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The No. 3 Key to Beating the Market

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Fri, Mar 22, 2024 11:36 AM

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You can view beating the market as a three-step process. And to find real success, you must master t

You can view beating the market as a three-step process. And to find real success, you must master the third and most important step... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Editor's note: "Being right that the market is wrong" is a difficult art. That's why according to Rob Spivey – director of research at our corporate affiliate Altimetry – every investor should ask themselves three questions before jumping into an investment. In this article, adapted from a recent issue of the free Altimetry Daily Authority e-letter, Rob shares what it takes to beat the market... --------------------------------------------------------------- The No. 3 Key to Beating the Market By Rob Spivey, director of research, Altimetry --------------------------------------------------------------- Putnam Investments' research office was the stuff of legends... In the late 1990s, Putnam's Boston-based office was famous among investors for a massive sign near its research stables. At the top of the sign, it said, "We Invest in Change." Below that was a list of "changes" it deemed buy signals. The list included changes in management, products, regulations, and any other factors the market might be missing. Investors liked this way of thinking... and poured money into Putnam's funds. Its assets under management grew an average of 29% per year from 1991 to 1999, reaching more than $400 billion. Putnam's success stemmed from its ability to understand one crucial tenet... that business models aren't as black and white as they seem. Bad businesses that find ways to beat expectations can be amazing investments. And great businesses can become so highly valued that they'll never meet expectations. Today, I'll take a closer look at the most important stock-picking ingredients... and how Putnam used one of them to grow like crazy. --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [The 2024 Stock Market Secret]( On Tuesday, March 26 at 10 a.m. Eastern time, Porter Stansberry and Joel Litman are sharing the stage to reveal what could be the biggest moneymaking story of 2024. It has nothing to do with the "Magnificent Seven" stocks or the presidential election... yet it could create enormous gains for those who position themselves correctly. One stock already jumped 170% in a single trading day. But according to these two financial powerhouses, this story is only getting started. [Click here for the full details](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [The Chaotic 2024 Election Outcome Nobody Is Talking About]( Most Americans are overlooking the seemingly impossible candidate who should worry you. It's not Joe Biden... Donald Trump... Gavin Newsom... or even Michelle Obama. It's someone far worse. New evidence of a secret plan indicates he could soon return and finish what he started. [Get the full story right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Beating the market is a three-step process. When picking a stock, you first must ask yourself... 1. What does the market expect this company to do? This is just another way of saying you need to look at valuations. The price-to-earnings ratio, which measures stock price versus earnings per share, is a basic way to value a company. The second question has two parts... 2. Can the company do something different from what the market expects? And why am I confident about this? This step requires you to question the market. For instance, after looking at a company's valuation, you might realize investors' growth estimates are a lot lower than yours. But it's the third and final question that Putnam mastered... and it's the one investors tend to struggle with the most. 3. What is going to change to make the market realize it's wrong? One critical change can send your investment on a one-way trip higher. Without this catalyst, you're playing a waiting game that can take years... if it ever happens at all. In fact, change is responsible for one of Altimetry's all-time greatest hits... Online real estate manager eXp World (EXPI) offers a virtual solution for real estate brokers to interact with clients and manage their businesses. Investors thought eXp would never take off. But then the pandemic hit... one of the biggest changes we've seen in decades. Suddenly, homebuying demand surged, and folks were looking for virtual ways to enter the housing market. Those virtual platforms became far more popular... and so did eXp stock. We recommended eXp to our Microcap Confidential subscribers in July 2020. In a little more than a month, it doubled. By February 2021, subscribers who followed our advice were up 860%. And it was all because the market scrambled to embrace a key change in the business environment. You can see its upward trajectory below... We were so successful with eXp because we embraced what Putnam knew – one of the most powerful ways to invest is by observing change. Now, today's investors tend to do a good job of understanding what a company is worth right now as long as it keeps doing what it's doing. Most of the time, they've priced in any data that's already out there. But let's say a business is looking to stave off bankruptcy by restructuring or refinancing... and investors expect it to go under. If it succeeds, anyone who's paying attention could make a lot of money. It doesn't mean the company is great. It was simply priced to go bankrupt... and then it didn't. You're investing in the idea behind the change – not necessarily the idea behind the business. If you can't find that key catalyst in an investment, you might as well pass on it. The market might never realize it's wrong. What you're looking for can come in many forms, whether it's change in management... change in business strategy... change in capital structure... change in macro trends... change in competition... or change in customers and vendors. But no matter what it is, when you see something big brewing, that's when you should pay attention. Because that's when the market will start to pay attention, too. Regards, Rob Spivey --------------------------------------------------------------- Editor's note: A rare situation is unfolding in the market today that shouldn't exist. But according to Stansberry Research founder Porter Stansberry and Altimetry founder Joel Litman, it could be the biggest moneymaking story of 2024. On Tuesday, March 26, at 10 a.m. Eastern time, Porter and Joel are sitting down to discuss this market anomaly... and how you can take advantage of it. [Click here to learn the details](. Further Reading It takes guts to go against the crowd. But a contrarian mindset can give you an edge as an investor. One secret will help you use this way of thinking effectively – and once you understand it, it can lead to some of the best buying opportunities... [Read more here](. Wall Street loves to push the narrative that individual investors should rely on professionals. But that's a lie. You can succeed on your own by doing exactly what the "experts" say you shouldn't do – that is, timing the market... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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