The Market Is Predictable... If You Understand the 18.6-Year Cycle

[Cycles Trading With Phil Anderson]( Welcome to Cycles Trading with me, Phil Anderson. My aim with this three-day-per-week e-letter is to introduce you to the most powerful knowledge for building wealth. And that’s the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. Every 18.6 years, property, economy, and stock markets move through a repeating series of peaks and troughs – like clockwork. And the market has followed this cycle for over 200 years. Using this knowledge, I’ve been able to forecast every major market move over my 34-year career. If this is your first time tuning in, catch up on my[background]( how I [predict the markets]( and how I’ll help you avoid [false alarms]( from the mainstream media. The Market Is Predictable… If You Understand the 18.6-Year Cycle By Phil Anderson, Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson On Tuesday, November 6, 2007, the S&P 500 closed at 1,520 points. Just one month before, the same index had closed at a record high of 1,565 points. It would take nearly six years for the market to move past that high point. [Chart]( That’s because, in between, the markets and the world would suffer one of the biggest financial collapses in living memory. Who saw that coming? I did. Not only that, but I published an on-the-record warning. On November 6, 2007 – a full 18 months before the market would hit the Great Recession low. Here’s how I did it… Recommended Link [The world’s #1 market forecaster is flying back to Florida… Why?]( [image]( We believe reclusive Australian genius, Phillip J. Anderson, is the world’s #1 market forecaster… And in April – the last time we had him in our Florida studio – he proved it… He made a series of “crazy” predictions: he said banks would recover, the housing sector would soar… he told us to get into semiconductor stocks… And most importantly, when most were predicting a crash, he said stocks would rally into the second half of 2023… He was right on all counts. And the stocks he recommended are nearly TRIPLING the return of the S&P 500… That’s why we’re extremely excited to get Phil back in our Florida studio for another exclusive event (airing Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET) where he’ll reveal exactly what he sees coming for the rest of 2023… And details on his top 3 stocks to buy now… [To reserve your free seat for Phil’s upcoming event, click here.]( -- The Market Is Extremely Predictable On that date in November 2007, I wrote to a group of my subscribers at the time: The market is now beginning to tell us what it is going to do in 2009. At this early stage, a low early March would not surprise, then a 180-day run into early September. The S&P 500 hit the low on March 9, 2009. From then, the market ran up strongly into September, continuing on into early 2010. The reason I was able to predict the exact timing… to the month… for the March 2009 low, is due to the lessons I learned from studying the 18.6-year cycle. This is very important to understand. If you understand this concept, nothing in the markets, or even the whole economy, will ever surprise you again. You’ll often hear people say that things happening in the market are “unprecedented.” But that’s not true. If you look back at history, there are always precedents. And not just one-off events, but events that happen in a predictable way. For instance, since 1955, the Fed has gone through 11 key interest rate cycles. Every single time that happened, house prices went up, not down, in the U.S. Take one example. Between 1975 and 1979, interest rates went from 7% to 20%. The mortgage rate went from 8% to about 16%. The inflation rate climbed to 15%. Based on data from the Case Shiller Home Price Nominal Index, house prices in the U.S. went up from 27 index points to 43 index points. Zooming in on those years, that’s an increase of 59%. Look at other timeframes of rising interest rates, you’ll see the same pattern for house prices. Not surprising. Because when you’ve got inflation, where’s one of the best places to put your money? Into housing. Recommended Link [HAS HE LOST HIS MIND!?]( [image]( He says: - The banking crisis is over… - There’ll be no dollar crisis in 2023… - And the commercial real estate sector is fine… Crazy takes? Well, the man making them – world-traveling economist Phillip J. Anderson – has a habit of going against the grain and coming out of it looking like a genius. For example, in April 2023 (during his last online event), he said housing stocks would soar, banking stocks would recover, and the stock market would rally hard from its March 2023 low… He was right on all counts… And the portfolio of stocks he recommended off the back of these calls is nearly TRIPLING the return of the S&P 500… In April, he also said markets were approaching a unique period of panic he calls The ELEVENTH HOUR, which he now says is “days away from unfolding…” That’s why on Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET, Phil’s holding an urgent event to tell you exactly what’s coming, and how to prepare… [To reserve your free seat, click here.]( -- History Does, In Fact, Repeat From what I can see today, I’m not expecting history to do anything different. We might see interest rates drop a little in 2025, similar to what happened in the 1920s. That’s likely when the U.S. will have to rescue the rest of the world… as it usually does. But not yet. Not now. And not because I say so, but because the 18.6-year cycle tells us that 2025-2026 is when we’ll see the top of this current cycle. Just as we saw it top in 1955, 1973, 1989, and 2007. Before that we have to go through the last stage of this cycle, which follows the mid-cycle slowdown. The mid-cycle slowdown is when governments have to get into the business of resurrecting capitalism. That occurred in 2020. The pandemic forced governments to intervene. But what they did was mind-bogglingly stupid. It did nothing but create a whole heap of money… which had to go into asset prices. Recommended Link [REVEALED: The Secret Method of the World’s #1 Market Forecaster]( [image]( We believe Phillip J. Anderson is, without doubt, the world’s #1 market forecaster… He’s called all the major turns in the U.S. economy for the last thirty years back-to-back… And in 2023, his hot streak continues… He said stocks would dip in March 2023, and rally hard afterward… He said housing stocks and semiconductors would soar from April onwards… He even said bank stocks would recover, and recommended a banking play just weeks after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed… And now, his portfolio of picks is nearly TRIPLING the return of the S&P 500 since… On Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET, we’re holding an exclusive event with Phil where he will reveal his secret (and easy-to-follow) method for predicting market events with uncanny accuracy… Plus, details on his top 3 stocks to buy now… [To reserve your free seat, click here.]( -- We’re in the “Eleventh Hour” That led to inflation, which led to last year’s interest rate increases… and that helped push the economy through to the last stage of the cycle… a time that I call the “Eleventh Hour. And it only happens once every 20 years. During the Eleventh Hour, you can truly make or break your retirement. Fortunately, I’ve spent my 34-year career studying this cycle… and I want to help you make the right moves at the right time. That’s why I’m holding a special event called [The Eleventh Hour – Last Chance]( on Wednesday, July 26 at 8 p.m. ET. During this briefing, I’ll go over what to expect during The Eleventh Hour… explain how I’ve given my readers the knowledge and ability to forecast market moves themselves… give you proof of my stock picking track record in the prior Eleventh Hour period… and give details on my top three stocks for this time. [Go right here]( to automatically RSVP to make sure you don’t miss out. Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson P.S. To prepare you for the event, I want you to give you the Eleventh Hour VIP Pack. It’s a series of three reports which gives you all the background you need to follow along when you join me for the Eleventh Hour event. All you have to do is upgrade to VIP – which is easy and free. You can do that [right here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Cycles Trading Feedback). [Rogue Economincs]( Rogue Economics 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483 [www.rogueeconomics.com]( [Tweet]( [TWITTER]( To ensure our emails continue reaching your inbox, please [add our email address]( to your address book. This editorial email containing advertisements was sent to {EMAIL} because you subscribed to this service. To stop receiving these emails, click [here](. Rogue Economics welcomes your feedback and questions. But please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized advice. 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