You’ll Never View Markets as Random Again

[Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins]( Maria’s Note: Maria Bonaventura here, senior managing editor of Inside Wall Street. Today, we’re sharing an insight from renowned economic forecaster Phil Anderson. Phil tracks an 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. And using this knowledge, he’s been able to forecast major market moves over his 34-year career. Right now, Phil believes we’re on the cusp of a huge event in the markets, one that we haven’t seen for 20 years – and won’t see for another 20 – that could make or break your retirement. That’s why he’s going live tomorrow, Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET, to bring you an urgent broadcast about “The Eleventh Hour.” To learn more, make sure you [go right here to reserve your spot](. You’ll be added to the guest list automatically. Here’s Phil… --------------------------------------------------------------- You’ll Never View Markets as Random Again By Phil Anderson, Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson It was 1991. And London had a problem… The city was experiencing a surge in homelessness. And an enterprising duo, John Bird and Gordon Roddick, hit on a solution. They founded The Big Issue. It’s a magazine created exclusively for homeless people to sell and generate an income from. The model was a success. Since 1991, vendors in Britain have sold 220 million magazines. If you stacked all the magazines on top of each other, they’d stretch for 455 miles. That’s well beyond the International Space Station. And all that sales data revealed something… Vendors learned quickly they could sell more magazines on busier street corners. If they were on quieter streets, they sold fewer copies… even with the same amount of labor. Some vendors bid for the top locations. Others were willing to defend their spots with violence. It’s a simple observation: Certain pieces of land produce more value independent of labor. And it’s the key to understanding the 18.6-year real estate cycle I base my forecasting on. You see, land values dictate the course of economies and markets. This insight can be enormously profitable. It has helped me predict every major market move since I discovered this cycle 34 years ago. I know that’s unbelievable… but saying anything else would be less than the truth. Here’s a short list of some of my accurate calls… - Housing crash in the early 1990s - Dot-com crash in 2000-2002 - Bull market in stocks from 2003-2008 - The housing crash in 2007 and the global financial crisis (“GFC”) - The bottom in stocks in March 2009 after GFC - The bull market in stocks in the 2010s - The pandemic-induced crash in early 2020… and the recovery - The sell-off in 2022… the March 2023 low… and the recovery we’re in right now I can get a whole lot more specific with these calls. But these are the broad strokes. How is this kind of accuracy possible? Recommended Link [“You need at least $100 of this asset – and it’s NOT gold” – Dr. Nomi Prins]( [image]( $100 is all you need… Former Goldman Sachs managing director Dr. Nomi Prins has identified an investment she’s calling ‘the world’s hardest asset’ – and she’s recommending it to friends, family, and followers. She’s talked about it on podcasts… live TV… and in her newest, bestselling book, Permanent Distortion. Dr. Prins says: “This asset has nothing to do with gold or silver, but it has many of the same features to protect your wealth – and preserve your privacy.” As the turbulence in our world grows worse and worse… [Click here now to see what Nomi is recommending before it’s too late.]( -- Ricardo’s Rent I’ve made it my life’s work to understand how economies and markets really work. What I discovered is that market moves are not completely random. They move in cycles. History repeats. It all comes down to the land market, which rises and falls every 18 to 20 years. This charts the direction of economies, markets, and everything in between. If you’re skeptical, I don’t blame you. But allow me to prove it. To do that, we need to meet David Ricardo and understand his Theory of Rent. Born in 1772, the British economist Dave Ricardo was a key figure in understanding the 18.6-year cycle. In 1817, he observed that wheat prices were increasing at the same time as arable land prices. This posed an interesting question. Was the rising value of wheat driving up land rents? Or were the rising land rents pushing up the price of wheat? Ricardo determined that the rising price of wheat was pushing up the value of land. The more farmers could fetch for their wheat at market, the more they were willing to pay to rent land to grow it. Like the magazine vendors who were willing to bid on preferred locations, famers knew that the profit opportunity was higher even with the same amount of labor. And this relationship between land prices and the economy isn’t restricted to farming. Recommended Link [WARNING: Mandatory U.S. Dollar Recall to Begin on July 26?]( [image]( If you have any U.S. dollars in your bank account… You must see [this shocking video exposing the government’s new plan to recall the U.S. dollar.]( According to Business Insider, this recall “could be imminent.” And if you don’t prepare now, you could end up holding a bunch of worthless U.S. dollars. [Click here to see the three simple steps you can take now to protect your life savings.]( -- Boom-Bust Market All economic activity is dependent upon land. It’s the foundation the rest of the economy sits on top of. Agriculture is an obvious example. But even the digital economy requires land. E-commerce giant Amazon owns 16.7 million square feet of land for its distribution facilities. Airbnb boasts 4 million homes on its network. And as Ricardo’s theory tells us, people are willing to bid up prices for the most productive land. Farmers will bid up land that yields more crops. Amazon will bid up land close to its customers. Airbnb renters want homes in hip locations. And it’s this bidding for and purchasing of land that makes a market. All markets, by their nature, have booms and busts. But the land market and the stock market are joined at the hip. So the booms and busts in the real estate market have knock-on effects in the stock market, too. And you can use how they interact to accurately forecast each market… Recommended Link [Elon Musk May Have Just Changed Everything]( [image]( Quantum computing, 3D Printing and Gene-Editing… These are three of the most disruptive pieces of technology in recent times… But none of them compare to a project Elon Musk just released… One that could soon mint the world’s first trillionaire… [Learn all about it here.]( -- How to Read the Real Estate Cycle That’s because the two cycles interact in a predictable way… At the bottom of the 18.6-year cycle, the stock market leads the way into the next up-cycle. Take the bear market in stocks in March 2009. This came after the roughly 50% sell-off in the S&P 500 following the 2008 crisis. And it was the clue to real estate investors that the cycle was finished and we’re into a new one. Now, if you’re a real estate investor, knowing this is a huge advantage. It helps you have more backbone when you’re buying at those extreme lows. That’s what I did at the bottom of that cycle. I got together with some other investors. And we bought commercial properties for pennies on the dollar – an investment that is still paying off today. And at the top of the cycle, it’s the land market that peaks first. So if you’re a stock investor, you should be watching land prices and the prices of stocks that operate in the real estate business. If we go back to the 2007 stock market peak, you’ll see that homebuilders and land developers peaked in 2005. That was a hint for stock market investors to start getting more defensive with their portfolios. We’re going to hit the top of the cycle mid-decade. But we’re not there yet. Real estate and stocks won’t crash for years yet. There has never been a crash at this stage in over 200 years of following this cycle. If you’re interested in hearing more… I’ll go into all of this tomorrow, Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET, during my briefing about the Eleventh Hour. [Go right here]( to make sure you don’t miss out. Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson P.S. To further prepare you for the event, I want to give you the Eleventh Hour VIP Pack. It’s a series of three reports which gives you all the background you need to follow along when you join me for the Eleventh Hour event. It explains how I’ve given my readers the knowledge and ability to forecast market moves themselves… the proof of my stock-picking track record during the prior eleventh hour period… and a cheat sheet to prospering this time. All you have to do is upgrade to VIP – which is easy and free. [You can do that right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Inside Wall Street Feedback). MAILBAG [Last Wednesday]( Nomi shared part of her interview with natural resources investing expert Rick Rule. Rick believes the world is following a deglobalization trend, and this reader agrees… I have invested in some energy and materials ETFs. And I selected those with operations in the Americas and Australia, so I very much believe in deglobalization. – Richard S. Then, another reader shares their thoughts on Nomi’s article from last Thursday on [America’s new factory boom](. They believe the government is more to blame for power outages than the summer heat waves… You stated - “Cities around the world – from Houston, Sardinia, to Acropolis – are all experiencing power outages. That’s because we’ve officially entered another record-breaking summer heat wave.” The reality is the U.S. is allowing its stable electrical grid to become unstable by shutting down fossil fuel electric generation plants and relying on wind and solar generation farms. Clearly wind and solar are not stable sources, and likely never will be. My point is simply, power outages and rolling blackouts are more about how our government is purposely making our electrical grid unstable. – Christian T. Do you agree with Christian that “our government is purposely making our electric grid unstable”? Do you also believe wind and solar will never be stable energy sources? Write us at [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Inside Wall Street Feedback). IN CASE YOU MISSED IT… [Bizarre Amazon Secret – Not Available on CNN, Fox, or MSNBC]( Amazon. It’s one of the most profitable companies on Earth. Yet, according to Brad Thomas, a multi-millionaire, best-selling author, and former economic advisor to President Trump... What few people realize is, thanks to a little-known IRS loophole — billions of dollars get paid out each year... Required by law! With the next payout scheduled to go out on September 10th! Brad has been featured on Bloomberg, Fox & Friends, Barron’s, CNN, Kiplinger, NPR, MSNBC, and Forbes... But he’s never revealed this secret anywhere... Until now... [Watch the Video Now (Brad Reveals Amazon “Payout” Loophole)]( [image]( [Rogue Economincs]( Rogue Economics 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483 [www.rogueeconomics.com]( [Tweet]( [TWITTER]( To ensure our emails continue reaching your inbox, please [add our email address]( to your address book. This editorial email containing advertisements was sent to {EMAIL} because you subscribed to this service. To stop receiving these emails, click [here](. Rogue Economics welcomes your feedback and questions. But please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized advice. To contact Customer Service, call toll free Domestic/International: 1-800-681-1765, Mon–Fri, 9am–7pm ET, or email us [here](mailto:memberservices@rogueeconomics.com). © 2023 Rogue Economics. All rights reserved. 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