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Are We Headed for Another Major Banking Crisis Like in 2008?

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Fri, Oct 7, 2022 04:36 PM

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Welcome to Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins! It?s the only daily newsletter featuring the insigh

[Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins]( Welcome to Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins! It’s the only daily newsletter featuring the insights of renowned author and former Wall Street insider, Nomi Prins. Every day, Nomi shines a light on a massive wealth transfer she calls The Great Distortion. That’s the true cause of the permanent disconnect she sees between the markets and the real economy. And she shares ways you can come out ahead, if you know where the money is flowing. You’ll find all Nomi’s Inside Wall Street issues [here](. If you have questions or comments, send Nomi a note anytime [here]( or at feedback@rogueeconomics.com. Are We Headed for Another Major Banking Crisis Like in 2008? By Nomi Prins, Editor, Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins Welcome to our Friday mailbag edition! Every week, we receive some great questions from your fellow readers. And every Friday, I answer as many as I can. Today, readers want to know: Are major global banks at risk of collapsing, like Lehman Brothers did in 2008? Should the Federal Reserve still exist? All this and more in this week’s mailbag, so let’s dive in. Up first, a question from reader Jovan S. about [this video I sent you, from one of my old haunts as a global investment banker]( in the U.K… Thanks for your video. Canary Wharf is a cool place. Can I ask you what you mean history will repeat again? Some banks will collapse? Hope not mine, HSBC. Wish you a great time in London. – Jovan S. Hi Jovan, I'm so glad you agree with me about Canary Wharf! I have so many fond memories of that place from before it was the metropolis that it is today. In the early 1990s, when I worked in the Bear Stearns offices there, we were some of the only bankers that worked at One Canada Square. In fact, there were only two floors in use when I started – one for State Street Insurance, and the other for Bear Stearns. It has changed monumentally since then. As for HSBC and other banks, I can't give specific stock advice, but I will say this. Major global banks, like HSBC, are facing a growing possibility that some of their larger customers might have trouble paying their debts or loans. That’s due to rising rates, an energy crisis, and economic slowdowns. And it’s especially true for their customers in real estate and energy. Now, I don’t believe most of the larger banks are going under anytime soon. But I do see more volatility in the banking sector as a result of their loan and credit positions coming under pressure. These loans and debt were extended when interest rates were very cheap. The leverage and collapse of low-rate loans was at the heart of the financial crisis of 2008. This could happen again. That said, banks also have more capital than they had then. That’s because of the quantitative easing (or QE) strategies that the Fed and other major central banks have adopted since. So for that reason, if we do see crises in the banking sector, they might not be as acute as they were during 2008. But with an energy crisis gripping Europe (including the United Kingdom, where HSBC has its headquarters)… and potentially parts of Asia and the U.S. as we head towards the winter… banks that are exposed to the energy sector could be in trouble. We will be watching this very closely. Recommended Link [Reclusive trader scores 20 straight years of winning trades. Learn how]( [image]( After 35 years as a successful trader, Market Wizard Larry Benedict is pulling back the curtain and finally stepping into the limelight to share his trading secrets. And he gives you the name and ticker of the one stock that could put you on the road to financial success. [Watch his debut video now.]( -- Switching gears, reader Edward C. wants to know whether the Fed should still exist – or be modified… I have an Elite membership to Rogue Economics. You have shared that the Federal Reserve has added trillions of dollars to its balance sheet, and that this has created a difference between the stock market and the real economy. Could the Federal Reserve take steps to reduce its balance sheet? If yes, what would those steps be and what do you believe would be the economic impact on the United States economy? Based on how you have shared that the Federal Reserve has rewarded the wealthy and the U.S. financial firms and hurt the middle class, should the Federal Reserve exist today and/or should the Federal Reserve be modified in any ways? – Edward C. Hi Edward, thank you so much for participating in our Elite membership program. I am truly honored to have your trust in me and my team, and I’m fully committed to helping you understand the markets and invest profitably over the long term. Regarding the Federal Reserve, it has taken very tiny steps to reduce the size of its nearly $9 trillion balance sheet. At present that balance sheet – or book – stands at about $8.8 trillion. The Fed is afraid of reducing that book too quickly. It doesn’t want to spook the markets even more – after already spooking investors with aggressive rate hikes this year. [Featured: “You can follow the money… all the investors are smelling it.” - Nomi Prins]( If the Fed were truly serious about reducing the size of its book, it could actively sell those bonds, rather than just letting them “roll off their books.” It will not do this. Nor will any other central bank in the world. That’s because dumping government assets into the markets would create even more uncertainty and turmoil. As a result, no matter what happens to the stock market – whether it goes up or down – the gap relative to the real economy will continue to exist and grow. This is what I mean when I talk about The Great Distortion. As for your second question, on whether the Fed should exist today or be modified… I believe that the Federal Reserve should be modified. It shouldn't be able to create money whenever it feels like it. It – and other central banks – shouldn’t be able to create economic instability by their policies and say it’s okay for the economy to “take some pain.” I believe they should be an elected body, not an appointed one. That way the people of the United States, and around the world, have more influence over the central bank leaders that impact so much of their financial lives – directly or indirectly. Recommended Link [[DEMO] Penny or Dollar? (Not what you expect)]( Something odd is going on with our money. If you understand what’s going on, you could come out far ahead if you make the right moves. But if you don’t, you could be blindsided in the days ahead. According to Nomi Prins, PhD, this could be the most important story in the financial world in 2022… It has little to do with stocks, bonds, or cryptocurrencies… In fact, it all traces back to the humble copper penny. [image]( Knowing this secret could unlock the key to lining your pockets with cash in the months ahead. [Click here to see Nomi’s short Demonstration.]( -- Next up, reader Ron R. has a question about a recent sit-down I did with geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan. Here in Inside Wall Street, I [shared a preview]( of it with you. Our full conversation lasted close to 45 minutes. In it, Peter made a prediction about what he calls “NAFTA 2.0.” As Peter put it: Mexico is now in a position where it needs a lower-wage, lower skill base. Mexico needs a Mexico. And Colombia is the most likely candidate for that. And so we’re going to be seeing North American NAFTA integration with the Colombian manufacturing space. But Ron wants to know what this new trade deal will mean for people here in America… The strengths of the NAFTA arrangements stated by Peter seem a good inventory of resource manufacturing and population benefits. These may result in an economic benefit. Directing the economic strategy to raise North America and allies to sustain their top position will include a direction for the American population towards a robust middle class. Is America headed towards the Imperialism of a late Roman Empire, expanding by presence of military exploits? Or are Americans aware of their ability for immediate change in voting a midterm sweep towards a conscientious government? Are the seeds of democracy finding root to enhance workers and the economy for the benefit of all stakeholders in our American experience? – Ron R. Hi Ron, thank you so much for your observations on America, democracy, and on the need for the U.S. to strengthen our workers’ financial stability, for the good of our general economy and country. I believe, and I always have, that the stronger the foundational economy is – and that starts with its workers – the stronger the country is for all of its citizens. Of course, the way that many developed countries, including the U.S., have attempted to strengthen their position in the world – by for instance focusing on geo-politics rather than geo-economics – has often been to the detriment of its citizens. So, I believe it makes sense politically to create an environment whereby American workers are treated more fairly and make enough money to enhance their own lives. As well as to participate in, and thereby help propel, the upside of the economy. If all economies did this, the world would be a generally better place. That said, our government tends to ultimately deploy policies that have, over the years, benefited the wealthy and upper class relative to the middle and lower classes. Regardless of whether it’s run by Democrats or Republicans at any point in time. [Featured: Wall Street “loser” becomes the trader for the Top 1%.]( The banking system and central banks bear a large part of the responsibility for this, regardless of which party is in power. I will be watching the midterm elections closely though, to see what happens with regards to messaging, and of course, voting preferences. With respect to NAFTA, as Peter mentioned, these arrangements can be used to strengthen America and its allies from a military perspective. [To access it – and get a copy of Peter’s new book, The End of the World Is Just the Beginning, at a discounted price – [go right here]( But what needs to be done beyond that, is to figure out ways to strengthen the real economy in the same manner. Recommended Link [Forget tech, crypto, bonds, and treasuries – buy these instead]( [image]( All you have to do is own a small handful of these unique stocks… And you could retire wealthier than you would by trading, chasing the latest “hot” stock, or doing anything your broker tells you. [Click here for the name and ticker of the #1 stock.]( -- Finally, reader Paul D. wants to hear more about nuclear energy – and its investment potential… I read that you are about to issue a review on nuclear energy. Will you make any reference to thorium? Why is this metal not attracting more investment decisions (on the basis of economy and safety)? – Paul D. Hi, Paul. Thanks for your questions. I recently wrote two pieces on nuclear energy. If you missed them, catch up [here]( and [here](. I didn’t cover thorium, but it’s an interesting metal. On the plus side, thorium is a potential alternative to uranium as a nuclear fuel. It’s three times more abundant than uranium – and therefore could be a cheaper alternative. Another benefit is that thorium produces less nuclear waste than uranium – and the waste it produces is less radioactive. That’s a big advantage, given that nuclear waste is hazardous. If we don’t manage it properly, it could be a risk to the environment and human health. (For more on that, catch up on my recent response to a reader’s question about nuclear waste [here]( But thorium also has limitations as a nuclear fuel. It has to go through a series of nuclear reactions before it can actually be used in nuclear reactors. In other words, extracting its “energy value” is difficult and expensive. Without getting into the weeds, the trick is getting this to a commercial scale to ensure that it is done economically. It will require considerable R&D investment to get there, which is currently mostly happening in China. All that said, I may write more about thorium in these pages at some point. So thanks for bringing it up! And that’s it for this week’s mailbag. Thanks again to everyone who wrote in. If I didn’t get to your question this week, look out for my response in a future Friday mailbag edition. I do my best to respond to as many of your questions and comments as I can. Just remember, I can’t give personal investment advice. And if there are any other topics you’d like me to write about, I’d love to hear from you. You can write me at [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: This Once Safe Investing Strategy Is Another Victim of The Great Distortion). Happy investing… and have a fantastic weekend! Regards, [signature] Nomi Prins Editor, Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to [feedback@rogueeconomics.com](mailto:feedback@rogueeconomics.com?subject=RE: The Cozy Power Relationships That Drive The Great Distortion). --------------------------------------------------------------- IN CASE YOU MISSED IT… [“Shadow CIA” Insider Releases Tell-All Book on the End of the World]( This is how the world will end. According to best-selling author, Peter Zeihan, massive changes are brewing which could turn the world as we know it – and the financial markets – upside down. His latest prediction is so important… We’ve reached out to him and secured a copy of his latest book for you, at a huge discount. For details on what he’s predicting now – and how to claim your discounted hardback copy… [Click here.]( [image]( Get Instant Access Click to read these free reports and automatically sign up for daily research. [The Trader’s Guide to Technical Analysis]( [The Ultimate Guide to Taking Back Your Privacy]( [The 101 Guide to Pre-IPO Investing]( [Rogue Economincs]( Rogue Economics 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483 [www.rogueeconomics.com]( [Tweet]( [TWITTER]( To ensure our emails continue reaching your inbox, please [add our email address]( to your address book. This editorial email containing advertisements was sent to {EMAIL} because you subscribed to this service. To stop receiving these emails, click [here](. Rogue Economics welcomes your feedback and questions. But please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized advice. To contact Customer Service, call toll free Domestic/International: 1-800-681-1765, Mon–Fri, 9am–7pm ET, or email us [here](mailto:memberservices@rogueeconomics.com). © 2022 Rogue Economics. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution of our content, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Rogue Economics. 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