Finding Winners In Unlikely Places (Anatomy of a Great Trade)

[] [View in browser]( [View in browser]( [] OCT 06, 2023 [] [] SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE When Marathon Went on a Sprint Massive winners can rise from the ashes. We’ve seen it happen over and over again. MARA (Marathon Digital Hldgs) is a blockchain/Bitcoin related stock and it had fallen off a cliff back during the pandemic. Bitcoin, at that time, was no longer exciting. Its big run was over. And if Bitcoin isn’t popular, neither is MARA. But a great place to look for huge movers is in places that used to be hot and now definitely aren’t. Just put an alarm or keep one eye on sectors that move like crazy but are now dormant. That’s where MARA was in 2020. But then momentum started changing. Instead of being far below the 12-month moving average (SMA), it started coming back up the SMA. That was the warning sign. Once we see that, we need to pay close attention because if it closes twice above the SMA, it could be the start of something. And it definitely was for MARA. After two consecutive closes above in September 2020, it went crazy: [] It rose from $2.50 to a high of $83 and ended our great trade on a close below the SMA at $33.68. From nowhere to a 1,000% gain. Or more. Which is why it’s good to be aware of hot sectors that go cold. Happy trading, Scott P.S. As a reminder, these historical lookbacks are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use monthly candles and a 12 month simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on[this Ask The Pros episode]( starting at timestamp 20:45. Additionally, the teal lines on the chart show the profitable runs. [] [] MICAH LAMAR The Man Who Could Have Been a Billionaire Imagine holding a lottery ticket worth billions, only to let it slip through your fingers. That's the story of Ron Wayne, the often-forgotten third co-founder of Apple, who walked away from what would become one of the world's most valuable companies. His poignant reflection on his decision offers a unique perspective on missed opportunities and the choices we make. In 1976, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ron Wayne came together to establish Apple Computer Co. Wayne, who was 42 at the time, had a 10% stake in the company. He was brought in because of his experience and maturity, acting as a mediator between the young and sometimes volatile Jobs and Wozniak. Wayne even designed Apple's first logo and penned the manual for the Apple I computer. [] However, just 12 days after Apple's inception, Wayne made a decision that would forever change the course of his life. He sold his 10% stake for a mere $800 and later received an additional payout of $1,500 to forfeit any future claims against the company. If he had held onto that stake, it would be worth tens of billions of dollars today. So, why did he walk away from such a golden opportunity? Wayne had previously started a business that failed, leaving him in debt. He feared that if Apple went under, he would be liable for any debts the company incurred. As the only founder with assets that could be seized, he felt the risk was too great. Years later, when asked about his decision and the immense wealth he missed out on, Wayne responded with a phrase that encapsulated both his pragmatism and his peace with the past: "I probably would have wound up the richest man in the cemetery." He believed that the pressures and stresses of staying with Apple might have cost him his life. While many might view Wayne's decision as a colossal mistake, it's essential to understand the context. At the time, Apple's success was far from guaranteed, and Wayne's previous business failures weighed heavily on him. His decision was based on self-preservation and a desire for a quiet, stable life. Today, Ron Wayne lives a modest life, far from the glitz and glamor of Silicon Valley. He has no regrets and enjoys a life free from the intense pressures that immense wealth can bring. In the world of tech and entrepreneurship, Wayne's story serves as a reminder that success is not solely defined by wealth. It's about making choices that align with one's values, understanding personal limits, and finding contentment in the paths we choose. While not all of us will have the same opportunity to be a founder in an iconic company, we do face a similar choice. Because for over a decade I’ve studied Apple stock and I’ve discovered certain profit cycles that the stock goes through. By pairing these profit cycles with a unique new twist on a boring old income trade my research shows we may be able to accelerate the returns from Apple stock. I recorded a presentation that lays out all the details. All you need to do is [click here to watch it now](. — Micah Lamar P.S. Dive deep into the strategies that harness the power of Apple's growth — and learn about the decade plus of research that culminated in "Perfect Income Trade"! [Click here to watch now!]( [] [] [] ___________________________________________________ [] [] OCT 06, 2023 [] [] SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE When Marathon Went on a Sprint Massive winners can rise from the ashes. We’ve seen it happen over and over again. MARA (Marathon Digital Hldgs) is a blockchain/Bitcoin related stock and it had fallen off a cliff back during the pandemic. Bitcoin, at that time, was no longer exciting. Its big run was over. And if Bitcoin isn’t popular, neither is MARA. But a great place to look for huge movers is in places that used to be hot and now definitely aren’t. Just put an alarm or keep one eye on sectors that move like crazy but are now dormant. That’s where MARA was in 2020. But then momentum started changing. Instead of being far below the 12-month moving average (SMA), it started coming back up the SMA. That was the warning sign. Once we see that, we need to pay close attention because if it closes twice above the SMA, it could be the start of something. And it definitely was for MARA. After two consecutive closes above in September 2020, it went crazy: [] It rose from $2.50 to a high of $83 and ended our great trade on a close below the SMA at $33.68. From nowhere to a 1,000% gain. Or more. Which is why it’s good to be aware of hot sectors that go cold. Happy trading, Scott P.S. As a reminder, these historical lookbacks are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use monthly candles and a 12 month simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on[this Ask The Pros episode]( starting at timestamp 20:45. Additionally, the teal lines on the chart show the profitable runs. [] [] MICAH LAMAR The Man Who Could Have Been a Billionaire Imagine holding a lottery ticket worth billions, only to let it slip through your fingers. That's the story of Ron Wayne, the often-forgotten third co-founder of Apple, who walked away from what would become one of the world's most valuable companies. His poignant reflection on his decision offers a unique perspective on missed opportunities and the choices we make. In 1976, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ron Wayne came together to establish Apple Computer Co. Wayne, who was 42 at the time, had a 10% stake in the company. He was brought in because of his experience and maturity, acting as a mediator between the young and sometimes volatile Jobs and Wozniak. Wayne even designed Apple's first logo and penned the manual for the Apple I computer. [] However, just 12 days after Apple's inception, Wayne made a decision that would forever change the course of his life. He sold his 10% stake for a mere $800 and later received an additional payout of $1,500 to forfeit any future claims against the company. If he had held onto that stake, it would be worth tens of billions of dollars today. So, why did he walk away from such a golden opportunity? Wayne had previously started a business that failed, leaving him in debt. He feared that if Apple went under, he would be liable for any debts the company incurred. As the only founder with assets that could be seized, he felt the risk was too great. Years later, when asked about his decision and the immense wealth he missed out on, Wayne responded with a phrase that encapsulated both his pragmatism and his peace with the past: "I probably would have wound up the richest man in the cemetery." He believed that the pressures and stresses of staying with Apple might have cost him his life. While many might view Wayne's decision as a colossal mistake, it's essential to understand the context. At the time, Apple's success was far from guaranteed, and Wayne's previous business failures weighed heavily on him. His decision was based on self-preservation and a desire for a quiet, stable life. Today, Ron Wayne lives a modest life, far from the glitz and glamor of Silicon Valley. He has no regrets and enjoys a life free from the intense pressures that immense wealth can bring. In the world of tech and entrepreneurship, Wayne's story serves as a reminder that success is not solely defined by wealth. It's about making choices that align with one's values, understanding personal limits, and finding contentment in the paths we choose. While not all of us will have the same opportunity to be a founder in an iconic company, we do face a similar choice. Because for over a decade I’ve studied Apple stock and I’ve discovered certain profit cycles that the stock goes through. By pairing these profit cycles with a unique new twist on a boring old income trade my research shows we may be able to accelerate the returns from Apple stock. I recorded a presentation that lays out all the details. All you need to do is [click here to watch it now](. — Micah Lamar P.S. Dive deep into the strategies that harness the power of Apple's growth — and learn about the decade plus of research that culminated in "Perfect Income Trade"! [Click here to watch now!]( [] [] [] ___________________________________________________ [] [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](