Seasoned Stocks Trade of the Week - Micron Technology (MU)

 Never Be On The Wrong Side Of Another Historically Repeating Market Cycle Or Trend…  Welcome to this week's Seasoned Stocks: Trade of the Week where we show you one trade you should be looking into for the week. We dive deep and take a look at how this stock has behaved historically during this time period. This is information you are going to want to read. We do this every week for you, so keep an eye out for another one next week. We do not give “specific” trading recommendations, rather “general” market information that’s purpose is to provide you an edge in your trading. Now, let’s get into today's report. We will be looking at Monster Beverage Corp (MNST), which is in the energy drink business. From a Wall Street analyst perspective, here’s two different opinions as you decide to build your thesis on the stock… Bulls Say - Morningstar•Jan 26, 2022 Monster is a leading pure-play incumbent in a secularly advantaged beverage category that is growing in the high single digits, meaningfully above the broader industry average (low single digits). Monster’s strategic partnership with Coca-Cola aligns its fortunes with the widest moat in nonalcoholic beverages, affording it top-tier store positioning and merchandising. International expansion through Coke’s bottling system offers material runway for growth. Bears Say - Morningstar•Jan 26, 2022 The firm’s business model has relatively less operating leverage because of its outsourcing. Additional forays into the energy category by Coke could strain the partnership with Monster, which the latter disproportionately relies on. Monster’s lack of portfolio diversification could be an albatross, particularly as the energy category matures. Below are the seasonal statistics on Monster Beverage… As you can see from Feb 1st - May 31st, 81% of the time since 1995, the stock has made a net average move up of about 30%. This is a really strong seasonal tendency over that 84 trading day period. The stock has had a couple of strong pullbacks as well, so that should be taken into consideration prior to attempting to enter the market (more in-depth analysis can be found within the Seasoned Stocks software).   The sector ETF (XLP), the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) and a key competitor, PepsiCo (PEP) all have a seasonally bullish drift during this 4 month period as well. It’s never a bad thing to see multiple correlations with the underlying stock.   LIMITED TIME ONLY [CLICK HERE FOR 50% OFF SEASONED STOCKS SCANNER]( [CLICK HERE](  See chart, and explanation below… From a technical perspective, MNST is in a bearish trend. I would not buy the stock today. I’ll look to see what volume does at potential key areas of support and resistance outside of pivots. Then I’ll see if there's a price follow thru, if so, it might be a good timing mechanism. See how price and volume reacted at key levels in the past. Volume breaks out of it’s average (blue line on bottom of histogram). Then we look for price follow thru and price rotates direction off these supply/demand areas. The next major support is in the $70 to $76 price zone, I’d see how price/volume reacts once there. There’s a 100 different what-if’s, we’ll just have to see what happens in the coming days/weeks. As you know there are numerous market timing tools, obviously use the one(s) that best suit your style. The trade might need time to develop, after all this is a longer seasonal move. There’s also earnings to consider, which comes up Feb 24th, so there’s a potential to start to see a run up into earnings… and potentially a follow-through thereafter based on the seasonals. Longer-term price target around $105, based on overhead supply zones above recent January pivot high.   No stock trade, yet. No straight Call purchase, yet. If you felt good about it now, here’s a 90/100 bull call debit spread for Sep 16, 2022 expiry that I’d consider, for $2.92 Mid price or Better:   Here’s the risk graph of this trade… Maybe you can get a fill at say $2.50, aim for $2.50 profit, maybe get out at a loss of $1.25 if you are wrong… that way you have an attractive Reward versus Risk of 2:1. It’s your call, unfortunately I cannot advise you on what to do.   In closing, there’s a million ways to trade, and there’s no ‘one and only’ way to trade. The main key is to always focus on risk first. Hopefully these perspectives have proved worth your time, and you find which best fits your personal style. Please remember, do your homework, and fully understand the risk before trading anything. To learn more about seasonal information on Monster Beverage Co. (MNST) and other seasonal opportunities, please click on the link below to access the Seasoned Stocks software:  LIMITED TIME ONLY [CLICK HERE FOR 50% OFF SEASONED STOCKS SCANNER]( [CLICK HERE](  Trade Smart, Chad Shirley Provided as-is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as invest.ment advice . Past performance may not be not indicative of future results. Always consult your Investment Adviser before any decision. P.S. Don’t MISS OUT… if you have the Seasoned Stocks scanner, be sure to set up email (be sure to check your Spam and Promo filters) and text alerts for your upcoming Seasoned Stocks trade alerts that you enable:  Privacy Policy: At Seasoned Stocks, we are strongly committed to protecting your privacy and providing a safe & high-quality online experience for all of our visitors. We understand that you care about how the information you provide to us is used and shared. 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