This Cycle Will Be One for History Books

[Cycles Trading With Phil Anderson]( Welcome to Cycles Trading with me, Phil Anderson. My aim with this three-day-per-week e-letter is to introduce you to the most powerful knowledge for building wealth. And that’s the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. Every 18.6 years, property, economy, and stock markets move through a repeating series of peaks and troughs – like clockwork. And the market has followed this cycle for over 200 years. Using this knowledge, I’ve been able to forecast every major market move over my 34-year career. If this is your first time tuning in, catch up on my[background]( how I [predict the markets]( and how I’ll help you avoid [false alarms]( from the mainstream media. This Cycle Will Be One for History Books By Phil Anderson, Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson The latest signal of the 18.6-year real estate cycle turning as I expect is this headline: [chart] Source – Bloomberg In addition to soccer and golf, we can now add cricket to the ever-growing list of Saudi sports "investments." And, as usual, the numbers involved simply get bigger and bigger. Have you asked yourself: how does this all end? Will Saudi Arabia simply end up owning or part-owning every sport on earth? Once again, to understand what's coming in the future, just look to the past. This has happened before… Recommended Link [Tuesday, November 14, at 8 p.m. ET: Master Market Timer To Reveal His Second Major Public Prediction In 30 Years]( [image]( Six months ago, Mason Sexton came forward for his first public appearance in thirty years to unveil his unusual “prophecy.” Specifically, he revealed his “First Insight…” Those following his prediction had the chance at annualized gains of 172%, 216%, 223%, 256%, 532%, and more. But now, he’s coming forward with what he calls his “Second Insight.” And as you’ll see, it’s an order of magnitude greater than the First. Get the details Tuesday, November 14, at 8 p.m. ET. [Follow this link.]( -- Want to Lose Your Fortune to a Golf Club? During the final few speculative years of the real estate cycle, extreme hubris and extravagance show up. All you need to do is take a look at history. Here's an example. [chart] Source – New York Times During the final few years of the real estate cycle into 1989, one of the most famous signs of this hubris and over-the-top extravagance was the market for golf memberships in Japan. From the above article… Earlier this year, an avid golfer here reportedly offered $3.57 million to buy a membership at the exclusive Koganei Country Club. But, as a sign of the fanatical attachment of the Japanese to the game, no Koganei member was willing, even for that unprecedented sum, to sell. Again, here is another example of vast sums being spent on sports-related endeavors. "… it's like the stock market, except instead of buying and selling stocks, people are buying and selling golf memberships," said Sadao Ushijima, director of the Kanto Golf Membership Brokerage Corporation in Tokyo, one of more than 500 brokers around the city who have handled golf membership trades. Ah, yes, the days when you could trade golf memberships on a tradable exchange. No different from a stock market. [Chart]( Not only that… the Japanese began buying up all the artwork they could get their hands on AND all the golf courses that came up for sale. It was so much at the time that Americans began to fear they just might end up owning much of the entire U.S. real estate sector. Speaking of which, go back in history even further, and you'll come across a less well-known (stock market) bubble – but just as wealth-destroying. [chart] Source – Clear finances Whilst not as famous today as the 1929 U.S. equity market crash or the 2000s tech wreck, this crisis still represented a sizable destruction of long-term wealth for many unprepared investors. The Nifty 50 was a group of large-cap stocks that had strong recurring earnings. These were the behemoths of their day, and some, such as Coca-Cola and McDonald's, are still with us today. And the hubris of the day was this: these companies "couldn't fail." Of course, by the early 1970s, you put every last cent you could muster into them. The thinking was if you hold on long enough, you'll be madly wealthy. If you did that, your portfolio would lose about 40% of its value within about two years. If you have been reading my research for some time, you would instantly recognize the timing. Each of these episodes was near or at the culmination of each respective real estate cycle. And each episode ended very, very, very badly. This is the gift that history can give you: perspective. So what do you think I feel about this current unprecedented splurge of Saudi wealth across the global sporting landscape? First, I don’t let my emotions get in the way. I open my history books and remember the future. These next few years will be full of speculation and rising markets. But we have to make sure we don’t get caught up in the inevitable bust. Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Cycles Trading Feedback). 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