The Housing Market Is Bulletproof

[Cycles Trading With Phil Anderson]( Welcome to Cycles Trading with me, Phil Anderson. My aim with this three-day-per-week e-letter is to introduce you to the most powerful knowledge for building wealth. And that’s the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. Every 18.6 years, property, economy, and stock markets move through a repeating series of peaks and troughs – like clockwork. And the market has followed this cycle for over 200 years. Using this knowledge, I’ve been able to forecast every major market move over my 34-year career. If this is your first time tuning in, catch up on my[background]( how I [predict the markets]( and how I’ll help you avoid [false alarms]( from the mainstream media. The Housing Market Is Still Resisting the Naysayers By Phil Anderson, Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson Check out this chart of M/I Homes, a homebuilder stock: [chart] It was one of our original picks [in my premium service, The Signal.]( We rode that for a 52% gain when everyone thought the U.S. was heading for a deep recession. But not me. And of course, things were unsteady for a while… but the housing market is still resisting the naysayers… just as I expect it to at this stage of the 18.6-year real estate cycle. In short, you shouldn’t be worried yet. Here’s why. 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Back then, homes were financialized through obscure products that even their creators didn’t understand. Right now, it’s as simple as it gets. More people than ever own their homes. No mortgages repackaged into multilayered debt obligations… no derivatives on top of complex assets… More people than ever own their homes outright. [chart] From Bloomberg: The share of US homes that are mortgage-free jumped 5 percentage points from 2012 to 2022, to a record just shy of 40%. More than half of these owners have reached retirement age. Freedom from mortgage debt gives them the option to age in place—or uproot to sunnier climes. And whatever path these homeowners take, it will be good for the markets. If they keep living in their homes, the U.S. housing supply will remain tight, and prices will stay high. If they downscale, they will go back to the market, buy something smaller, and have extra liquidity available. They might either spend it, which will help the economy, or invest it, which will continue to support financial markets. In other words, whatever these homeowners do will keep the 18.6-year cycle going. And Where Will It Go Next? The cycle continues as I expected it to. In fact, it has just entered one of the most exciting stages, which I call the “Eleventh Hour.” At this stage, markets go up, following real estate prices… the economy grows, and investment opportunities abound. That’s where we are right now. What’s next is more growth for both the economy and the markets… and then the cycle will turn. But I don’t see any signs of an immediate turn. The U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders, inflation is going down, and markets are happy. With so much liquidity in the system and household balances in great shape (the latest numbers on mortgage-free homes are a case in point), I don’t see anything that would keep me up at night. It’s time for you to use this unique opportunity and [join my The Signal readers]( to learn which specific plays are on my radar. Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Cycles Trading Feedback). IN CASE YOU MISSED IT… [“Amazon Loophole” Allows Anyone to Collect Payouts]( Amazon. It’s one of the most profitable companies on Earth. Yet, according to Brad Thomas, a multi-millionaire, best-selling author, and former economic advisor to President Trump... What few people realize is, thanks to a little-known IRS loophole — billions of dollars get paid out each year... Required by law! With the next payout scheduled to go out as soon as December 10th! Brad has been featured on Bloomberg, Fox & Friends, Barron’s, CNN, Kiplinger, NPR, MSNBC, and Forbes... But he’s never revealed this secret anywhere... Until now... [Watch the Video Now (Brad Reveals Amazon “Payout” Loophole)]( [image]( [Rogue Economincs]( Rogue Economics 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483 [www.rogueeconomics.com]( [Tweet]( [TWITTER]( To ensure our emails continue reaching your inbox, please [add our email address]( to your address book. This editorial email containing advertisements was sent to {EMAIL} because you subscribed to this service. To stop receiving these emails, click [here](. Rogue Economics welcomes your feedback and questions. But please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized advice. To contact Customer Service, call toll free Domestic/International: 1-800-681-1765, Mon–Fri, 9am–7pm ET, or email us [here](mailto:memberservices@rogueeconomics.com). © 2023 Rogue Economics. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution of our content, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Rogue Economics. 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