Market Expectations Confirm the 18.6-Year Cycle

[Cycles Trading With Phil Anderson]( Welcome to Cycles Trading with me, Phil Anderson. My aim with this three-day-per-week e-letter is to introduce you to the most powerful knowledge for building wealth. And that’s the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its key relationship to stocks. Every 18.6 years, property, economy, and stock markets move through a repeating series of peaks and troughs – like clockwork. And the market has followed this cycle for over 200 years. Using this knowledge, I’ve been able to forecast every major market move over my 34-year career. If this is your first time tuning in, catch up on my[background]( how I [predict the markets]( and how I’ll help you avoid [false alarms]( from the mainstream media. Market Expectations Confirm the 18.6-Year Cycle By Phil Anderson, editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson The Fed has done it again. The much-anticipated 25-basis-point hike happened. It could have been the last one during the current hiking “cycle.” The market now thinks that the Fed is pretty much done raising interest rates. In fact, it anticipates an interest rate cut by the end of the year. I’m not a sentiment trader… I don’t read the tea leaves of market psychology. I rely on something more reliable… the 18.6-year real estate cycle. It has guided me through more than one bull and bear market… in more than one asset… in Western countries. This is the real “beat” of the market. And since I discovered it, I’ve used it to get ahead of the investing crowd. But it does help to understand what everybody else expects. When you can compare the market’s expectations to the real dynamics of the 18.6-year cycle, you can find investment opportunities that everybody else misses. So what does the market expect now? Recommended Link World’s #1 Market Forecaster: [“I’m so confident stocks are in a bull market right now, I’m staking my 30-year reputation on it…”]( [image]( The world’s #1 market forecaster – Phillip J. Anderson – is so confident that U.S. stocks are in a bull market… That he’s putting his entire reputation on the line. Phil’s called every major turn in the U.S. economy for the last 30 years – up and down. He hasn’t missed one in either direction… The dot-com crash, the Great Recession, the COVID crash and recovery, the down year in 2022… and much more… Now he’s declaring that a crash is all but “impossible” in 2023… And his evidence is extremely compelling… [Click to see Phil’s evidence we’re in a bull market…]( -- The Market Is Ready for Good Times Jay Powell, the Fed’s Chair, was very careful in his remarks – as always. He didn’t want to show his cards and tell the market outright that there would be no more hikes. He pushed back against investor expectations that the Fed would cut rates by the end of the year. He doesn’t want the markets to be too complacent. Mind games like this are part and parcel of the Fed’s approach to communicating its intentions with the market. Managing expectations is part policy and part psychology. Jay Powell understands that. But the market isn’t easily fooled… In fact, market expectations are shaping up to be roughly in line with what the 18.6-year cycle tells me would happen. The market still expects a recession in the short term. And we could get a draw down in the markets… but not a recession. Use This Knowledge to Your Advantage There are plenty of opportunities in the market right now, as I’ve shown my readers in my brand-new newsletter, The Signal. We’re up on three out of four picks, with one pick up double-digits in just three weeks. (If you want to learn more about how I apply my 18.6-year cycle to the markets, go [right here]( What’s more… energy prices fell today, which could be another opportunity. The market clearly thinks the global demand for energy will go down because of the “upcoming recession”… Well, I don’t think so. But I agree with the market in other respects… Interest rates will go down by the end of the year, and lower rates will produce a rally in most assets, including stocks and real estate. This will be the final and one of the most lucrative stages of the current cycle. The market has just signaled that it’s ready for the good times to come back. But only my readers know how long this final stage will last and [what opportunities investors]( should focus on. The big picture, however, has started aligning with my forecasts based on the 18.6-year real estate cycle. It always does, eventually. Regards, [signature] Phil Anderson Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: Cycles Trading Feedback). IN CASE YOU MISSED IT… [My #1 trade for May]( “I’m going to show you a retirement method that’s unlike anything you’ve ever seen. It has nothing to do with “buy and hold.” In fact, it has nothing to do with any “traditional” investments, like stocks and bonds. In short: it’s a way to trade one unique type of investment over and over again… and potentially make all the money you need to fund your retirement. 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