My Daughter’s Answer Stunned Me

[] Plus → Anatomy of a Great Trade [View in browser]( [View in browser]( [] DEC 15, 2023 [] [] TUCCI’S TWO CENTS My Daughter’s Answer Stunned Me Last night, I asked my 8 year old daughter: “If you had to live on an island for an entire year and could only bring ONE movie with you, which movie would you bring?” Her answer stunned me. I ask my kids these kinds of questions all the time. It’s just a fun thought exercise I like to do to get them thinking outside the box. The exercise has permeated into our team meetings here too (I’ll tell you about the killer snail question some other time). But Olivia’s answer stunned me… She didn’t pick one of the modern Disney movies like Moana or Frozen. She didn’t pick one of “dad’s movies” like Lion King or The Sword in the Stone. In fact, she didn’t pick a movie at all. Instead, she asked me a question that made me rethink everything… Including why some very smart investors can go broke trying to predict the future… [Click here]( to continue reading this story. When you do, you’ll be joining my FREE Telegram channel, where you’ll also get: • A FREE Momentum Indicator for TradingView! - check the pinned items • Daily market insights - every single day • FREE Trade Ideas - more than you can shake a stick at I’ve learned an incredible amount of market knowledge from more than a decade of rubbing elbows with the world’s top trading minds! And I can’t wait to share it with you in my channel. [Click here to get instant access to the rest of the story and join my FREE Telegram channel!]( — Nathan Tucci PS> Telegram is an app you install on your phone or computer. You should be able to click the link above and follow the on-screen instructions, but if you run into any issues, [follow these instructions](. [] [] Amazon every May 25th? This repeat phenomenon doesn’t just occur on one stock… It happens with a few dozen stocks every year! [Discover “On The Clock Stocks!"]( [] [] SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE Mastering the Deep Value Trade (AROW) Today we’re going to look at another deep value trade. Because, of course, there’s more than one way to win a match. On one hand, we can buy breakouts on Amazon in 2003-04 and do very well. On the other hand, we can also buy stocks that have fallen deeply below “fair value” and ride them back up to where they ought to be. That’s how Buffett and Munger did it (mostly) and it can work for us, too. Here’s an example. In October 2023, I ran one of my scans that looks for “deep value”. For me, that means a stock that is down by its lower Bollinger Band™. If we use a long-term moving average, it’s then fair to use that as a proxy for “fair value”. And if a stock is down at the lower band while its fair value is far up above, we have a chance for a big win. Back in October, one of the stocks that came up on the scan was AROW. Here’s the chart: [] In October ‘23, it was even below its lower band and was trading around $17.50. With “fair value” up at $28, that seemed like we had some great upside. And, as you can see, it ran right up to our 800-day simple moving average/fair value. At that point we can take the 60% gain (in about two months) and move on to the next deep value stock. It’s fun to catch high-flyers. No doubt about it. But it’s fun to buy things that are on sale, too. Happy trading, Scott [] [] [] ___________________________________________________ [] [] DEC 15, 2023 [] [] TUCCI’S TWO CENTS My Daughter’s Answer Stunned Me Last night, I asked my 8 year old daughter: “If you had to live on an island for an entire year and could only bring ONE movie with you, which movie would you bring?” Her answer stunned me. I ask my kids these kinds of questions all the time. It’s just a fun thought exercise I like to do to get them thinking outside the box. The exercise has permeated into our team meetings here too (I’ll tell you about the killer snail question some other time). But Olivia’s answer stunned me… She didn’t pick one of the modern Disney movies like Moana or Frozen. She didn’t pick one of “dad’s movies” like Lion King or The Sword in the Stone. In fact, she didn’t pick a movie at all. Instead, she asked me a question that made me rethink everything… Including why some very smart investors can go broke trying to predict the future… [Click here]( to continue reading this story. When you do, you’ll be joining my FREE Telegram channel, where you’ll also get: - A FREE Momentum Indicator for TradingView! - check the pinned items - Daily market insights - every single day - FREE Trade Ideas - more than you can shake a stick at I’ve learned an incredible amount of market knowledge from more than a decade of rubbing elbows with the world’s top trading minds! And I can’t wait to share it with you in my channel. [Click here to get instant access to the rest of the story and join my FREE Telegram channel!]( — Nathan Tucci PS> Telegram is an app you install on your phone or computer. You should be able to click the link above and follow the on-screen instructions, but if you run into any issues, [follow these instructions](. [] [] Amazon every May 25th? This repeat phenomenon doesn’t just occur on one stock… It happens with a few dozen stocks every year! [Discover “On The Clock Stocks!"]( [] [] SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE Mastering the Deep Value Trade (AROW) Today we’re going to look at another deep value trade. Because, of course, there’s more than one way to win a match. On one hand, we can buy breakouts on Amazon in 2003-04 and do very well. On the other hand, we can also buy stocks that have fallen deeply below “fair value” and ride them back up to where they ought to be. That’s how Buffett and Munger did it (mostly) and it can work for us, too. Here’s an example. In October 2023, I ran one of my scans that looks for “deep value”. For me, that means a stock that is down by its lower Bollinger Band™. If we use a long-term moving average, it’s then fair to use that as a proxy for “fair value”. And if a stock is down at the lower band while its fair value is far up above, we have a chance for a big win. Back in October, one of the stocks that came up on the scan was AROW. Here’s the chart: [] In October ‘23, it was even below its lower band and was trading around $17.50. With “fair value” up at $28, that seemed like we had some great upside. And, as you can see, it ran right up to our 800-day simple moving average/fair value. At that point we can take the 60% gain (in about two months) and move on to the next deep value stock. It’s fun to catch high-flyers. No doubt about it. But it’s fun to buy things that are on sale, too. Happy trading, Scott [] [] [] ___________________________________________________ [] [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](