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Retail’s back, baby

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ragingbull.com

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support@ragingbull.com

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Wed, Jun 17, 2020 12:35 PM

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in May , absolutely destroying the consensus estimate of 8%. Must have been the same economists who

[The beef 675] [I'm an image] “Volatility is the only certainty these days.” - Jason Hey there carnivores, Markets were up on Tuesday thanks to rebounding retail sales and discussions surrounding a $1T stimulus package. Today we’re talking about retail sales' big comeback. Keep raging, Jeff & Jason [Image] [I'm an image] Re-tale of two markets The Department of Commerce reported that retail sales [rose 17.7%]( in May (the largest jump on record), absolutely destroying the consensus estimate of 8%. Must have been the same economists who botched May’s unemployment "estimate"… May's figures were largely driven by consumer's return to clothing stores (+188%) and furniture retailers (+89%). And the huge beat looks even better when you consider the 14.4% drop in retail sales during April. Pre-market, the Dow was up as much as 900 points following the news... because the only thing investors like more than a beat on estimates is an [8:30 res at Dorsia](. So, where’s the bubbly? In the words of Lee Corso, “[not so fast my friend.](” The markets ambitious start was interrupted by Jay Powell. Yesterday, the Fed giveth, and today, it taketh away. J-Poww warned Congress [in his semiannual testimony]( that there is still “significant uncertainty” as it relates to economic recovery… in case his decision to buy individual corporate bonds wasn’t proof enough that we’re still pretty f*cked. Specifically, he called out risks for small businesses and outlined a slow economic recovery. But that wasn’t the only bad news. Word from Beijing is that it is raising its Covid-19 response level, closing schools in the capital [as it deals with another outbreak]( of the not-quite-as-novel-anymore coronavirus. It’s unclear to what extent the virus is spreading throughout the country... because, ya know, it's China. That news caused the Dow to drop mid-day before closing up 526 points. So, just to recap... after starting out nearly 1k points into positive territory, the Dow was up just 130 points before closing at plus-526. Simply put, the markets were more unpredictable than Elon's twitter fingers today. The bottom line... But it looks like Davey Day Trader isn't the only one profiting off of the market's volatility. Those who saw the volatility (and 'rona boi) coming and jumped on the "long VIX" bandwagon are being rewarded for their call that sh*t was about to hit the fan. In fact, one hedge fund, Formidable Fund has been [handsomely rewarded for its long VIX position.]( It took a risk before the rest of the world took coronavirus seriously and is up 39% this year. How do you like them apples, [Dalio](? [Image] An Unfair Advantage? [Alternate text]( [Alternate text]( Kyle Dennis Just Revealed His #1 Tool For Catching Explosive Options For A Limited Time You Can Catch The Replay [Watch It Now]( [I'm an image] ☑️ Deep cuts only. Hilton [will be cutting]( 2.1k corporate employees, which amounts to 22% of its global corporate workforce. ICYMI, nobody is traveling or staying at hotels because of COVID-19. In addition to headcount reductions, hours will be reduced, furloughs will be extended for three months, and corporate pay cuts will continue. But it was all worth it, as shares were up 1.02% on the day. ☑️ Something smells fishy. Bumble Bee’s former CEO Chris Lischewski [has received a prison sentence]( of forty months and a $100k fine for his role in a price-fixing scheme during his time with the company. He was found guilty in December for conspiring to manipulate canned tuna prices. Bumble Bee admitted to and pleaded guilty to conspiring with Starkist and Chicken of the Sea between 2011 and 2013. This follows the sentencing and decision last month to charge four former executives in the poultry industry as part of a similar price-fixing scandal. ☑️ Red Robin-hood. Robinhood stole from the rich and gave to the poor... but it seems like Red Robin is going all-in on robbing idiots. The struggling burger chain (maybe bottomless fries wasn't the best idea after all) [is going to market]( to sell up to $40M of shares in an effort to raise cash. This comes less than one month after Red Robin said it has doubts about its survival and ability to raise enough equity to keep its lender waiver, which is a document that essentially gives [RR more flexibility]( around the use of its credit facility with Wells Fargo. The company has since pivoted from those claims, announcing on June 10th that it is confident it can secure funding to pay down its loan. Hertz couldn't have done it any better. ☑️ That’s Gucci. Gucci’s holding company, Kering SA, [has named three fresh faces]( to its board of directors. Emma Watson, a star of the 'Harry Potter' franchise, will join Tidjane Thiam, the former CEO of Credit Suisse, and Jean Liu, president of China’s Uber - Didi Chuxing as the freshmen in the boardroom. [Fun reminder](, Tidjane Thiam ‘stepped down’ from his position at Credit Suisse after it came out that his COO ordered a private investigation of two former executives, who jumped ship to work elsewhere. Iqbal Khan, who joined UBS, was even chased through the streets of Zurich. Good times over in Switzerland. Oh, and you might remember Emma Watson for her heroism at the Battle of Hogwarts. RagingBull, LLC 62 Calef Hwy. #233, Lee, NH 03861 Neither Raging Bull nor RagingBull.com, LLC (publisher of Raging Bull) is registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of this website are advised that all information presented on this website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user's particular investment needs or objectives. Past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Furthermore, such information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of this website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information included on this website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, we undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that owners, employees and writers of and for RagingBull.com, LLC may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on this website or newsletter. Past results are not indicative of future profits. This table is accurate, though not every trade is represented. Profits and losses reported are actual figures from the portfolios Raging Bull manages on behalf of RagingBull.com, LLC. If you no longer wish to receive our emails, click the link below: [Click Here to stop receiving emails from support@ragingbull.com]( [Unsubscribe from all RagingBull emails](

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