[The beef 675]
[I'm an image]
âNot THAT badâ news is the new good news.â - Jeff
Hey there carnivores,
Markets were up on Friday despite historically high unemployment.
And today weâre talking how bad those numbers were.
Keep raging,
Jeff & Jason
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[I'm an image]
Blood in the streets
In the latest payroll report from the Department of Labor, [20.5M jobs]( were lost during April and the unemployment rate rose to 14.7%. *Pours one out for America*
Big tree fall hard
The worst part about the job losses? Well, aside from the literal fact that people are out of work... it's that ten years of US job growth was wiped out in one month. Holy. F*ck. Leisure and hospitality [were the two industries]( hit the hardest, while women, college dropouts, and Hispanics saw the largest losses among individual groups.
These losses are truly historic. And not in a good way (think: Hindenburg... or Antietam). Let's put it in perspective...
First, let's remember that unemployment was at just 3.5% (the good kind of record) in February of 2020.
The 10.3 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate from March to April represents the [largest monthly jump]( since the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) started keeping score in 1948. The last time things were worse? The Great Depression (ever heard of it?). BLS estimates the unemployment rate hit 24.9% in 1933.
Cominâ out of my cage
Despite the terrible job numbers, stock markets rose on Friday. Why? Because (believe it or not) 14.7% unemployment [wasnât as bad]( as the 16% expected.
Investors seem to be focusing on the bright side (read: the economy reopening, COVID vaccines)⦠and all that sweet, sweet stimulus money. The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq gained 1.9%, 1.6%, and 1.5%, respectively, good for the first weekly gain by all indices in the last three weeks.
The bottom line...
As businesses begin to open back up, the hope is that furloughed employees start coming back to work as well. In fact, 88% of the newly unemployed [declared their layoff was temporary]( during April (read: they were furloughed... and are wishful thinkers). But they may want to think twice before heading back to the salt mines...
Turns out some workers are actually [getting paid more]( via increased unemployment benefits than they were at their jobs prior to the CARES Act being implemented. Maybe the jokeâs on everyone who still has a job (spoiler: itâs not).
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An Unfair Advantage?
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[I'm an image]
âï¸JEDI mind tricks. On October 25th, Microsoft was awarded a US defense contract, codenamed JEDI. (The Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure, for those of you not up to date on the most recent Pentagon acronyms), and Jeff Bezos [isnât having it](.
Bezos defended Amazonâs choice to challenge the Pentagonâs decision to award Microsoft the $10B contract. Bill Gatesâ brainchild called Amazonâs contrarian position a way to âforce a do-over to rescue its failed bid.â Themâs fightinâ words, Satya.
Amazon argues that President DJTâs bias against Bezos and the Amazon-owned Washington Post had to do with the decision, while saying that Microsoft is trying to âbully its way to an unjust victory.â Yeah, the first thing you think of when you think âbullyâ is Satya Nadella.
âï¸Back from the dead. HQ Trivia is doing its best âDawn of the Deadâ impression. The Q is [bringing back]( sports trivia, without Quiz Daddy Scott Rogowski after the app had [quite the public]( downfall. The app is now partnering with AB-InBevâs Busch to relaunch HQ Sports. Ahhhh yes, Busch and sports trivia, that checks out.
The first show happened last night, with a prize pool of more than $2.5k. Oh, and since HQâs been back, itâs had more than 120k concurrent viewers. It will keep airing shows every Thursday and Sunday. All those degenerates without sports to gamble on will undoubtedly find HQ Sports, Iâm sure.
âï¸Backing out. Carlyle Group and the Singapore sovereign-wealth investment group, GIC, are [out on]( getting into the global business travel...business. The investors are trying to back out of purchasing a stake in American Express Global Business Travel unit that is supposed to close on Thursday. According to the suits, AmEx violated terms of the purchase agreement as a result of losses from, you guessed it, the coronavirus.
At the end of 2019, you know, before the entire world went to sh*t, Carlyle and GIC valued Amexâs unit at $5B, including debt. Carlyle and GIC were on track to buy a 20% stake in the business unit, but with AmEx revenues from business and travel dropping 70% in April, they are having second thoughts.
A provision in the agreement said investment funds can not be used towards paying operating losses. Carlyle is making its case around that key piece. *Your lawyer has entered the chat*
âï¸Pump the âbreaksâ. The next coronavirus relief package is [on hold for now](, according to Larry Kudlow, a Trump economic advisor. Ludlow says negotiations with Congress are stalled until late May or early June.
Ludlow and White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett had a conference call on Friday with members of the House to break down the next steps to deal with coronavirus. The next deal could climb to $2T, yes, T, and would go towards helping state and city governments, while also funding testing and giving another round of Trump Bucks to Americans (read: money put directly in your bank account, if youâre lucky).
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