Preview Why won't "experts" just LISTEN to what Powell is saying?
â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â Everyone can see it, except for the "experts" on TV.
The Federal Reserve is being very clear about its intensions. "Price stability is the bedrock of a healthy economy and provides the public with immeasurable benefits over time," said Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday. "But restoring price stability when inflation is high can require measures that are not popular in the short term as we raise interest rates to slow the economy." You'll notice that last excerpt... As we raise interest rates to slow the economy. It's truly incredible that anyone at this point can continue to believe that a "pivot" on interest rates is coming anytime soon.
And, in truth, we can't be angry at the Federal Reserve if the market isn't reading the central bank's message correctly. We've been told, explicitly and in great detail, that the Federal Reserve will prioritize stopping inflation above all other considerations. We are now being told that even deliberately harming the economy is a price worth preparing if it means slaying the inflation beast.
Of course, this could have been avoided. During the pandemic stock boom, [Chris Hood](
)[repeatedly](
)wrote on the Federal Reserve's complacency regarding inflation, especially the maddening use of the word "transitory."
We knew it wasn't transitory and they should have too. And [here's Mr. X in November 2021](
): Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently assured the country that we are not heading into the Bad Old Days of the 1970s. âIâd express price increases to level off, and weâll go back to inflation thatâs closer to the 2% that we consider normal.â However, her argument contains a dangerous assumption. She said that prior inflation persisted because âpeople thought that policymakers wouldnât bring it to an end, and inflation expectations became embedded in the American psyche.â The Federal Reserve simply âwouldnât permit that to happenâ now. In other words, they want us to trust them. To which I can only respond â why? Well, he called that one. I also have to agree with former Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher. "They blew it on the transitory argument," he said. "They are embarrassed by it. And the last thing they want is to make a second mistake, which is to stop too soon." Fair enough, but what he says next should have everyone's attention.
"And are they likely to go too far? Yes." The real harm may not come because the Fed is going "too far." It's because too many institutional investors are pretending the world is what they wish it would be, rather than what it is. We'll never lie to you with nonsense about the "Roaring Twenties" or how everything is going to magically be ok.
Instead, in what's likely to be a global recession (see below), we'll give you the tools to win backed by hard numbers, proven trading approaches, and top-level analysis. Failure is not an option.
Keep Moving, P.S. Mr. X has a way of calling the big developments - even predicting the invasion of Ukraine. [Become part of the intelligence elite by joining Rogue Investing Daily and clicking here.](
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) WORD ON THE STREET Unpopular Powell, World Bank Goes Doomer, Saudis Claim WWE - "So Say Goodnight To The Bad Guy!" - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell knows you probably don't like him. You know what, he's ok with that. Powell said that the central bank may need to take measures that are unpopular in the short-term in order to ensure price stability. He also said the Fed should "resist the temptation" to meddle in social issues and "not wander off to pursue perceived social benefits that are not tightly linked to our statutory goals and authorities." - Saudi Public Fund Buys WWE - World Wrestling Entertainment chief executive Vince McMahon moved quickly after he got back on the board. The company has reportedly been sold to Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund. His daughter Stephanie McMahon also resigned from the company, saying that she looked forward to returning to her childhood days of being a "pure fan." This may mean the company is going private - something that will work to the advantage of existing WWE shareholders. Might be awkward explaining away some of those old storylines
CC-BY-SA 4.0 ([Mshake3](
)) - World Bank Slashes Growth Forecasts - After downgrading its forecasts for practically every developed economy in the world, the World Bank is now projecting a tepid 1.7% increase in economic growth for 2023. That's almost half of its earlier projection of 3%. "Global growth has slowed to the extent that the global economy is perilously close to falling into recession," said the bank. It blamed "unexpectedly rapid and synchronous" monetary tightening policies for the problem. You know, all those "unexpected" policies that we have been writing about for more than a year - somehow the World Bank just missed it. - Jamie Dimon Raises Eyebrows With WILD Interest Rate Prediction - JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon said that interest rates are still "quite low" in real terms and that the Fed may need to go as high as 6% to ultimately get inflation under control. Most don't see the Fed going beyond 5%. However, Dimon also said the Fed had moved so fast that it can wait and see if such extreme measures are still needed. "I don't think there's any harm done by waiting three to six months to see what the full effect this is around the world," he said. HOT SPOTS: What's Going on in Geopolitics - Russia And Belarus Boost Military Partnership - As Russian troops with the Wagner paramilitary company seize Soledar in Ukraine, Moscow is raising fears that it might be preparing to launch a second front. Joint military exercises between Belarus and Russia have reportedly been expanded, as troops and equipment continue to flow into the country. Somewhere between 1,400 and 1,600 new Russian troops arrived in Belarus over the weekend. - Mercenary Chief Strikes A Pose â He was once a cook - now he's a "Hero of Russia" and the head of the most feared private military firm in the world. Yevgeny Prigozhin visited his victorious troops in Soledar, posing in one of the city's iconic salt mines. Prigozhin continues to build his independent power base, stressing that his troops had done all the fighting rather than Russian regulars. - Haiti Becomes Failed State As Government Collapses - No, I don't mean that the government has fallen and been replaced - I mean that it's just gone and has been replaced by nothing. The last 10 senators in the country have had their terms in office expire, meaning there is no longer any constitutional order in the country. All that's left are underfunded and struggling police and military forces. Even the courts have collapsed. There's not one elected official in the entire country left. JPMorgan declares this new oil boom is a SUPER bull for oil and says âan energy revolution is underway.â Which is why Chief Investment Strategist, Adam OâDell, has just released the details on his No. 1 oil stock of 2023. [Click here for more details.](
) CUTTING EDGE: What['](
)s Happening In Tech - "The Palantir Is A Dangerous Tool... We May Not Know Who Else May Be Watching!" - Actually Gandalf, we do know. It's Cloudflare. PLTR and NET are teaming up in a strategic partnership. The goal is to reduce cloud costs for companies, with Palantir Foundry giving greater clarity about current cloud costs and NET's Workers Platform and R2 Storage allowing officials to manage their workloads more effectively. PLTR was up 2.92% during the trading day, while NET picked up 3.47%. - Barclays Analyst Warns On Netflix â NFLX was one of the ultimate pandemic stocks, but reality may be coming for the streaming giant. Kannan Venkateshwar of Barclays said NFLX was "on a path" for just 2.7 million new subscribers. That's way short of the 4.5 million that had been projected. The company will be reporting fourth-quarter results next week. - You're Not Going To Believe This, Jim Cramer Bailed On A Trade - I know, that never happens, crazy right? The investment analyst/living meme once said that he would never sell Microsoft for his charitable trust because it "is the ultimate buy and hold stock." However, Cramer is calling BS on optimistic projections for the tech industry. He cited Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella's cautious comments about what's coming for the tech industry. "Is he really saying buy the stock?" Cramer asked. "I think he's saying hunker down." MSFT is reportedly considering a $10 billion investment into the ChatGPT Creator Open AI FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION "However, we must be conscious that we in the West are also being fed propaganda. We may have a greater opportunity to seek out the truth than some Russians, but not by much. It takes effort. This is natural in war."
Many in the West have scorned the Russian military's lackluster performance following the invasion of Ukraine. Driven out of every regional capital and making desperate claims that everything is under control, the Russian military no longer looks as fearsome as it did even two years ago. Ukrainian officials were predicting victory this year just a few days ago. However, Mr. X argues that things have changed in the war, at least in the short-term. With the fall of Soledar, Russian forces are on the brink of a major strategic triumph that could allow the "Special Military Operation" to claim victory after seizing all of Donbas. And China may be planning it's own move in the short-term. He called the invasion. Now Mr. X asks the unthinkable... [CAN RUSSIA WIN?](
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