This isnât the same narrative as 2021⦠but itâs still noteworthy. [The Jolt with Stephen McBride] Roaring Kitty and record highs The S&P 500 just broke its record high and now sits above 5,300 as I type. One of my 2024 predictions in the January issue of [Disruption Investor]( was that weâd see âS&P 5,000â by year-end. We surpassed it already. I also predicted US stocks would finish the year up 20%. So far, theyâre up 12%. I know many folks are worried about war, inflation, and politics, among other things. Yet stocks remain resilient. This is important information. It tells us thereâs real strength behind this market. - Bitcoinâs (BTC) on the move, too. Itâs gained about 10% over the past week. But itâs roughly flat since the big âhalving,â which was almost a month ago. Iâve seen some folks on Twitter/X asking, âWhat happened? I thought bitcoin was supposed to soar after the halving!â As Iâve shown, bitcoin has followed a predictable pattern around each halving. Crypto prices tend to bottom 12â18 months before bitcoin undergoes a halving. They then rally into the halving⦠then rally more in the year following the halving. (Key word: Year, not weeks.) Bitcoin is right on script for this cycle. Prices bottomed 17 months before the halving and have now jumped 300%+ off the lows. And as I said in my crypto advisory, RiskHedge Venture: I donât expect prices to immediately rocket higher. Our analysis of past halving cycles suggests we may even sell off a little. But any dips are buying opportunities. I still believe bitcoin will hit at least $150,000 this cycle. But in Venture, weâre investing in real crypto businesses that are smaller, with more upside. - âRoaring Kittyâ is back... and so are the meme stock traders. Keith Gill (Roaring Kitty on X) is the man behind the famous 2021 short squeeze that sent GameStop (GME) to the moon. After turning $50,000 in GME call options into $48 million, Keith left the public eye. Earlier this week, he posted this picture, with no text, on Xâhis first post in nearly three years: Source: @TheRoaringKitty on X Markets saw it as âgame on.â GameStop shares rocketed around 270%: While this doesnât have the same âmillennials band together to take down big hedge fundsâ narrative 2021 did, itâs still noteworthy. As I said when GameStop, AMC (AMC), and other meme stocks went crazy last time, this story runs much deeper. The narrative about young folks since the financial crisis has been that they donât own any assets. They werenât participating in the markets, they didnât know anything, and they were just living in their parentsâ basements. Thatâs changed. Tens of millions of millennialsâthe largest and most educated generation in American historyâhave flooded the market for the first time ever. This is a generation of stock pickers. And I think itâs jet fuel that will continue to propel the stock market higher for years. But be careful with GameStop if you decide to dabble. Itâs a âbottle rocketâ stock, and the complete opposite of the stocks I recommend in Disruption Investor. [Upgrade here.]( Bottle rockets shoot up... then they plunge back down to Earth. Itâs exciting... but over in an instant. Just like we saw with GME in 2021: If youâre here to build lasting wealth, I recommend investing in great businesses profiting from disruptive megatrends. This Venn diagram is our North Star in [Disruption Investor](. Print it out and keep it close by. - Todayâs dose of optimism... My friend and prolific writer Jared Dillian says, âThe most important decision we will ever make is what to do with the next 24 hours.â I repeat this to myself every morning. It forces me to be ruthless about how I spend my time... Because how we spend our days is how we spend our lives. Your top competitor isnât wasting two hours watching Netflix every evening. Theyâre not staying up until 11 pm scrolling through Instagram. Nor are they skipping gym sessions. You have the same 24 hours as everyone else to achieve your goals. And having kids isnât an excuse to be lazy. Itâs no coincidence most of the worldâs best entrepreneurs are parents. I jump out of bed a lot quicker every morning since becoming a dad. See you Monday. Stephen McBride
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