Generally speaking, the best time to buy a stock is when it enters this part of the four-stage cycle... [RiskHedge Report] Are your stocks in Stage 1, 2, 3, or 4? [Justin Spittler] By Justin Spittler - RiskHedge Every investor is asking the same question: When will stocks bottom? As you know, the S&P 500 is down 20% this year and firmly in a bear market. Since 1929, the S&P 500âs had 14 bear markets... lasting around 19 months, on average. Which means if the current bear market lasts an âaverageâ length, weâll see the bottom next summer. This tiny $3 crypto could amplify your Triple Halving profits by 20x or better. [Click here to discover more.]( But asking when stocks as a whole will bottom is the WRONG question. Instead, investors should be asking⦠Which stocks will bottom first? Because certain stocks appear to already be bottoming⦠This is important. Stocks that bottom out first after a bear market tend to emerge as new leaders. In other words⦠theyâre the stocks you want to own. So, how do you find them? - Print out the following graphicâitâs that important... Most folks donât know thisâbut many stocks follow a predictable pattern. Youâre looking at the typical life cycle of a stock. As you can see, stocks tend to go through 4 different âstagesâ... In Stage 1, a stock trades sideways and builds a base. Stage 2 begins when a stock breaks out of Stage 1 and begins rising. This is when you want to own it. Stage 3 is when a stock stops going up and tops out. This is when you want to sell it. Then, you get to Stage 4, when a stock rolls over and enters a downtrend. You want to avoid stocks during this phase. You can get an idea of what stage a stock is in by looking up its 30-week moving average. The 30-week moving average is a technical indicator that tells you the average closing price of a specific stock over the previous 30 weeks. Generally speaking, the best time to buy a stock is when it decisively crosses above its 30-week average and begins to emerge from its Stage 1 base. - This patten often repeats itself over and over in the same stocksâ¦Â Hereâs a perfect example. This chart shows the performance of STAAR Surgical Company (STAA), a medical device company disrupting the massive glasses and contact lenses industry. You can see it recently went through all four stages. It built out a massive Stage 1 base between late 2018 and early 2020. Then it began an explosive Stage 2 advance that lasted from around April 2020 to July⦠during which it more than tripled. My Disruption Trader subscribers caught part of that gain. We entered STAA in October 2020 and rode it until May 2021 for an 89% gain (accounting for our [âFree Rideâ](.) Source: StockCharts STAA now appears to be in the early stages of building a new Stage 1 base. Keep in mind, some stocks will never recover from their first Stage 4 decline. They go down⦠then never go back up again. You can avoid these traps by looking at a stockâs 30-week moving average. I want nothing to do with a stock if its 30-week average isnât turning up⦠or at the very least flattening out. Other stocks havenât declined after their Stage 2 surge, like Enphase (ENPH). As you can see, it just based, and unlike many stocks today, has been holding steady in a sideways range: Source: StockCharts High-quality stocks will often go through the four stages many times. - Today, many growth stocks are emerging from Stage 1 basesâ¦Â You can see what I mean with solar stock Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN). Source: StockCharts It had its Stage 4 decline, but is now emerging from its Stage 1 base. Itâs up 40% over the past nine weeks and is trading above its 30-week moving average. Then thereâs [Gitlab (GTLB), a software company I highlighted last week](. Itâs up 80% from its May lows, is trading above its 30-week moving average,  and appears to be in the early phase of Stage 2. Source: StockCharts Iâve recently recommended two other promising growth stocks in my premium advisories. One of them has rallied 10% in less than three weeks. - In short: Donât wait for the S&P 500 to officially bottom out to start buying quality stocksâ¦Â Many great growth names are already in Stage 1 of their life cycles. Some are already entering Stage 2. Nowâs the time to take a close look at top growth stocks. If theyâre trading above their 30-week moving average and trending higher, now could be a good time to put new capital to work. Justin Spittler
Chief Trader, RiskHedge Suggested Reading... [My friend asked me this hard investing question...](
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