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[Click here to discover the secret behind the "Fast Money Crossover" NOW.]( 3/9/2021 The 2 Indicators I Trust Most Are Signaling A Reversal --------------------------------------------------------------- By: [Amber Hestla, Chief Investment Strategist]( The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) is about 4.4% off its high, and concerns are mounting. One reason for concern is that SPY traded at its all-time high about two weeks ago. The sudden decline is alarming to new traders. Many of them seemed to believe stocks always go up. But you and I know better. Prices go down as well as up, and that means we aren't surprised by declines. It also means we should apply time-tested tools to understand the risks associated with the current market. That's why this week, I decided to focus on the two indicators I know best. That's because I have designed and tested them extensively myself. What My Indicators Are Telling Us The chart below shows SPY with my Income Trader Volatility (ITV) indicator. ITV is similar to VIX in that it rises as prices fall. At the close last week, ITV moved above its moving average (the dashed line in the bottom portion of the chart). [Image: ( This is the third time the indicator moved above its MA since the start of the year. Previous signals were quickly reversed. This one may be signaling that additional downside is likely. To quantify the risk in the current market, I added [Fibonacci retracement]( levels to the price of SPY. The downside price target based on this technique is about 18% below SPY's high. Some traders attribute mystical powers to [Fibonacci numbers](. I don't. [Hedge Fund CEO expects this tech to be worth "35 Amazons"]( C. Wood, CEO of ARK Investments, is confident [THIS game-changing technology]( will become the biggest investment opportunity of our generation. Gates, Bezos, Zuckerberg, and Musk all seem to agree... they're pouring money into it hand over fist. Today, you have a rare chance to join the world's wealthiest tech insiders in what could easily become the biggest profit windfall of our lifetime. [Click here for the full details.]( I add them to charts simply because many traders watch Fibonacci levels. I've noted before that these numbers are important solely because they are easy to draw on charts and are widely followed by technical traders, including traders at the largest hedge funds. It's interesting to note the 38.2% retracement of the market's one-year advance coincides precisely with last autumn's lows. This is a support level based on the price action and the Fibonacci retracement. It shows that there is significant risk in the market. My Profit Amplifier Momentum (PAM) indicator confirms this risk. PAM is shown on the daily chart of SPY below. PAM has been weak for some time, creating a bearish divergence with the price action. It turned bearish last week. Action To Take PAM is designed as a short-term indicator. ITV is a longer-term indicator. Both are bearish, and so is the price action. I don't expect the stock market to fall straight down. There will be back and forth action but the primary trend appears to have shifted from up to down. The good news is that this doesn't have to alter our strategy over at my premium service, [Maximum Income](. That's because our strategy works just like an "insurance" plan - it protects our portfolio, but it actually pays us instantly for doing it. Want to know one of the best ways to protect your portfolio - while also earning more income? [Learn more about it here.]( [7 Bold Investment Predictions for 2021]( [7 Bold Investment Predictions for 2021]( Top Stock Advisor just released its annual market predictions for the coming year. 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