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My #1 trading tip

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ragingbull.com

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support@ragingbull.com

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Sat, Apr 8, 2023 03:52 PM

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Hey Guys & Gals, Jason Bond here. I want to show you how I scan for fear and greed to level up my tr

[RagingBull Elite]( Hey Guys & Gals, Jason Bond here. I want to show you how I scan for fear and greed to level up my trading. And how you can, too. As the panic spreads through texts and social media, I start planning my option trades. Because rampant fear and greed are the key to my favorite trading strategy, reversion to the mean. UVXY goes up when there’s fear in the market. Thursday March 9 SVB fell 60%, which sparked a bounce in UVXY. UVXY decays in value over time because of contango. How fast? ~70% per year! Check out this 3-year monthly chart: Banks crash! UVXY spikes! I develop my trade plans. I start by buying UVXY put options. But I got to the trade too early, losing 2 out of my first 3 trades. A painful -$48,748 loss 😱. Remember, fear tends to drive UVXY up. But also remember that fear is one of the most basic human emotions and like a cloud, fear passes.  So let me summarize what I mean: - UVXY was up due to banks crashing which caused fear - Fear is an emotion that passes - UVXY is designed to go DOWN over time So as long as my UVXY put options are out far enough, I’ll likely catch the crash in UVXY. Or what I call reversion to the mean (RTM). So how did this reasoning work out for me? Pretty well I would say…as I won 27 of the next 28 trades: A much improved +$108,458 profit 🤯. So here are my key takeaways: - Bank contagion fear drove UVXY up - Fear is an emotion and it passes - UVXY spikes in the short-term with fear - But overall UVXY is designed to go down - Option puts on UVXY go up when UVXY falls One of the best setups I know in the market. Here’s another way I traded RTM (again, reversion to the mean) when banks crashed. Small-caps went down with the shop when bank fear grew. So on March 13 I started working RTM on IWM call options. 👉 Calls tend to go up in price when small-caps bounce. So how did THIS reasoning work out for me??? Also not too shabby → I won 48 of 49 trades for +$197,427 on the IWM. So hands down, RTM is by FAR my favorite strategy. And it works best when there’s a LOT of fear or greed. --------------------------------------------------------------- TEACHING MOMENT: Reversion to the mean (RTM) is a trading strategy based on the assumption that a stock’s price will eventually return to its historical average or mean after periods of overperformance or underperformance. This concept is rooted in the belief that markets and stock prices tend to move in cycles and that extreme price movements are often followed by a return to more typical levels. --------------------------------------------------------------- By analyzing the stock's price in relation to its historical average I can identify overbought (when the price is significantly above the mean) or oversold (when the price is significantly below the mean) conditions. A lot of good banks are oversold.  For example, another RTM trade I like right now is short put verticals and call options on Charles Schwab. And while it hasn’t worked out for me yet, I’m confident it’ll revert to the mean or I’ll learn from the loss. This is what I teach in Jason Bond Picks. Guys and gals, I’m not sharing all of this to brag, but in hopes to be transparent as I have wins AND losses…But I don’t just ignore my losses. I use them as a chance to learn from them and to pass my understanding on to you. I am ALWAYS trying to improve myself as an educator – and right now I am inviting you to join me if you would like more education such as this in Jason Bond Picks.  If you’re still on the fence, I have a 4.8/5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ reviews from over 1000 people! And as I like to say, I am not selling a BLENDER here, but stock market education. So let that sink in! But don’t just take my word for it, check out one of my most recent reviews: Thank you, Edwin! I appreciate my members, especially when they take the time to provide me with solid encouragement!  So if you’d like to join Edwin and experience trading education like this via my watchlist, email breakdowns and real-time alerts when I trade … Hope to see you on the inside of Jason Bond Picks! [Image] [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Instagram]( [LinkedIn]( RagingBull, LLC 62 Calef Hwy. #233, Lee, NH 03861 [Manage your email subscriptions.](   © Copyright 2022, RagingBull  DISCLAIMER: To more fully understand any Ragingbull.com, LLC ("RagingBull") subscription, website, application or other service ("Services"), please review our full disclaimer located at [(. FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY; NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. Any RagingBull Service offered is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be construed as a securities-related offer or solicitation, or be relied upon as personalized investment advice. RagingBull strongly recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED NOT TYPICAL OR VERIFIED. RagingBull Services may contain information regarding the historical trading performance of RagingBull owners or employees, and/or testimonials of non-employees depicting profitability that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons voluntarily providing the testimonial. However, subscribers' trading results have NOT been tracked or verified and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the results presented in this communication are NOT TYPICAL. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, market dynamics and the amount of capital deployed. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some, all, or possibly more than your original investment. RAGINGBULL IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER. Neither RagingBull nor any of its owners or employees is registered as a securities broker-dealer, broker, investment advisor (IA), or IA representative with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authority, or any self-regulatory organization. Employees, owners, and other service providers of [RagingBull.com](, LLC are paid in whole or in part by commission based on their sales of Services to subscribers. WE MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED. RagingBull has not been paid directly or indirectly by the issuer of any security mentioned in the Services. However, Ragingbull.com, LLC, its owners, and its employees may purchase, sell, or hold long or short positions in securities of the companies mentioned in this communication. In the event that any suit or action is instituted as a result of doing business with RagingBull.com, LLC and/or its affiliates or if any suit or action is necessary to enforce or interpret these Terms of Service, RagingBull.com, LLC shall be entitled to recover attorneys’ fees, costs and disbursements in addition to any other relief to which it may be entitled. Â

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