Anatomy of a Great Trade: AAPL

[] [View in browser]( [View in browser]( [] AUG 4, 2023 [] [] SCOTT WELSH'S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE Could We Have Used Our “Set It And Forget It” System To Ride AAPL To Profits? If we’re going to study great trades from the past (which we like to do on Fridays), we can’t have a legitimate library unless you include Apple (AAPL). AAPL is the poster child for big trends (and big drawdowns). But the question is: is there a way to catch big trends on AAPL using a system? Sure, it’s easy to say, “Just buy and hold AAPL forever.” Doing that in real life, though, is nearly impossible. So, is there a way? The first thing we’ll do is use a Monthly chart. We could use a Weekly chart, but we’re too lazy for that. Then we’ll apply our rules. One, we must see previous positive momentum. To ensure that, we make sure the price closes above the 12-month simple moving average (SMA) on two consecutive bars. Then we put our stop loss below the SMA. Then we ride it upward as far as it can go, only exiting when price does eventually go below the moving average. Does it work? Here’s a chart on AAPL during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. [] AAPL fell off a cliff during the crisis, like everything else, and would have been a nightmare to buy and hold. However, in June 2009, we got what we wanted. We got two consecutive closes above the line. You can see that on the far right side of the chart: [] What happened next? [] It went from $4.87 to $19.78. If we could wait out the crisis and wait for our signal, a huge trade was coming next. And our long-term, lazy system would have captured it. Happy trading, — Scott Welsh P.S. As a reminder, these historical lookbacks are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use monthly candles and a 12 month simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on [this Ask The Pros episode]( starting at timestamp 20:45. Additionally, the teal lines on the chart show the profitable runs. [] [] JEFFRY TURNMIRE Big Data and Trading: The Wall Street Revolution In the Information Age, the term "Big Data" has become more than just a buzzword. It's revolutionizing industries, from healthcare to marketing, and finance hasn't been left behind. In fact, it's the fast-paced world of trading where the impact of Big Data is most evident. Big Data refers to massive volumes of structured and unstructured data that businesses grapple with daily. In the trading world, it gives traders and investors a wealth of market insights. Trading algorithms, powered by machine learning and artificial intelligence, mine this vast data ocean for valuable insights: • Real-time market trends • Economic indicators • Even predictions of market movements This data-driven landscape has accelerated the pace of trading to lightning speed. Algorithms — without the burden of human indecision or emotional bias — quickly execute trades when they spot opportunities. It's a level of efficiency that dwarfs traditional human capabilities. Yet, even with all this fancy technology and high-speed trading, not everything works flawlessly. See, I’ve discovered a unique flaw in one particular algorithm. Under very specific circumstances, it continually makes the same pricing error, as it has for over a year. And it’s allowed me to rack up an unheard of winning streak of 52 wins with 0 losses. If you’d like to learn more, I recorded a video for you. [You can click here to watch it.]( — Jeffry Turnmire Disclaimer: From 6/28/22 to 7/27/23 the win rate is 100% over 52 published alerts. Past performance is not indicative of future results. [] [] [] [] [] AUG 4, 2023 [] [] SCOTT WELSH'S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE Could We Have Used Our “Set It And Forget It” System To Ride AAPL To Profits? If we’re going to study great trades from the past (which we like to do on Fridays), we can’t have a legitimate library unless you include Apple (AAPL). AAPL is the poster child for big trends (and big drawdowns). But the question is: is there a way to catch big trends on AAPL using a system? Sure, it’s easy to say, “Just buy and hold AAPL forever.” Doing that in real life, though, is nearly impossible. So, is there a way? The first thing we’ll do is use a Monthly chart. We could use a Weekly chart, but we’re too lazy for that. Then we’ll apply our rules. One, we must see previous positive momentum. To ensure that, we make sure the price closes above the 12-month simple moving average (SMA) on two consecutive bars. Then we put our stop loss below the SMA. Then we ride it upward as far as it can go, only exiting when price does eventually go below the moving average. Does it work? Here’s a chart on AAPL during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. [] AAPL fell off a cliff during the crisis, like everything else, and would have been a nightmare to buy and hold. However, in June 2009, we got what we wanted. We got two consecutive closes above the line. You can see that on the far right side of the chart: [] What happened next? [] It went from $4.87 to $19.78. If we could wait out the crisis and wait for our signal, a huge trade was coming next. And our long-term, lazy system would have captured it. Happy trading, — Scott Welsh P.S. As a reminder, these historical lookbacks are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use monthly candles and a 12 month simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on [this Ask The Pros episode]( starting at timestamp 20:45. Additionally, the teal lines on the chart show the profitable runs. [] [] JEFFRY TURNMIRE Big Data and Trading: The Wall Street Revolution In the Information Age, the term "Big Data" has become more than just a buzzword. It's revolutionizing industries, from healthcare to marketing, and finance hasn't been left behind. In fact, it's the fast-paced world of trading where the impact of Big Data is most evident. Big Data refers to massive volumes of structured and unstructured data that businesses grapple with daily. In the trading world, it gives traders and investors a wealth of market insights. Trading algorithms, powered by machine learning and artificial intelligence, mine this vast data ocean for valuable insights: - Real-time market trends - Economic indicators - Even predictions of market movements This data-driven landscape has accelerated the pace of trading to lightning speed. Algorithms — without the burden of human indecision or emotional bias — quickly execute trades when they spot opportunities. It's a level of efficiency that dwarfs traditional human capabilities. Yet, even with all this fancy technology and high-speed trading, not everything works flawlessly. See, I’ve discovered a unique flaw in one particular algorithm. Under very specific circumstances, it continually makes the same pricing error, as it has for over a year. And it’s allowed me to rack up an unheard of winning streak of 52 wins with 0 losses. If you’d like to learn more, I recorded a video for you. [You can click here to watch it.]( — Jeffry Turnmire Disclaimer: From 6/28/22 to 7/27/23 the win rate is 100% over 52 published alerts. Past performance is not indicative of future results. [] [] [] [] [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](