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Pay Attention to the Market's 'Riptide Warnings'

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Fri, May 3, 2024 11:33 AM

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One unique investment tool can help you avoid the "riptides" in the stock market... May 15 could spa

One unique investment tool can help you avoid the "riptides" in the stock market... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: It's easy to get swept up in the excitement behind a big trend. But according to Pete Carmasino from our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics, that doesn't mean investors should ignore the warning signs. In this piece – which was first published in the March 28 issue of the Chaikin PowerFeed e-letter – he shares how one tool can help you spot red flags before it's too late... --------------------------------------------------------------- Pay Attention to the Market's 'Riptide Warnings' By Pete Carmasino, chief market strategist, Chaikin Analytics --------------------------------------------------------------- I know from firsthand experience that riptides are powerful... I surfed a lot in my teens. And once, while surfing in pre-hurricane conditions, I was carried more than 45 blocks along the New Jersey shoreline before I could get out of the water. What saved me? I didn't fight the tide. I floated on my board along the shoreline and waited it out. Thankfully, I had learned that skill as a youngster. I was a great swimmer, but no one is stronger than the ocean's current. Lifeguards have a saying along the lines of "riptides don't drown people, people drown in riptides." The undertow is what causes the most panic. People will exhaust themselves swimming against it. Overestimating your swimming ability – and underestimating the riptide – is a recipe for disaster. The same is true in the markets. What may look like a broadening out of performance can turn into a new trend – a tide – that takes you out to "sea" if you aren't in the right stocks. It's like a riptide warning. Thankfully, as I'll explain today, we have an investing guide at Chaikin Analytics that helps us avoid the riptides... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [Financial Chaos Is Coming on May 15]( May 15 could spark the stock market's biggest move of the year, according to the man who predicted the 2020 and 2022 crashes. You have just days to prepare for a historic turning point in the market that could double your money six different times – with the same strategy he used to find the top nine stocks of 2023. [See his outline (and No. 1 recommendation) here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- ['Gold Is Headed Above $3,000 per Ounce' (Here's How to Play It)]( With so many strange events happening across the economy (the longest bear market for bonds since the Civil War... unprecedented bank closures... and soaring prices), it's no wonder the richest investors are loading up on gold. But what you might not realize is there's a much better way to profit from rising gold prices – WITHOUT ever touching an ETF, mining stock, or even bullion. [Full details here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- You see, our Power Gauge system gathers investment fundamentals into a simple rating. But that's not all it does... It also gives us technical indicators. And the one I tend to rely on the most is relative strength. It shows me if a stock or exchange-traded fund ("ETF") is beating the S&P 500 Index. To track the S&P 500, we use the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY). Here's the most important thing to remember... If a stock or fund isn't doing well when SPY is also underperforming, there's a big problem. Not only is that stock or fund going down, it's also down more than the broad market. This leads me to the recent performance of the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). It's an ETF we can use to track the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index. Now, I'm not saying that alarms are sounding to "get out of the water" with tech. But it's clear the space is making a move lower. Take a look at the chart below... You can see in the red circle that QQQ's relative strength versus the S&P 500 has turned lower. That's after months of stronger relative strength versus the broad market. And in the yellow circle, you can see the Power Gauge has been in "neutral" territory on QQQ since late March. That's also after months of a "bullish" rating. With the help of the Power Gauge system, we're able to see this breather in real time. And importantly, that means we know not to "swim against the riptide" for now. Good investing, Pete Carmasino --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin believes the market will reach a massive turning point on May 15. Now is the time to prepare... and to position yourself accordingly. Marc recently went on camera to share why this shift could mean multiple chances to double your money – thanks to a strategy that has nothing to do with AI, crypto, or the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks. [Click here to learn the details](. Further Reading "People often make clouded judgments in down markets or periods of uncertainty," Chris Igou writes. But don't overcomplicate an easy solution. Stick with what you know... and put these two investing tools to work instead... [Learn more here](. Fear has reentered the market. And U.S. stocks have fallen too far, too fast as a result. But according to history, and one important measure, the worst is likely over. Folks should expect a recovery in the months ahead... [Read more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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