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Tesla’s worst nightmare?

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dailynews@recode.net

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Wed, Apr 27, 2022 11:23 PM

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While Elon Musk is distracted by Twitter, the EV race is heating up. Lucid just sold a lot of cars t

While Elon Musk is distracted by Twitter, the EV race is heating up. Lucid just sold a lot of cars to Saudi Arabia You may have heard: Elon Musk [bought Twitter]( this week. The surprising move [raises all sorts of unanswerable questions](, but also, in a roundabout way, casts a shadow on the other Musk company that starts with the letter T. With its [micromanaging CEO]( distracted by his new company, what will happen to Tesla? For now, this is yet another unanswerable question, but we do know that a growing number of Tesla competitors are entering the electric vehicle market. This week, Ford started production of [its highly anticipated electric F-150](, and GM said it will [start making an electric Corvette](. Rivian, the Amazon-backed electric truck maker, [revealed some new features]( for its vehicles (one is called “Sand Mode”). Then there’s Lucid, the EV company whose Air sedan has been called “[a direct challenge to Tesla’s dominance](” and “[Tesla’s closest imitator](.” This week, the company announced that the Saudi Arabian government would buy [up to 100,000 of its flagship model]( over the next 10 years. Don’t read too much into the timing here. All of these announcements coincided with the end of the New York Auto Show, and Musk had been [quietly buying up Twitter stock]( for months before his stake became public and ultimately pushed him to make a bid for the company. Either way, Tesla’s stock [tanked this week](, wiping out more than $126 billion of its valuation by the end of the day Tuesday. Part of that has to do with the fact that Musk tied the financing of the Twitter deal to his Tesla shares, but an arguably bigger part has to do with investors’ anxiety about Musk shifting his attention away from Tesla and toward his new social media platform. Unless you’re a Tesla investor — or a Twitter investor, for that matter — a lot of this might sound irrelevant. But if you’re someone interested in the future of transportation, these developments could add up to a pivotal moment, one in which Elon Musk’s distractions could have negative effects on Tesla’s business and offer these new EV companies some sort of opening to break into the EV market. If you’re Lucid, the “direct challenge to Tesla’s dominance,” this probably feels like a huge opportunity. Lucid, like Rivian, is a California-based startup that wants to reinvent the automobile from the wheels up. The company, which is headquartered in a former Theranos building near Fremont, started delivering the first Air sedans late last year, and so far, it has [knocked]( [the]( [socks]( [off]( of the automotive press. MotorTrend [named it Car of the Year](, and it’s not hard to see why. The Air Dream Edition Performance boasts 1,111 horsepower, can hit [60 miles per hour]( in just 2.42 seconds, and gets up to 520 miles of range. (The Tesla Model S Long Range tops out at about 400 miles of range.) It also costs about $170,000, but Lucid [is now accepting reservations for]( a base model called the Air Pure for $77,400 before subsidies. (The Tesla Model S [starts at]( $99,990, though the base price Model 3 is a comparatively [affordable]( $46,990 — subsidies bring those prices down by a few thousand dollars.) The Model S comparison is unavoidable. Lucid’s chief executive and chief technology officer is none other than Peter Rawlinson, the man who engineered the original Tesla Model S. Rawlinson left Elon Musk’s company in 2012 to care for his mother in Wales, though he [told the New York Times]( that he also had “a boss who wasn’t treating me very well.” The next year, Rawlinson joined Lucid, which was then a battery maker known as Atieva. The company came close to going under a number of times before Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund saved it with $1 billion in funding back in 2018. Funnily enough, this was the same year Elon Musk told the head of the fund he was “[deeply offended](” that the Saudi government had refused to help him take Tesla private at $420 a share. Lucid’s ties to Saudi Arabia are paying dividends now that the country wants to buy thousands upon thousands of Air sedans. But it’s also a complicated relationship. That $1 billion investment happened not long before the murder and dismemberment of Jamal Khashoggi, a Saudi journalist who had been critical of Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, and the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the United States [has been strained ever since](. The crown prince also happens to oversee the Saudi Public Investment Fund, which aims to reduce the country’s reliance on fossil fuels. As part of its new deal with the Saudi Arabian government, Lucid says it will also construct a new factory to build its electric vehicles in the kingdom. That may be easier said than done since a lack of manufacturing infrastructure in Saudi Arabia means that Lucid [would have to import the majority of its car parts](, according to the Wall Street Journal. In any case, assuming the Saudi government does commit to buying 100,000 Air sedans, Lucid will see its number of customer reservations jump [from 25,000]( to 125,000. However, those are tiny numbers compared to Tesla’s, which shipped almost a million electric vehicles [last year alone](. It may be true that companies like Lucid and Rivian are generating a lot of buzz and improving upon the specifications of the Model S and others, but Tesla is still a juggernaut in this space. Time will tell whether it’s the startups or the internal combustion giants — namely, GM and Ford, which have both committed to going all-electric by 2035 — that ultimately beat out Tesla for the No. 1 spot in the EV industry. But if there ever was a time to get a head start, it’s now. Tesla’s boss is away. Time to play. —Adam Clark Estes, deputy editor   [Tim Cook onstage at an Apple event with a huge picture of the three camera lenses on the back of an iPhone projected behind him.]( David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images [How to use Apple’s new repair program]( [You can finally buy new replacement iPhone parts from Apple.](   [Elon Musk looks at his phone while sitting in the passenger seat of a car.]( Odd Andersen/AFP via Getty Images [Even Elon Musk doesn’t know what he means by free speech]( [The billionaire says he wants to make Twitter a free speech platform. That’s easier said than done.](   [Elon Musk standing against a dark background with his hands out in a “who me?” gesture.]( Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images [Elon Musk is buying Twitter. Now what?]( [Musk paid $44 billion for Twitter. Next up: Making Twitter worth (at least) $44 billion.](   [Learn more about RevenueStripe...](   [A sheriff’s deputy and on-site nurse give medications to an inmate at Las Colinas Women’s Detention Facility in Santee, California, in April 2020. Such jobs, says Eyal Press, author of “Dirty Work,” are often morally troubling, and the people who hold them the least advantaged.]( Sandy Huffaker/AFP via Getty Images [What does it mean to take America’s “jobs of last resort”?]( [Author Eyal Press on the nation’s most morally troubling labor — and why many refuse to acknowledge it.](   [An illustration of a woman, holding a cell phone up to her face while wearing a work hat with microphone headset. We see in her head that she’s thinking about being at home on her couch with her cat and computer.]( Bea Hayward for Vox [Gen Z does not dream of labor]( [On TikTok and online, the youngest workers are rejecting work as we know it. How will that play out IRL?](   We have an ask Recode is free thanks in part thanks to financial support from our readers. Will you join them by making a gift today? [Give](   [This is cool] [Listen to the Recode Daily podcast.]( [Twitter's new boss]( Elon Musk bought Twitter. Now what? [Listen on Apple Podcasts.](   [This is cool] [7 unanswered questions about the ocean]( [Learn more about RevenueStripe...](   [Vox Logo]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [YouTube]( This email was sent to {EMAIL}. Manage your [email preferences]( or [unsubscribe](param=recode). View our [Privacy Notice]( and our [Terms of Service](. Vox Media, 1201 Connecticut Ave. NW, Floor 12, Washington, DC 20036. Copyright © 2022. All rights reserved.

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