The Quiet Housing Boom

[Cycles Trading With Phil Anderson]( Welcome to Cycles Trading with me, Phil Anderson. My aim with this three-day-per-week e-letter is to introduce you to the most powerful knowledge for building wealth. And that’s the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. Every 18.6 years, property, economy, and stock markets move through a repeating series of peaks and troughs – like clockwork. And the market has followed this cycle for over 200 years. Using this knowledge, I’ve been able to forecast every major market move over my 34-year career. If this is your first time tuning in, catch up on my[background]( how I [predict the markets]( and how I’ll help you avoid [false alarms]( from the mainstream media. The Quiet Housing Boom By Phil Anderson, Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson You might have missed this critical information… And I don’t blame you. The mainstream media is great at generating noise. But there’s something going on that you should be aware of. And it confirms – again – my 18.6-year cycle. Events are unfolding just as I’ve predicted. Here’s what you need to know… Recommended Link [Limited-Time Replay: Nomi’s “Next Exxon” Pick Still Costs Less Than $2]( [image]( Nomi has more connections in Washington than anyone we know. She’s spent the last 20 years building her network on Capitol Hill – which helps her spot lucrative plays in the highly regulated world of energy. Now she says Bill S.1111 is poised to funnel $4 trillion into the ‘SMR’ sector. On Wednesday, May 10, she hosted [Power Shift 2023]( to discuss the world’s leading ‘SMR’ firm… a tiny Oregon firm trading for less than $2. [You can find a replay here]( to discover why she calls them “The Next Exxon.” [Click here to watch now!]( -- The Housing Market Is Back With a Vengeance Mass media has been obsessed with “high” interest rates recently… with articles popping up almost daily about how bad they are for the housing market. First, we need to get this straight: interest rates aren’t high. They’re close to their historical average, which is about 5%. Second, they didn’t kill the housing market. Recent data from Bloomberg confirms that new home sales in the U.S. are soaring compared to the fourth quarter of 2022. In some markets, they have doubled. Home sales absorptions (which is a metric that tells you how many houses are sold relative to how many of them are available) are up 109% in California, 96% in the southwest, 71% in the northwest… the list goes on. Better yet, sales absorptions are higher now than they were in both 2019 and 2020… and you may remember how crazy the housing market became when people were forced to stay home and suddenly realized they needed a bigger or better place. Homebuilders’ stocks have responded well to a flurry of optimistic first-quarter results posted by publicly traded companies working in the sector. [chart] D.R. Horton has outperformed the S&P 500 Index by 14.8 percentage points this year, while NVR Inc. delivered an 18.7 percentage point outperformance. And this trend should continue. That’s what my 18.6-year cycle – which has been a reliable compass for me for decades – says. Confirmation is everywhere… if you pay attention to the important trends. We are in the late stage of the cycle, and the housing market is heating up. As I said earlier this week, a flood of easy money into the system will only [accelerate]( this trend. Keep paying attention… Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Cycles Trading Feedback). 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