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The Biggest AI Winners Won't Be What You Expect

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Mon, Apr 29, 2024 11:33 AM

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It pays to "think outside the box" to find an edge in the market... Editor's note: Today in DailyWea

It pays to "think outside the box" to find an edge in the market... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: Today in DailyWealth, we're happy to introduce our colleague Andrew McGuirk. Before joining Stansberry Research in 2020, Andrew earned an advanced degree in finance and mathematics from Wake Forest University. He is now an analyst for the tech-focused Stansberry Innovations Report. We hope you enjoy this piece, and we look forward to featuring more of his work on the latest trends in tech and cryptocurrencies. --------------------------------------------------------------- The Biggest AI Winners Won't Be What You Expect By Andrew McGuirk, analyst, Stansberry Innovations Report --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark Zuckerberg is currently spending tens of billions of dollars to make OpenAI obsolete... After the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, popular tech giants – also known as "hyperscalers" – have spurred an investing frenzy in generative AI. Each of these hyperscalers is working tirelessly to train and launch its own proprietary large language models ("LLMs"). And they're looking to monetize them. Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are packaging up their LLMs to sell as subscription services. But all this investment might be for nothing... Zuckerberg has decided to take an entirely different route than his competitors. It could mean the easy gains in AI have already been made – at least in the "classic" AI giants that soared in the initial boom. But that doesn't mean you can't find opportunities in AI. As we'll see, it pays to "think outside the box" to find an edge in the market... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: ['This Is the Gravest Warning of My 25-Year Career']( Hedge funds, Swiss banks, private wealth managers, billionaires, CEOs, and even high-ranking politicians all rely on Porter Stansberry's financial insights. Today, he's stepping forward to give you the same dire warning he has privately shared with them. To get all the details of the shocking economic event Porter is sounding the alarm on today, [click here now before it's too late](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Your 2024 Election Money Blueprint]( Voters are angrier than ever, and it's likely to keep getting worse. The media and Wall Street keep declaring how great the economy supposedly is... but no one – besides the ultra-rich – seems to feel that way. Protect yourself with this one simple move today. [Find out for free here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Meta Platforms (META) recently spent about $10 billion on advanced graphics processing units ("GPUs") from chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA). (GPUs are necessary to train and run complex AI models.) However, instead of renting out access to its highly trained LLMs, Meta is determined to open-source its most advanced models... Put simply, Zuckerberg says Meta will publish its code freely. Anybody with a computer can copy and run their own tailored models using Meta's foundations. LLMs could potentially become a commoditized product as a result... meaning their functions and capabilities become so similar that each model is hardly different from any other. This would make it hard for any of the AI leaders to retain a competitive advantage. Switching costs for users would become extremely low. These companies would then essentially be selling identical products. If any business with competent engineers can spin up a proprietary model using Meta's code for little to no cost... that could make life difficult for companies like Microsoft and Alphabet that are building out their own LLMs. Worse, these stocks have a lot further to fall now. Like many new technological innovations, AI isn't immune to reaching euphoric levels – or even bubble territory – in the markets. Many of the big players in AI chipmaking have soared to unsustainable heights... For example, Super Micro Computer (SMCI), an AI hardware manufacturer, climbed more than 1,100% in less than a year, only to lose about 40% from its peak (and more than 20% on April 19 alone). Despite earning $732 million in net income and negative free cash flow of $169 million in 2023, the company is valued at around $47 billion... more than 65 times earnings. Similarly, Nvidia trades at around 64 times earnings. Its stock dropped more than 10% in a single day this month, losing nearly $212 billion in value. These stocks have made huge gains for investors... But they can also lose more than 10% to 20% of their value in a single day. On top of that, if the AI playing field is leveled, they could have a long way to fall. That doesn't mean we should avoid AI investments altogether, though. There are still plenty of overlooked sectors within the AI supply chain... We just need to think outside the box. One area that's ripe for investment is the data-center business... AI will need major data-center upgrades. Many companies are building an edge in this space and still trade with a margin of safety. For instance, Nvidia's H100 chips are only a small fraction of data-center hardware. This business is a vast realm of servers, power equipment, storage systems to house data, cooling systems, and more. We're seeing the strength of the AI hardware business firsthand in our Stansberry Innovations Report portfolio. One AI server bet we recommended in recent months is up 76% as I write... while a chipmaker we recommended last year is up 63%. Investors could also look at the energy companies that power data centers... the mining companies that provide the raw materials... or even data-center real estate investment trusts that own and lease out data-center space. Thinking outside the box can be more profitable in the long run than sticking to the flashiest winners of a trend. Many industries stand to benefit from the AI boom... So I urge you to broaden your scope before jumping into an obvious choice. Good investing, Andrew McGuirk --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: Andrew works alongside John Engel and our in-house crypto expert Eric Wade in the Stansberry Innovations Report newsletter. They identify innovative market trends – before they become well known to the mainstream. Just last week, the team recommended a pioneer in data-center cooling to their subscribers... a stock that's poised to soar as AI infrastructure demand ramps up. If you want to learn more about innovative trends in technology and AI, [click here](. Further Reading The AI boom is just getting started. Many big tech companies are already betting big on this innovation. And as more money goes toward the AI revolution, investors will see all kinds of opportunities within this trend... [Learn more here](. The semiconductor sector staged a double-digit rally in just two months earlier this year. That's one of the biggest run-ups we've seen. And according to history, this rare setup means the gains are likely to continue... [Read more here](. Market Notes HIGHS AND LOWS NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Goldman Sachs (GS)... financial giant American Express (AXP)... financial giant Barclays (BCS)... financial services Synchrony Financial (SYF)... financial services M&T Bank (MTB)... regional bank Charles Schwab (SCHW)... brokerage services Interactive Brokers (IBKR)... online brokerage Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)... tacos and burritos Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)... restaurants Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)... grocery stores Church & Dwight (CHD)... household products General Electric (GE)... manufacturing Ryder System (R)... logistics Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD)... oil and gas Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)... gold NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK Boeing (BA)... "offense" contractor Pfizer (PFE)... pharmaceuticals Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)... pharmaceuticals Gilead Sciences (GILD)... biotechnology Sirius XM (SIRI)... satellite radio Delta Air Lines (DAL)... airline Whirlpool (WHR)... appliances Sasol (SSL)... chemicals --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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