Donald Dominates

Trump wins the New Hampshire primary by 11.5 points over Haley. [The Rude Awakening] January 24, 2024 [WEBSITE]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( Donald Dominates [Sean Ring] SEAN RING The Donald continued his march to the Republican nomination by thrashing Nutty Neocon Nikki Haley 43% to 32.5%. Trump didn’t need to say much before the vote to win. But he did rub it in Haley’s face afterward. “She had a very bad night,” Trump said. And he was right. Haley spent over $30 million in a state where Democrats and Independents can vote in the Republican primary if they switch to Republican status beforehand. Over 3,000 registered Democrats switched their registration to “undeclared” ahead of the primary, which is well below 1% of voters. New Hampshire's registration history shows several thousand voters typically switch their registration before each election. So when Trump claims that Democrats and Independents can vote in the Republican primary, he’s technically incorrect. But, really, he’s not far off. Watch this video to see this usually registered Democrat say he voted for Haley to oppose Trump. But if Haley won in a general election, he’d vote for Biden. Ludicrous. [Rude] Credit: [@NuanceBro]( [@NuanceBro]( followed up that post with this: New Hampshire has semi-closed primaries. They do not limit voting in primaries only to members of that particular party. If you aren’t registered with either party AKA undeclared you can vote in any primary you choose. This man is a Biden supporter and technically undeclared but voted Haley. In fact, [only 47% of New Hampshire voters identified as Republicans, 45% identified as Democrats, and 8% identified as Independents.]( Although most Republicans in New Hampshire are moderate, Trump still won by a wide margin. As [Statista’s]( Richter wrote]( before the vote: If the results from New Hampshire actually go Trump’s way, he would be the first non-incumbent Republican candidate to win in Iowa and New Hampshire, two states often considered crucial in the presidential primaries as they host the first contests in the nomination process. Is Haley Shameless or Delusional? [Rude] Credit: [@grandoldmemes]( You’ve got to hand it to her: win or lose, Nikki Haley keeps her chin up. She always gives a victory speech, no matter the outcome. “New Hampshire is first in the nation; it is not last in the nation,” Haley said in her concession speech. “This race is far from over. There are dozens of states left to go. And the next one is my sweet state of South Carolina.” She’s already trailing Trump in South Carolina by over 30 points. “South Carolina voters don’t want a coronation. They want an election. We are just getting started.” WTF is she talking about? She’s done. Or is she? Why is she talking like she still has a chance? Who’s encouraging her? [Urgent Publisher Warning]( Hi, I’m Matt Insley. I’m the Publisher at Paradigm Press. Today, I have [bad news to share]( regarding the future of Jim Rickard’s newsletter. [>> Click here now for my announcement.]( [Click Here To Learn More]( Rotten Republicans According to former candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, The Wall Street Journal isn’t helping. [Rude] Credit: [@VivekGRamaswamy]( So let’s get this straight: Vivek thinks the MSM and Republican co-conspirators are hoping to keep Haley alive long enough to get her past Trump’s legal troubles? Why on earth would he think this? Kari Lake Leaks It may be because Arizona Republican Party Chairman and all-around slimeball Jeff DeWit was caught on tape offering Kari Lake bags of money if she’d just step aside for two years. [Rude] Credit: [@WarClandestine]( Tim Pool’s post has the full audio: [Rude] Credit: [@Timcast]( Long story short: “Back east,” some Republicans are happy to send Kari Lake mountains of money to get her out of the AZ Senate race. If that doesn't work, according to DeWit, they're happy to pay assassins to get their way. Let me remind you that these are Republicans, not Democrats. So the next time you hear, “But Maricopa County was run by Republicans!” you can retort by saying, “Well, election fraud isn’t a one-sided issue.” Imagine the kind of collusion going on between the parties if Republicans are talking to each other like this. My friend, there is a swamp, and it’s filthy! I’m thrilled Lake told DeWit to use the money as a rectangular suppository. If you have doubts about the tape, [Lake confirms it’s real here](. Wrap Up If left to his devices, Trump would’ve won this race already. But dark forces on the Republican side are trying to keep Trump out of the White House and Kari Lake out of the Senate. We mustn’t just look at the Democrats when inquiring about the fairness of our voting mechanisms. The Republicans are rotten to the core as well. In November, Trump will prevail and face Biden in a Battle of the Dentures and Diapers War. But it’ll be a dirty, filthy race until then and beyond. Still, it could be worse. [Rude] All the best, [Sean Ring] Sean Ring Editor, Rude Awakening X (formerly Twitter): [@seaniechaos]( In Case You Missed It… Run, Russell, Run! [Sean Ring] SEAN RING As I was reading about Nikki Haley's alleged extramarital affairs, I thought, “Ewwww! Let's write about the stock market today instead!” Luckily, a trade in one of the indexes may interest you, especially if you prefer to keep your money in index funds. Let me explain. The Russell 2000 index's charts look pretty unremarkable at the moment. But I'll show you a strong argument for why it may be about to break out. But before I do, let's define the Russell 2000 and why you'd want to invest in an index like this. What is the Russell 2000? The Russell 2000 index tracks 2,000 small-cap companies in the United States. It's part of the broader Russell 3000 Index, which covers around 98% of the U.S. equity market, making the Russell 2000 a significant chunk. Investors consider the Russell 2000 for a few key reasons: - Diversity in Small Caps: It offers exposure to small companies across various sectors. These companies are often more agile and potentially faster-growing than larger, more established firms. - Domestic Focus: Many small-cap companies are more domestically focused than larger multinational corporations. This means they can offer investors different market exposure, which is especially useful when global markets are volatile or facing unique challenges. - Growth Potential: Small-cap stocks have the potential for high growth. They are often in their early growth stages and can offer higher returns (though with higher risk). - Portfolio Diversification: Including small-cap stocks like those in the Russell 2000 can help diversify an investment portfolio, which can reduce risk. - Economic Indicator: The Russell 2000 is often seen as a bellwether for the domestic economy. Since it's made up of smaller domestic companies, it can be a good indicator of the overall U.S. economy's performance. But remember, investing in small caps can be riskier than investing in larger, more stable companies. They can be more volatile and sensitive to market changes. So, it's always good to consider how this fits into your overall investment strategy and risk tolerance. Only you know that for sure. The Russell's Charts We'll use IWM, the tradeable Russell 2000 ETF, for the charts. You can easily buy IWM through whichever broker-dealer you use to trade your portfolio. The daily chart is unremarkable, except that the price trend is bullish, the 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, and both moving averages point upward. [Rude] As we zoom out to the weekly chart, the picture gets muddier, not clearer. For the last two years, we've been in a sideways range between $160 and $200. Currently, we're in the top end of that range at $196.54. Again, from this point of view, nothing is screaming to me, “BUY NOW!” [Rude] [Urgent Notice From Paradigm CIO Zach Scheidt!]( Hi, Zach Scheidt here… I’m the Chief Income Officer at Paradigm Press. With inflation raging (and showing no signs of coming to an end any time soon), almost everyone in America is feeling the pain in a big way. Which is why, several months ago, I set out on a big mission… my goal was to create a [complete, step-by-step plan to surviving and beating inflation]( one that anyone could take advantage of. Today, after hundreds of hours of research, I’m revealing all of my findings. [Simply click here now to see how to survive America’s deadly inflation crisis](. [Click Here To Learn More]( The Trade That's why it's good to follow analysts who love to pick apart numbers. Charlie Bilello, a noted chart analyst with over 580,000 X followers, posted on X that the Russell is around 20% away from its all-time high while the S&P 500 just made a new all-time high. The last three times that happened, the Russell rallied hard on each occasion. Here's the post. (Note: R2k = Russell 2000). [Rude] If I were a betting man, I'd suggest that this situation will resolve like the one in 1999, when the Russell rallied 36.5%. I cross-referenced this with the IWM's point & figure chart. Its current price target is $277, a 40.9% gain from the current level of $196.54. To be sure, there's no guarantee the IWM will hit $277. But even if it falls short, you'd have made a hefty gain. Besides the charts, there's another reason I love this trade. Trump is Good For the Russell 2000 Donald Trump loves Small Business. And Small Business loves Donald Trump. One of the most significant incentives for voting for Trump is his treatment of small businesses. Running a small business is hard enough. Running a small business when your government is actively trying to castrate you is another matter entirely. So, I expect every small business owner (except vegan smoothie shop owners, perhaps) to vote for The Donald. And there's historical precedence for this, as well. When Trump became the front-runner in 2016, the Russell surged. It dipped momentarily when he was elected but then soared nearly 50%. Then, Jerome Powell started to hike rates, only to reverse course a few months later. The Covid crash crushed the index before a full recovery upon leaving office. The Russell is up roughly 25% under Biden. A Trump election strengthens the chances of the trend continuing. [Rude] Wrap Up Small caps are a great way to diversify your portfolio while leaving you with significant upside. IWM is a diversified small-cap ETF straight off the shelf, ready for you. Its fees are minuscule while giving you the upside. And the small-cap upside can be substantial, especially in this case. But it's up to you. Do your homework and see if this is right for you. Full disclosure: currently, I don't own IWM, so I have no conflict of interest. I own a few small-cap companies and won't buy it soon. But if you have no small-cap exposure, this is worth considering. All the best, [Sean Ring] Sean Ring Editor, Rude Awakening Twitter: [@seaniechaos]( [Paradigm]( ☰ ⊗ [ARCHIVE]( [ABOUT]( [Contact Us]( © 2024 Paradigm Press, LLC. 1001 Cathedral Street, Baltimore, MD 21201. 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