It could triple in value over the next five years⦠[RiskHedge Report] [Stephen McBride]
Will you buy this hated investment with me? By Stephen McBride - RiskHedge This hated asset is nearing all-time highs⦠But it SHOULDNâT be for this reason⦠200% gains the last time this pattern emerged⦠In the mailbag: An exciting way to play the next gold rushâ¦Â - We could triple our money on this investment in the next five years. You in? Before you say âyes,â let me tell you about an important person in my life... the guy who introduced me to the stock market⦠My college professor. I owe him a lot. I used to think investing was just for rich stockbrokers. He taught me differently. Problem was⦠my mentor was a total pessimist. You know the type⦠always convinced the next stock market crash was right around the corner. He owned a few stocks, but most of his money was in gold and silver. One day, he even brought in a 100-oz. silver bar in a plastic bag to show me. His arguments for buying hard assets sounded convincing. Soon enough, I threw most of the little money I had into gold and silver. And when governments printed trillions of dollars to bail out banks during the financial crisis, I felt like a genius. Gold more than doubled from late 2008 to 2011: I was convinced gold was headed to $5,000/oz. I was going to be rich. But the joke was on me. Gold went on to have a lost decade: Gold investors became the laughingstock of the financial world. Gold was the ultimate hated asset. But fast forward to today... - Gold just crossed $2,000/oz... Itâs up 23% over the past six months. And itâs closing in on its all-time high of $2,074. I believe itâs set to blow past that... My friend whoâs a professional portfolio manager recently reminded me of an important investment truth... Some of the greatest investments come from finding âanomaliesâ in the market: âTo find these opportunities, ask yourself: What IS happening that SHOULDNâT be?â Gold is one of the biggest anomalies in the market today. Itâs near record highs, but it âshouldnâtâ be. Hereâs what I mean⦠- The price of money has skyrocketed. The US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates at its fastest pace ever over the past year. This caused US Treasury bond yields to rocket higher. You can currently earn 4.8% lending money to Uncle Sam for six months. Thatâs a massive jump from the 0.03% yields just two years ago! Rising interest rates are usually terrible for gold. Gold is a pet rock. It sits in a vault and doesnât pay dividends like a stock or produce yield like Treasury bonds. This isnât an issue when internet rates are pinned to zero. But when you can earn roughly 5% lending money to the US government for six months? Different story. Financial nerds like me call this âopportunity cost.â The higher interest rates go up, the less attractive owning gold becomes. And yet⦠despite interest rates rising at their fastest pace ever, gold is inches away from record highs. Gold shouldnât be this strong, but it is. That tells me the yellow metal will go much higher. - This pattern, which led to 200% gains, is repeating⦠When you spend all day, every day âswimmingâ in financial markets, you spot the same pattern playing out repeatedly. Today, the opportunity in gold is like that of the Nasdaq a few years ago. The tech-heavy Nasdaq went on a tear during the dot-com boom, hitting 5,000 in March 2000. But as the boom turned to bust, we wouldnât see those heights again for 15 years! The Nasdaq experienced a lost decade and then some. After touching 5,000 again in April 2015, the index chopped around and went nowhere for 16 months. But when it finally broke out, boy did it run... tripling over the next five years. Gold looks like the Nasdaq in 2016, before it went on a tear. The yellow metal peaked at $1,900/oz. in 2011. It didnât reach those prices again until 2020. Itâs been chopping around these levels for 20 months. Looking at the gold chart, you can almost taste the pent-up energy. Now that it pierced $2,000/oz., weâre off to the races. I believe gold could âpull a Nasdaqâ and triple in value over the next five years. - In my corner of the world, gold is already making fresh highs. Gold is usually priced in dollars. But you can buy it in euros, pounds, and yen, too. In fact, the yellow metal is hitting or nearing new highs in these currencies. Hereâs gold priced in Japanese yen⦠Itâs nearing record highs in the euro tooâ¦. And British pounds⦠Mark my words: Gold in US dollars will be next to make new highs. Buying pet rocks isnât exciting. Itâs not disruptive. But weâre here to make money. And after a decade of going nowhere, goldâs ready to take off. Stephen McBride
Chief Analyst, RiskHedge P.S. The leveraged way to profit off rising gold prices is to buy gold stocks. These companies make money finding gold and pulling it out of the ground. Thatâs important because it gives them âleverageâ to the price of gold. When gold moves an inch, gold stocks can move a mile. Theyâre volatile, and not for everyone... But for readers who understand the risks, my friendâresource expert Marin Katusaâjust released a new briefing called [PROJECT GOLD RUSH](. In it, he reveals an exciting project that allows you to invest alongside him and some of the worldâs biggest gold bugs. ***Disclaimer: Several principals of RiskHedge have personally invested significant sums of money in the small gold stock Marin is promoting at that link.*** If youâre interested, just know this offer is only available until Sunday, April 2. [Go here to discover more.Â]( In the mailbag⦠Readers are having some mixed thoughts on whether [goldâs about to go on another decade-long tear](: Iâve been high on gold for a long time, but it constantly underperforms. Most are talking [highs in the $2,200 range], which is about a 10% to 15% gain, tops. I think the lousy state of world finance will be like a cat with nine lives and slip by again this time. âRusty And Al asked: When discussing buying gold bullion and other forms of physical gold, why does no one ever comment on the higher taxes the IRS charges for selling physical gold once it is bought and later sold? Here is what the IRS does: The [IRS] categorizes gold and other precious metals as âcollectibles,â which are taxed at a 28% long-term capital gains rate. Gains on most other assets held for more than a year are subject to the 15% or 20% long-term capital gains rate. So my conclusion is [to] buy gold stocks, not physical gold. Why does no one ever mention this? âAl Stephen: I donât recommend buying gold stocks for a tax advantage, as you mentioned. Owning gold and gold stocks arenât the same. Owning gold stocks is a higher-upside way to profit from gold, but it exposes you to new risks. For example, the stock you own likely has a gold mine. And if something happens to that gold mine, the stock could collapseâeven if the price of gold doubles. As I mentioned, investing in gold stocks is not for everyone. If you do, it helps to have someone like Marin on your side. Not only is he one of the most trusted and well-connected dealmakers in the industry... heâs also personally financed some of the most successful mining businesses. You can discover more about his Project Gold Rush [at this link]( (it comes down Sunday). ***Disclaimer: Several principals of RiskHedge have personally invested significant sums of money in the small gold stock Marin is promoting at that link.*** Suggested Reading... [Strategy produces 302% returns in worst market of our lifetimes](
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