gold. Good investing, Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: This gold rally isn't the only development we're monitoring right now. You see, a huge move is about to take place in the metals market that could send gold soaring even higher – creating the chance for triple-digit gains for investors who are paying attention. So, Brett recently joined forces with Gold Stock Analyst editor John Doody to reveal how you can capitalize on this rare setup. And they shared the name and ticker of the No. 1 stock you must buy immediately. [Learn more here](... You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to Stansberry Digest. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from Stansberry Digest [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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