[The beef 675]
[I'm an image]
âIs there any company that doesnât use ADP out there?â - Jeff
Hey there carnivores,
Markets were mixed on Wednesday.
And today weâre talking about a really scary ADP jobs report.
Keep raging,
Jeff & Jason
[Image]
[I'm an image]
Payrolling down the mountain
Private businesses that like to pay their employees had a pretty, pretty, bad April. Didnât we all? Private payrolls fell by [20.2M]( during the economyâs worst month in recent memory, according to a monthly report by ADP.
If that sounds bad, itâs because it is. In fact, itâs the worst month since ADP began publishing the report back in 2002.
Redlining
As bad as it looks, ADP likely lowballed the numbers as well, since it used the week of April 12 as its sample period. Oh good, so this could be a lot worse than weâre expecting... buckle up.
Big businesses (with more than 500 employees) were hit the worst. Thank god for PPP. Those businesses accounted for roughly 9M job losses whereas companies with less than 50 workers lost only 6M employees. [Small Business Saturday]( is working, you guys!
The hospitality, trade, construction, and transportation industries cut the most jobs, unsurprisingly, since none of us have left the house to stay in a hotel in the last 2 months. Those service-related industries lost 16M jobs total.
Speaking of transportationâ¦
Uber and Lyft both [announced]( massive job cuts recently. Uber said on Wednesday that it would be axing 14% of employees or more than 3.7k worker bees. Last week, Lyft said it was cutting 17% of its workforce, and during its Q1 release yesterday announced that its April ridership fell 75%. And keep in mind these numbers donât include Uber drivers who are definitely, 100%, totally not full-time employees.
The bottom line...
Despite the losses... it could be worse. Wait, what?
While private companies may have seen 20M job losses, itâs not quite as bad as the 22M that analysts expected. Bunch of Buzz Killingtons.
Weâll get a clearer picture when the Labor Department drops its April job report on Friday. Buckle up.
[Image]
Who Else Wants To Learn The Strategy
That Helped Make Nate Bear
A Self-Made Millionaire?
[Alternate text](
[Watch Now](
[I'm an image]
âï¸ Need a ride? Peloton sales were at the top of the leaderboard for the companyâs fiscal Q3, ended March 31. Sales of the overpriced stationary bike [spiked]( 66% over the quarter as many began to stock up on exercise gear knowing they'd be stuck at home for the foreseeable future. The mind behind the infamous Super Bowl commercial is likely claiming that this was their plan the whole time.
The Tour de No-Pants bike makers reported a 20 cent loss per share and a revenue of $524.6M. On the news, itâs shares rose 5%.
âï¸ Better ingredients, better CEO, Papa Johnâs. According to Papa Johnâs, April wasnât so bad for everybody. The discount pizza-maker revealed that April was the best month in the companyâs history. CEO Rob Lynch spilled the beans [on Wednesday]( in an interview with CNBC. Itâs like when you break up with a significant other (except in this case your SO uses the N-word at meetings and eats 40 pizzas per month) and show off just how good youâre doing without them.
Papa Jâs saw a 27% increase in sales in North America, compared to April of last year. Lynch also said that menu innovations and third-party delivery services helped with the growth. But letâs be real, Rob, no oneâs ordering the Papadia. It was coronavirus. Just admit it.
âï¸ Catching a lifeline. After announcing it might not be able to stay in business on Tuesday, Norwegian Cruise lines [got a $2B lifeline]( that it said will allow the company to remain open through 2020. Convenient⦠It raised the funds through $400M in new stock and $1.43B via two debt offerings.
Honestly, NCL might not want to be open past 2020 as 2021 is shaping up to be a rough one. The company used roughly $1.4B in credit to stay alive, $675M of which will come due in March 2021. Additionally, the company is offering 125% credits to passengers for canceled cruises, which will lead to further revenue declines through the end of next year.
âï¸ Starfox. Fox [reported a 25% increase]( in revenue during Q3 of 2020 to $3.44B, beating estimates of $3.33B. While it has struggled and highlighted losing some of its advertising partners in the manufacturing and auto industries, tech companies have been there to pick up the slack.
The company's sports division hasnât been as highly impacted by the shutdown either as most of its key programming takes place in the fall. And, with people at home, the FoxNews streaming service Fox Nation has blown TF up, with 80% of subscribers who sign up for free trial converting to full time.
Still, Fox cautioned about what lies ahead as it fears its 29 local TV stations could take a hit. Itâs hoping that advertising dollars will pour back in once the election comes around in November.
RagingBull, LLC
62 Calef Hwy. #233, Lee, NH 03861
Neither Raging Bull nor RagingBull.com, LLC (publisher of Raging Bull) is registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of this website are advised that all information presented on this website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user's particular investment needs or objectives. Past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Furthermore, such information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of this website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information included on this website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, we undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that owners, employees and writers of and for RagingBull.com, LLC may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on this website or newsletter. Past results are not indicative of future profits. This table is accurate, though not every trade is represented. Profits and losses reported are actual figures from the portfolios Raging Bull manages on behalf of RagingBull.com, LLC.
If you no longer wish to receive our emails, click the link below:
[Click Here to stop receiving emails from support@ragingbull.com](
[Unsubscribe from all RagingBull emails](