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Thereâs a lot of uncertainty in the market with earnings and the upcoming election. Regardless of what happens, there is one area in the market that traders expect to be filled with opportunities.
Dear Undefinedâ Jeff Bishop here,
I expect the market to remain choppy as we approach the elections.
You see, the markets just hate uncertainty.
But regardless of who wins, I think biotech innovation could lead the way and the sector gets the added boost from vaccines, therapeutics, and diagnostics that are being developed.
Thatâs why this issue of All-Access is all about the exciting trading opportunities weâre currently seeing in the biotech sector.
[I'm an image]
Scholar Rock Holding Company (SRRK) took yesterdayâs Chart of The Day trophy.
Scholar Rock Holding Company announced positive interim results of a phase 2 study of SRK-015, a drug focused on improving motor function in patients with Type 2 or Type 3 spinal muscular atrophy.
The stock gapped up 25% on the news from Mondayâs close of $13.31.
Many traders on Twitter were eager to short this one when it was at $20. Sure enough, they must have been even more âeagerâ at $25â¦
...and they must have âlovedâ it at $30!
The results were good enough for the stock to go to a high of $31.69. Thatâs over a 100% move since the previous dayâs close.
Unless you are a seasoned biotech analyst or have access to insider information, it would have been impossible to capture the entire move up. However, the stock gave multiple setups for entries long and short.
If you were involved and made moneyâ keep it up. If you missed it or lost money in it, take a look at the chart below to see how you can trade something like this next time it happens.
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Note: above is a 3-minute chart instead of the usual 1-minute chart. The reason for that is that the action was simply too messy on the 1-minute chart to get clean signals. Whenever a chart is too hard to read, zoom out, and things might become more evident.
The main lesson here is that the stock is not a long or short just because itâs too low or too high.
Listen to what the stock is telling you. And make sure to research the stock before you trade it: the float, the catalyst, etc.
If youâre interested in learning how to trade biotechs, [grab these 4 free gifts as a bonus for attending our next biotech training with Kyle Dennis.](
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Seeing a stock go up 118% in one day and then push some more in the after-hours can get very tempting.
Itâs easy to see why many beginning traders and investors get lured into the small biotechs world, trying to find the next big cure and make many-folds in the process.
The reality is, as always, a little more harshâ small biotech stocks are a curse as much as a blessing.
And above all, theyâre nothing but a gamble, and gambling is one thing you want to avoid as a trader.
These companies tend to develop one key drug and any data readout becomes what we call a âbinary eventââ good data makes it, bad data breaks it.
The greatest minds in the world are getting paid top dollar to research and predict trial outcomes for drug candidates and none have found a consistent way to do so.
We love biotechs for the volatility they provide, but we arenât going to lie to you and say, âhere are the next 3 stocks that will double overnightââ we donât know what the results will bring and nobody does.
But we have found an edge in biotechs and it doesnât rely on the unknown.
See, the abovementioned greatest minds donât get paid for completely nothingâ they still provide valuable opinions and estimates for big money to make their bets.
When the market believes a drug (and a stock) has a good chance of delivering - youâd see a run up into the data readout.
Conversely, if the public thinks a flop is in the making, thereâll be no enthusiasm (or bid) going into the news.
We love taking advantage of anticipation moves and present to you 3 stocks we believe can move big into the upcoming data:
Liquidia - LQDA
- The companyâs main product candidate is LIQ861, a drug for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
- The FDA has scheduled a PDUFA decision date for the drug for November 24th, 2020â a little less than a month away.
- LQDA stock has been drifting lower with resistance at $6, but has found a bid over the past few days on high volume. Combined with a 10%+ short interest, it presents a good setup shall the strength continue.
Going into the decision, our play is as follows:
- Buy Zone: 4 to 4.50
- Profit Zone: 5.90 for half, 6.90 for the rest, leave small for a push to 8
- Stop Zone: 3.60 or below
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Y-mAbs Therapeutics - YMAB
- Y-mAbs is awaiting an FDA decision on Naxitamab, a drug candidate for the treatment of relapsed/refractory high-risk Neuroblastoma
- The PDUFA priority review is scheduled for November 30th, 2020
- The stock has been consolidating cleanly at the highs indicating confidence in the company. It recently started breaking out higher and an 11% short interest can only help it along the way.
Our trade plan is as follows:
- Buy Zone: 40 to 43
- Profit Zone: 49.5 for half, 53 for the rest, leave small for a push higher
- Stop Zone: 39.50 or below
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Supernus Pharmaceuticals - SUPN
- SUPNâs key drug is SPN-812, which the company is hoping can help with in treatment of ADHD
- PDUFA is scheduled for November 8th, 2020â about 10 days away
- SUPN is not a classic trade. The stock is sliding steadily lower as the market thinks chances for success are small. Weâll be watching the decision, and would love to see a positive one. When the announcement is not what the market bets on, marvels can happen. Sudden change of demand and fomo can drive the stock far up, and current 10% short interest will only be of further assistance.
Ideal trade plan on positive decision is below:
- Buy Zone: 25 to 27
- Profit Zone: 29.5 for half, 34 for the rest, leave small for a push higher
- Stop Zone: 24.20 or below
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If you want immediate access to RagingBullâs most comprehensive biotech catalyst watchlist each week, then [join Trade with Kyle here.](
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Look at the markets any day of the week, and youâre almost certainly not looking at the full pictureâfar from it!
You see, trades are being made every day that are hidden from view of the traditional public markets.
These trades come from the trading âdark poolsâ where massive block trades are made by huge-money traders targeting enormous profits.
But regular traders can get in on the action and follow the âbig moneyâ to target gains from these hidden trades.
[Join Ben Sturgill here in one of our favorite podcast episodes]( as he explains how:
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[Listen to the podcast](
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By Jeff Bishop of RagingBull Investor
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