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Netflix charged 30% higher thanks to nationwide stay-at-home orders, but is its rosy run over?‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  [Profit Trends]( SPONSORED [Trump Signing]( these new Trump Laws make you cash-rich? Trump recently signed two bills into law which can help accelerate [opportunities for Americans like you and me to get cash-rich,]( without stepping out of your home. In fact, you can get in on these HOT opportunities soon. [To learn more about the strategy these bills impact, and to see how you can take advantage of it, click here.](  Editor's Note: Yesterday, I wrote you about the world premiere of Matthew Carr's post-"Corona Crash" interview. And since you're a Profit Trends subscriber, I wanted you to see this first. Matthew's revealing the [FULL TICKER SYMBOL]( of his favorite stock pick in 2020. (That's both letters of the ticker - there's no gimmick here. You're getting a free stock play.) He's uncovered an opportunity so big that just a small investment today could be worth a fortune over time. And he even knows the exact day it's going to pay out... [I strongly urge you to grab a pen and paper and write down Matthew's No. 1 ticker symbol... revealed HERE.]( - Rebecca Barshop, Senior Managing Editor  [MARKET TRENDS]( Is It Time to Press Pause on This Stay-at-Home Play? Matthew Carr | Chief Trends Strategist | The Oxford Club [Matthew Carr] This year has felt like decades crammed into a handful of months. In the future, whole chapters of history textbooks will be dedicated to what happened in 2020. And so far, we're only six months in! It's hard to believe that a mere 78 days ago, the S&P 500 was down more than 30% for 2020... that the markets suffered the fastest - [though easiest to tame]( - bear market decline in history. And now, after a furious, V-shaped recovery, the S&P is a hair's breadth away from being positive for the year. Already, the Nasdaq is up more than 10% year to date. And a big driver for both indexes has been one of the clear winners of the pandemic and its [stay-at-home economy]( Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX)... [Netflix vs. S&P 500 and Nasdaq]  The video streaming service ended 2019 as the [best-performing stock]( of the last decade. And it's continued to be a breadwinner for investors in 2020, setting new all-time highs and charging nearly 30% for the year. But now the tide is turning. And if history is any guide, Netflix's rosy run could be ending... at least for now. Avoid This Glaring Omission Over the years, I've developed a number of strategies that go against Wall Street norms. One of those is to target [seasonal trading]( trends. These are [predictable patterns]( each year that investors can profit from over and over again. And part of that strategy focuses on understanding how shares of companies tend to move on earnings. Now, skeptics will view this as immaterial or lacking insight. But I disagree. And if you're an options trader, this is actually information you can't afford to ignore. Traditionally, most analysts look at earnings in a linear fashion. You'll hear something like "Netflix has beaten the earnings consensus three of the past four quarters." And you can find charts like this all over the financial news... [Netflix EPS - Last Four Quarters]  But in reality, that doesn't tell you how investors reacted to the results. So the information isn't complete. In fact, there's a glaring omission. I take a different approach. I use one that creates a more honest representation of the company's performance and is far more telling of its business and how investors feel about it.  SPONSORED [You Could Get RICH by January 21, 2022... Yes, This Exact Day]( America's No. 1 expert reveals the opportunity of a lifetime. A small grubstake today... could help secure your future. Even in this post-coronavirus market. [Click Here](   I look at earnings in a vertical fashion. I focus on the [one-day move of shares on each report](. I want to see how a company's shares have moved on every first, second, third and fourth quarter report. To illustrate what I mean, let's look at a table of the one-day moves of Netflix shares on each quarterly earnings release since 2009... [Netflix One-Day Moves on Earnings]  This gives me a clearer picture of what to expect for earnings in an apples-to-apples comparison. I can see fourth quarter earnings have been prone to big, one-day pops. Whereas first and third quarter reactions are a coin flip. More importantly, I can see second quarter results tend to suffer big one-day drops. In fact, they've risen only twice on this report since 2009. And that report is on the horizon now. "This Year Is Different!" I love consistency and predictability in my investments and trades. And that's why I love [seasonal trading](. There is comfort in the ebbs and flows. Now, you might say, "Video streaming doesn't have seasonality." And if you looked at a revenue chart for Netflix, you would see a steady incline from quarter to quarter. But Netflix shares have some wildly exceptional months and some not-so-great ones. Just look at how the company's shares have performed in January since they began trading... [Netflix Shares - Average Monthly Gain]  Would you expect that in one month alone shares are gaining an average of 18.3%? That's largely thanks to those big moves on fourth quarter earnings. We can also see July has been the lone bruise each year for Netflix shares. And that's due to the response to second quarter results. For years investors have consistently reacted negatively to this report. But this year - likely because of the [pandemic]( - expectations are heightened even further. In the first quarter, Netflix demolished subscriber number expectations. It reported global additions of 15.8 million - more than double its guidance of 7 million and nearly double the 8 million analysts expected. Yet shares still fell. With [reopenings underway]( subscriber numbers aren't going to improve going forward. Especially during a quarterly report when Netflix has historically failed to impress. That means this is a "[stay-at-home economy]( play investors might want to press pause on. The seasonal trend in shares is flashing a warning sign, and the catalyst for its first quarter bump in subscribers is winding to a close. From my perspective, the greatest stock of the past decade is on hold... at least for now. Here's to high returns, Matthew P.S. Seasonal trading is what I excel at. It's what has defined my career - and led to my greatest successes. And that's how I know that a massive payday is coming up in [THIS ONE STOCK](. I'm going to give you the name and ticker symbol - no strings attached - in this brand-new research presentation. I just published it yesterday. You could be on the front lines of a retirement-defining investment! [Click here for your free stock pick.]( [Leave a Comment](  MORE FROM PROFIT TRENDS [How a So-So Stock Is Making Fortunes](    [11 Modern Ways to Collect Recurring Weekly Income](    [Renewable Energy Sources Replace Coal Ahead of Predictions](  [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Twitter]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Profit%20Trends...&body=From%20Profit%20Trends:%0D%0A%0D%0ANetflix%20charged%2030%%20higher%20thanks%20to%20nationwide%20stay-at-home%20orders,%20but%20is%20its%20rosy%20run%20over?%0D%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Profit%20Trends...&body=From%20Profit%20Trends:%0D%0A%0D%0ANetflix%20charged%2030%%20higher%20thanks%20to%20nationwide%20stay-at-home%20orders,%20but%20is%20its%20rosy%20run%20over?%0D%0A%0D  SPONSORED [Buy This Energy Stock RIGHT NOW]( Morgan Stanley alone is investing $15.9 million in it. BlackRock put up a massive $123.7 million. 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